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Bank of Japan meeting will be like this

What is the Bank of Japan meeting?


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⚫ ︎ What is the BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting?

The Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting (hereafter, the Monetary Policy Meeting) is an important meeting for the Bank of Japan (hereafter, the Bank of Japan) to decide Japan's monetary policy. At this meeting, we will discuss and decide on the direction of monetary policy and specific measures based on the current state and outlook of the Japanese economy. The results of monetary policy meetings are directly linked to economic stability and growth, and have attracted a great deal of attention both domestically and internationally.


⚫ ︎ Structure of the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting

・Governor: The Bank of Japan's chief executive.
・Vice President (2): The role of assisting the President.
・Board members (6 members): Economic and financial experts appointed by the government.

These members have extensive knowledge and experience in economics and finance, and contribute to Japan's economic policy decisions. The governor and deputy governor are appointed by the government, and deliberators are selected from academics and practitioners with expertise in monetary policy.


⚫ ︎ Purpose of the BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting

1. Price stability: Suppressing fluctuations in the consumer price index (CPI) and maintaining a stable price level. This prevents inflation and deflation.
2. Financial system stability: Maintaining the health of banks and other financial institutions and ensuring the stability of the overall financial system.
3. Supporting economic growth: Promoting overall economic growth and supporting sustainable development.


⚫ ︎ Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Activities

As a general rule, monetary policy meetings are held twice a month. At this meeting, monetary policies such as setting policy interest rates, asset purchase programs, and quantitative and qualitative monetary easing (QQE) are discussed and decided.


⚫ ︎ Setting policy interest rates

The policy interest rate is the interest rate when a bank borrows money from the Bank of Japan. Since this interest rate has an impact on the economy as a whole, it is adjusted to control inflation and stimulate the economy. For example, when inflation is progressing, raising policy interest rates suppresses consumption and investment, and suppresses price increases. Conversely, when the economy is sluggish, lowering policy interest rates will promote corporate and individual borrowing and revitalize economic activity.


⚫ ︎ Asset Purchase Program

The Bank of Japan supplies money to the market by purchasing government bonds and other assets. This keeps interest rates low and encourages businesses and individuals to invest. This policy is also known as “quantitative easing,” and it plays a particularly important role during economic crises.


⚫ ︎ Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE)

Quantitative and qualitative monetary easing is a means for implementing additional monetary easing even when policy interest rates are close to zero. As a result, assets such as government bonds and ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are purchased on a large scale and money is supplied to the market. This policy is particularly effective as a countermeasure against deflation.


⚫ ︎ Presentations and minutes after the meeting

After the monetary policy meeting is over, statements regarding the details of the decisions and the economic outlook will be announced. Also, minutes will be made public a few weeks after the meeting. Details of each member's opinions and discussions are recorded in these minutes, and market participants and economists predict the future direction of monetary policy based on this.


⚫ ︎ Impact on the global economy

The Bank of Japan's monetary policy has an impact not only within Japan, but also on financial markets around the world. For example, when the Bank of Japan implements monetary easing, the value of yen falls, exports increase, but the price of imported goods rises. Such effects will spread to the economies of other countries and affect the global economic balance. Therefore, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting has attracted international attention.



⚫ ︎ Points of interest

1. Policy interest rate adjustments

The possibility of future interest rate hikes will also be discussed. This is a response as the inflation rate continues to rise. Tokyo's core inflation rate reached 2.2% in July, which is in line with the Bank of Japan's 2% price stability target.


2. Reduction in purchases of Japanese government bonds (JGB)

The Bank of Japan is expected to announce a plan to reduce government bond purchases. It suggests a break from monetary easing policies and is carried out as part of quantitative tightening. This move is likely to reduce the interest rate gap between the US dollar and yen and increase demand for yen.


3. Trends in household expenditure and consumption

Household spending continues to decline, which is a factor in suppressing inflationary pressure driven by demand. Trends in household consumption have a major impact on the Bank of Japan's monetary policy.


4. Economic growth and service sector

Japan's service sector PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) is expected to rise, and there is a possibility that it will support demand-driven inflation. If a recovery in the service sector is confirmed, it could be a reason for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates.
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