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US inflation cools again: Will it pave the way for a rate cut?
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Happy Independence Day as we gear up for NFP tomorrow!

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Trader’s Edge joined discussion · Jul 4 04:07
Happy Independence Day as we gear up for NFP tomorrow!
US Market Key Charts (S&P, US Dollar, Gold)
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(SEP4)(ESmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[NEUTRAL] S&P edged higher just before the US market closed for a holiday. Index is still holding below 5590.00 resistance. We maintain our neutral view for now. Market is expected to consolidate between 5590.00 resistance and 5540.00 support.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close below 5540.00 support will open a correction towards 5500.00 support.

$USD(USDindex.FX)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[NEUTRAL] As expected, DXY dropped lower and reached previous target. We decide to turn neutral for now, expecting the DXY to consolidate between 105.430 resistance and 105.120 support. A candlestick close below 105.120 support will open a deeper drop towards 104.750 support next.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close above 105.430 resistance will open a short term push higher towards 105.720 resistance.
$Gold Futures(AUG4)(GCmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BULLISH ↗ *] As expected, gold prices pushed higher, however failed to reach previous target due to thin trading volume. We maintain our low conviction bullish bias for now, still expecting price to push higher towards 2375.00 resistance. Technical indicators are still advocating for a bullish scenario.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close below 2353.00 technical support will open a deeper correction towards next support at 2335.00.
NIKKEI 225 / TOPIX Index Futures
$Nikkei 225(.N225.JP)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ *] View remains unchanged. We maintain our low conviction bearish bias with NIKKEI still holding below previous all-time high and key resistance at 40920. Price is still expected to do a short term pullback lower towards near-term support at 40220. Technical indicators are still mixed. Price is holding above 34 period EMA while stochastics is toppish.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close above 40920 resistance will open a short term rise towards next resistance at 41400.
HSI IndexFutures
$HSI Futures(JUL4)(HSImain.HK)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BULLISH ↗ *] As expected, HSI pushed higher and reached previous target. We stay bullish for now, as long as price continues to hold above 17860 support. A bounce towards 18150 resistance is now expected. Technical indicators are bullish are advocating for a bullish scenario as well.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close below 17860 support will open a drop towards next support at 17700.
SG Market - STI
$FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index(.STI.SG)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[NEUTRAL] STI pushed higher and is now holding below long term resistance at 3440.00. We turn neutral for now with a slight bullish bias. A candlestick close above 3440.00 resistance will open a further rise towards next resistance at 3585.00. Technical indicators are leaning towards the bullish scenario.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close below 3387.00 support will open a drop towards next support at 3300.00
Summary - What Is Happening In The Markets
US markets ended yesterday's session higher before turning quiet as traders took a mid-week break to celebrate independence day. $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(SEP4)(ESmain.US)$ and $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(SEP4)(NQmain.US)$ both added +0.51% and +0.89% before markets closed with NASDAQ futures making a new all-time high. Markets was helped by release of the FOMC meeting minutes which showed that majority of the participants unanimously agreed that growth was gradually cooling and are now anticipating an economic slowdown. Traders will be looking forward to nonfarm payroll numbers tomorrow when they come back from their break.
Asian markets mirrored the move in the US markets and pushed higher at the start of today's trading session. Japan's $Nikkei 225(.N225.JP)$ climbed the highest, adding +0.82% today. This comes as the JPY strengthened against the USD after some slight dollar weakness. This prompted fresh speculation that the BoJ will continue to intervene in preventing larger than expected weakening of the JPY. $HSI Futures(JUL4)(HSImain.HK)$ pushed higher by +0.8% for the 3rd consecutive day as tech stocks continue to ride on its bullish momentum. However the rally was slightly muted by China's underperforming Caixin PMI data. $FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index(.STI.SG)$ climbed by +0.55% in line with the global markets but still currently capped below key resistance at 3440.00.
Prepared by:
Moomoo Singapore
Isaac Lim CMT, CFTe
Chief Market Strategist
This report is provided for informational and general circulation purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation for the purchase or sale of securities, futures, or other investment products. It does not take into consideration any particular needs of any person. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
For full disclaimers, please visithttps://www.moomoo.com/sg/support/topic5_935.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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