Elias Chen commented on a stock · Sep 2 23:13

Exclude all kinds of noise and interference on the long-term value investment road.

The drop in stock prices is helping you plan the future of Tesla in the longer term:
Self-driving FSD+RoboTaxis (robot taxis)+Optimus (Optimus Prime) humanoid robot+Samuel Abraham Goudsmit (July 11, 1902 – December 4, 1978) was a Dutch-American physicist. He and George Uhlenbeck proposed the concept of electron spin in 1925. Between 1935 and 1966, Samuel Abraham Goudsmit was nominated for the Nobel Prize in Physics several times.+RoboTaxis (robot taxis)+Optimus (Optimus Prime) humanoid robot+Energy storage businessIn principle, it is most ideal to establish positions and layouts when the market is bearish, when people are reluctant to buy and hold, and when there is a fear of a decline in the market along with unfavorable technical patterns and indicators. The results have been good, although it requires overcoming human weaknesses. Will there be any action in the range of 210.200-202.130? To be determined, considering the absence of long positions.

StudyVanguard（先锋领航，世界最大的资产管理公司）操盘美国和和401（K）Individual Retirement Account (IRA).和401(K) fund accountInvest in trading stocks in your own account.

Vanguard, the world's largest asset management company, trades in the USA.Individual Retirement Account (IRA).和401(K).The funds in the account are planned and gradually distributed in a step-by-step manner by State Street Global Advisors, the world's third-largest asset management company, when Tesla's stock price is severely falling. It is the two main forces that use a random variable approach to create a position layout. When establishing positions, it is better to miss opportunities than to invest indiscriminately, and when selecting stock prices, it is better to buy low than to buy high. Frankly speaking, the vast majority of us are not qualified to gamble. Gambling always leads to high consumption. This world is really interesting. Those who are not qualified to gamble often enjoy gambling, while the super-rich, who have financial resources, can suppress the weakness of human nature and view gambling as a stupid suicidal behavior.

1.60% of Tesla stock position will lock in the long-term trend and main trend target and direction of Tesla for value investing, holding for the long term.

2.40% of Tesla position is used for investing and trading in the secondary trends, short-term trends, and short-term trends of Tesla. (It's not wrong to stay on the sidelines)

3.In the end, the consequences of being bullish, avoiding bearish markets, and chasing high and chasing strength will all show up. Tesla's PE ratio has already reached 90 times in the 2024 fiscal year, and the profit expectations for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025 continue to decline. There is no need to be anxious about the stock price rising slightly above 60% of long positions. Full attack and full defense are entirely different matters, and is very unwise. A person without long-term planning and not focusing on the psychological health of investment and trading will not go far. Even if Tesla has the potential to challenge the 217,000–299,290–314,800 range, or even the higher 414,490–515,000 range, you won’t be able to hold onto the floating profit chips in your hand.When Tesla's stock price enters:the 211.700-182.000 range,there is a planned and systematic approach, divided into gradients and batches, for discrete random variables, establishing positions for layout.The 211.700–210.200 range.Without considering building new long positions (the case is different if there are no long positions). The stock god Warren Edward Buffett continues to sell the stocks he holds whenever the market is relatively high.

In principle, it is most ideal to establish positions when everyone is bearish on the market, unwilling to buy and hold, and fearful of the worsening bearish trend, technical patterns, and technical indicators. The results of such operations need to overcome human weaknesses, and the outcomes have been good. Do we need to do anything about the 210.200–202.130 range? To be determined, should we consider no long positions?

Vanguard, the world's largest asset management company, operates funds for American individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and 401(K) accounts, along with State Street Global Advisors, the world's third-largest asset management company, are the two major players in Tesla's planned and step-by-step, graded and batched, discrete random variable, position establishment during deep price falls. When establishing positions, it is better to have some deficiencies than excesses, and when selecting stock prices, it is better to go lower than higher.

In the end, the consequences of being happy about rising prices and hating falling prices, as well as chasing highs and strengths, will all be revealed. Tesla's pe ratio in the fiscal year 2024 has already reached 90 times, and the profit expectations for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025 continue to decline. With slightly over 60% long positions, there is no need to worry about the stock price rise. Going all-in or defending fully is a completely different matter and is very unwise. A person without long-term planning and who does not focus on the psychological health of investment trading will not go far, even though Tesla has the potential to challenge the range of 217.000–299.290–314.800, or even higher levels such as 414.490–515.000, you cannot hold on to the floating profit chips in your hands.

