Geopolitical risks and NVIDIA earnings shake the market's direction.
①USA stock market
S&P500 continues to rise, led by Nvidia (+4.9%)
Nasdaq rises by 1.04%, led by high-tech stocks
Walmart raises full-year outlook
②USA bond market
Due to geopolitical risks, the yield on 10-year bonds temporarily drops to 4.34%
Increased demand for safe assets, volatility continues
③Foreign exchange market
The dollar/yen recovered to the upper 154 yen range, temporarily recording in the 153 yen range.
The Canadian dollar rose against the US dollar due to higher-than-expected inflation rates.
S&P500 continues to rise, led by Nvidia (+4.9%)
Nasdaq rises by 1.04%, led by high-tech stocks
Walmart raises full-year outlook
②USA bond market
Due to geopolitical risks, the yield on 10-year bonds temporarily drops to 4.34%
Increased demand for safe assets, volatility continues
③Foreign exchange market
The dollar/yen recovered to the upper 154 yen range, temporarily recording in the 153 yen range.
The Canadian dollar rose against the US dollar due to higher-than-expected inflation rates.
④ Geopolitical risks
Ukraine attacks Russia with missiles supplied by the US
Russia relaxes its criteria for nuclear weapon use, raising concerns of intensified warfare.
⑤ Monetary policy
The pace of US rate cuts is uncertain, subject to changes depending on inflation data.
Speculation about significant interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada is diminishing.
⑥ Outlook
Nvidia earnings influence market direction
Geopolitical risks support demand for safe assets
Dollar/yen may break 155 yen, be cautious of volatility
[Cultural Perspective]
Ahead of Nvidia's earnings in the US stock market, expectations for AI-related demand continue.
The rise of S&P500 and Nasdaq exceeds geopolitical risks in the short term.
However, if tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue, there is a possibility that risk aversion will strengthen once again.
Usa bonds were bought due to geopolitical risks, but the direction of yields should continue to be a point of focus due to the uncertainty surrounding rate cut expectations.
Although the Dollar/Yen temporarily fell during risk-off periods, the significant policy divergence between the US and Japan makes it easier for a yen depreciation trend to continue.
On the other hand, the Canadian dollar saw a resilient movement as inflation data eased significant rate cut expectations.
Overall, the balance between geopolitical risks and earnings/economic indicators will be the focus of the market going forward.
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