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SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF Stock Discussion

Bear Bear Craig

Oct 7 05:37

🏦Market outlook 7-11 Oct 2024

📰 Inflation in the US is slowing down, which is good for the economy and jobs. In September, prices likely went up just a tiny bit (0.1%), the smallest increase in three months. Over the past year, inflation is expected to be at 2.3%, the lowest since early 2021.
When you exclude things like food and energy, prices are expected to go up slightly more (0.2% for the month and 3.2% for the year). Because job growth is still strong, this lower inflation could mean the...

PokaiTrader

Jul 27 23:12

US Energy: Opportunity?

[Interview] Leigh Goehring On The Present State of The Energy Markets
came across this superb writeup and accompanying video. THE PDF is also detailed and informative.
Exciting developments are unfolding in the global oil and North American natural gas markets, presenting a unique opportunity for investors willing to take a contrarian approach. We believe there is substantial profit potential in both sectors, with promising outcomes expected by the end of this decade.
In a...

Ava Quinn

Jul 16 02:10

Columns Leveraging ETFs for Long-Term Gains: Industries and Stocks Poised by Trump's Policies

On the afternoon of the 13th local time, during a campaign rally in Pennsylvania, shots were fired while Trump was speaking. He was immediately escorted off the stage by Secret Service agents. According to a statement from the Secret Service, the shooter is deceased; one rally attendee was killed, and two others were injured.
For investors, if Trump is elected President of the United States, it will bring many n...

Trump rally incident: How will markets react?

Moomoo Research

Jul 15 05:43

Columns How to Use ETFs to Position in Industries and Stocks That Could Benefit Long-Term from Trump's Policies

Trump rally incident: How will markets react?

Moomoo Research

Mar 22 02:54

Columns Commodity ETFs: Exploring New Mines for Wealth

Those who keep an eye on financial hot topics may have noticed that recently, precious metals and commodities have been developing quite strongly. Correspondingly, related ETFs have also been rising rapidly.
Why are commodities worth paying attention to?
As an alternative investment, commodities can play a unique role in diversified portfolios.
First, commodity prices are typically uncorrelated with traditional asset classes such as stocks and bonds...

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SpyderCall

Mar 16 16:28

Should We Be Worried About Inflation?

All Eyes on the Upcoming Fed Meeting
With interest rates and inflation being the main concern for investors these days, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision coming this Wednesday.
Many analysts are calling for a resurgence in inflation. While the Federal Reserve has been standing by their word, saying that inflation is under control and we are on the path towards rate cuts this year.
If the Fed believes that inflation is no longer...

Powell hints at rate cuts this year: What do you think?

BelleWeather : I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes.
I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!

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SpyderCall OP BelleWeather : They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.

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SpyderCall OP BelleWeather : So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.

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BelleWeather : Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?

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SpyderCall OP BelleWeather : They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis.
They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down.
I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment.
Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy.
You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing.
This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.

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SpyderCall

Mar 10 09:30

I hope some of you caught this breakout.

$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE.US)$
$SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP.US)$ $Chevron (CVX.US)$ $Exxon Mobil (XOM.US)$ $Valero Energy (VLO.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$

SpyderCall: The Energy Sector is Near a Major Technical Level

iamiam

Mar 10 09:18

THE UPDATE Mar 10

A review of Friday done on a Saturday and posted Sunday 🙄 I apologize. this started out to be a quick overview but turned into much, much more 😅. This is written over multiple sessions, so the style changes. Hang in there it may be worth the read 🤷 this turned out longer than I had planned, but my best ones often do 😉
Alright... I know, a complete bother. this iam guy 🔴 filling up Moomoo with his memes and junk 😆 so, what's more junk 🤷 I'll give this a go and see if moo all lik...

AI concept stocks hit new highs: When will the party end?

SpyderCall

Feb 11 13:37

The Energy Sector is Near a Major Technical Level

$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE.US)$
Long-Term Picture
The technical picture for the energy sector shows that the price action for this area of the market is near an important inflection point.
Notice how the price has been consolidating over the past two weeks. This is an example of the markets indecisiveness over the direction of oil prices. The price sits just beneath the resistance of a long-term downward price channel. Will we see a break...

SpyderCall

Jan 3 14:06

Worsening Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East

$Crude Oil Futures(DEC4) (CLmain.US)$
Tensions in the Red Sea
The tensions in the Red Sea seem to be escalating. We are seeing constant news stories about freighters being attacked by huthi militia groups and explosions at Red Sea ports. The Iranian military is even stepping up their military presence in the Red Sea. Iranians are sympathetic to the huthi forces, so this will only exacerbate the problem.
How long will the conflict last?
I have seen...

Navigating market waves: Red Sea tensions, shipping and energy

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