Putin should take full responsibility for this war of aggression! Russia is a country of lies! Comrade Lenin said that the return of the millions of square kilometers of territory occupied by Russia has not been fulfilled so far!! Russia has no intention of fulfilling its promises.

In this way, Recent holdings include Capital Group at 2.047 billion USD, JPMorgan Asset Management, Inc. at 1.181 billion USD, UBS Asset Management at 1.148 billion USD, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. at 1.014 billion USD, Wellington Management Group at 0.904 billion USD, The Vanguard at 0.844 billion USD, Goldman Sachs Group, Investment Banking and Securities Investments at 0.598 billion USD, Managed Account Advisors LLC at 0.574 billion USD, State Street Global Advisors at 0.449 billion USD, Loomis, Sayles & Company L.P. at 0.436 billion USD, BNP Paribas Arbitrage Sa, Asset Management Arm at 0.417 billion USD, Amundi Asset Management at 0.414 billion USD, BlackRock at 0.36 billion USD, Jennison Associates LLC at 0.327 billion USD, Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan at 0.31 billion USD, Barclays PLC Private Banking & Investment Banking Investment at 0.31 billion USD, BMO Asset Management at 0.307 billion USD, Geode Capital Management, LLC at 0.299 billion USD, and Citigroup at 0.228 billion USD.

如果你现在还是认为Elon Musk领衔的Tesla还是在开饼屋，画大饼，圈钱骗钱，Tesla股票短多长空，还要去看跌卖空Tesla，还要认为自己技高一筹，无所不能，去追求多空双修，多空双赢，还要去一味追求短期趋势套利的话，那么阁下真的就是韭菜，彻底没救了。

Tesla股票不是用来投机的，而是用来长期价值投资的。因为Tesla股票的估值系统正在发生质的更新换代升级，一旦企业基本面爆发点到来，当下看似有点过高的PE很快就能降下来，变得“合理”起来。Tesla的潜力和潜力释放恐怕在美国上市公司中的冠军，无人能敌，目前只是需要时日。2022年三位诺奖得主已经对Tesla背后的项目进行了世界顶尖级的专业评估，是Artificial Intelligence的完整产业链和产业园，Nvidia则只是Artificial Intelligence产业链中的一个枢纽性的重要节点。

******

不确定性原理

在量子力学里，不确定性原理（uncertainty principle，又译测不准原理）表明，粒子的位置与动量不可同时被确定，位置的不确定性越小，则动量的不确定性越大，反之亦然。对于不同的案例，不确定性的内涵也不一样，它可以是观察者对于某种数量的信息的缺乏程度，也可以是对于某种数量的测量误差大小，或者是一个系综的类似制备的系统所具有的统计学扩散数值。

Werner Karl Heisenberg（维尔纳·卡尔·海森堡）

Werner Karl Heisenberg（维尔纳·卡尔·海森堡）于1927年发表论文《论量子理论运动学与力学的物理内涵》给出这原理的原本启发式论述，希望能够成功地定性分析与表述简单量子实验的物理性质。这原理又称为“海森堡不确定性原理”。62-84同年稍后，厄尔·肯纳德严格地数学表述出位置与动量的不确定性关系式。两年后，霍华德·罗伯森又将肯纳德的关系式加以推广。

类似的不确定性关系式也存在于能量和时间、角动量和角度等物理量之间。由于不确定性原理是量子力学的基要理论，很多一般实验都时常会涉及到关于它的一些问题。有些实验会特别检验这原理或类似的原理。例如，检验发生于超导系统或量子光学系统的“数字－相位不确定性原理”。对于不确定性原理的相关研究可以用来发展引力波干涉仪所需要的低噪声科技。

Heisenberg enjoys classical music, is an excellent pianist, married Elisabeth Schumacher in 1937, had 7 children, and lived in Munich. He passed away at home on February 1, 1976, due to cancer.

Heisenberg's name has always been associated with his quantum mechanics theory. This theory was published when he was only 23 years old. He won the Nobel Prize in Physics for 1932 for proposing this theory and its applications, especially the discovery of hydrogen's spin isomers.

Heisenberg's new theory, entirely based on observations of atomic radiation, posits that at any given point in time, the position of an electron is undeterminable, and its trajectory cannot be traced. Therefore, Bohr's assumed electron orbits do not exist. Mechanical quantities like position, velocity, cannot be described with ordinary numbers but can be expressed using abstract mathematical structures or matrices. Heisenberg presented his new theory in matrix form, known as matrix mechanics.

Later, Heisenberg introduced the famous "Uncertainty Principle," where the position and momentum of a moving particle in a quantum mechanical system cannot be simultaneously determined. These uncertainties, though minute for humans, cannot be ignored in atomic research.

