Hedge funds gamble on supply glut! Positions in Brent oil and WTI crude oil call plummeted to their lowest level in history.
Hedge funds have reduced their bullish bets on crude oil to the lowest level in history.
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Multiple bearish factors dominate the market, causing WTI to fall below the $70 level.
This week (8.29-9.4), crude oil overall showed a downward trend in volatility. The average price of WTI this week was $72.25 per barrel, a decrease of $2.81 per barrel, or -3.75%, from the previous week. The main factors that led to the pressure and decline in oil prices during the week were: OPEC's increase in crude oil supply, the expected recovery of Libyan crude oil supply, and poor US energy demand.
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It is reported that OPEC+ has agreed to suspend production increases, and US crude oil inventories have dropped to a low point in January, causing oil prices to rise and then fall back.
The analysis points out that although the crude oil inventory in the USA has plummeted, there is a risk of the Cushing inventory bottoming out, and OPEC+ has decided to postpone the production increase by two months, but the oil price rebound is weak because the bears are currently dominant.
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