During his time in Leipzig, Heisenberg made significant contributions to nuclear physics, introduced internal quantum numbers for basic particle theory (1932, 1933), developed a theory of ferromagnetism (1928), and conducted pioneering research with Wolfgang Pauli on quantum field theory. He and John Wheeler are considered the fathers of the S-matrix (1942, 1944), and he early on studied the basic length model of quantum field theory (1938). In the 1940s, he researched cosmic rays and the particles they produce, leading to the discovery of the first meson in the UK shortly afterward.

Starting in 1957, Heisenberg shifted his research focus to plasma physics and high-temperature nuclear reactions, collaborating closely with the Geneva International Institute of Atomic Physics. He served as the chairman of the institute's scientific policy committee and a member of the committee. After becoming the Humboldt Foundation's chairman in 1953, he facilitated numerous activities to promote the foundation, inviting scientists from various countries to Germany for research.

From 1953 onwards, his theoretical work moved towards the unified field theory of elementary particles, a key for him to understand particle physics.

In addition to receiving various awards like the Max Planck Medal, the Order of Merit of the Federal Republic of Germany, and the Nobel Prize in Physics, Heisenberg was granted honorary doctorates from the University of Brussels, Karlsruhe, and Budapest. He was a member of the Royal Society in London, as well as numerous scientific societies in Goettingen, Bavaria, Saxony, Prussia, Sweden, Romania, Norway, Spain, the Netherlands, Rome, and the United States, and a fellow of the German and Italian Academies of Sciences. He became the chairman of the Humboldt Foundation in 1953.

Heisenberg was once a participant in the German nuclear weapon development program, but Nazi Germany never had the ability to turn nuclear weapons from theory into reality. One explanation provided by Heisenberg himself is that he actually distrusted the Hitler regime, thus trying to delay Nazi Germany's research plans. However, some people like Goudsmit scoff at this explanation, which is also known as 'Heisenberg's mystery'.

Samuel Abraham Goudsmit (July 11, 1902 - December 4, 1978) was a Dutch-American physicist. In 1925, he and George Uhlenbeck proposed the concept of electron spin. From 1935 to 1966, Samuel Abraham Goudsmit was nominated several times for the Nobel Prize in Physics.

Werner Heisenberg proposed the uncertainty principle, which is considered remarkable, making him one of the top theoretical physicists. However, from another perspective, humans are so insignificant in the face of God, and God's wisdom and mysteries cannot be predicted.

Spatial disorientation refers to the situation where pilots are unable to determine angles, heights, and speeds during flight. In nighttime or bad weather conditions when the horizon is not clearly visible, the inability to determine angles, heights, and speeds is particularly severe because human orientation mainly depends on visual cues.

In the financial markets, the uncertainty principle and spatial disorientation both exist. The latter refers to traders focusing too much on short-term trends, even intraday trends, frequently making long and short judgments and arbitrage trades, leading to losing their own direction.

As someone who has been trading intraday for many years in an automated/algorithmic way, I have to say, making money through intraday trading is definitely not easy. I believe statistical data supports this, indicating that the majority of people attempting this lose more money than they earn (can we say the same for other professions?). Many people can invest months or even years, but ultimately end up fruitless, making no progress.

Continued success in intraday trading requires mastering various skills. Most are acquired after birth, but I believe some skills may be innate, whether in discretionary trading or automated/systematic trading. For discretionary traders, besides skills, there are more factors at play. Mindset and psychology are absolutely crucial. You must strive to maintain almost no emotions and be willing to immediately stop trading for the day when emotions change.

You must actively trade only during periods when you feel focused, alert, and mentally sharp during the day. You must have a rigorous mindset and be willing to engage in the necessary learning, research, and chart analysis. You should seek one or two mentors with skills (and track records) that you absolutely trust (this doesn't necessarily have to be someone you can talk to in person. In my opinion, Linda Raschke is a great example, who you can learn from remotely).

Anyone can engage in day trading, and almost anyone can "succeed" in day trading in a short period of time. However, I have seen someone toss a coin and get heads all 10 times. Even so, I would not consider them skilled coin tossers (trademark that term!). If they tossed thousands of coins over several months, even with only a 55% chance of getting heads, I would start paying close attention. That's the real difference between true experts and other experts, namely long-term, validated consistency. Few can catch glimpses of these rare heights, with a very high failure rate.

Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more

See Original

Report

14K Views

Comment

Elias Chen

成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。

1367Followers

71Following

7712Visitors