NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 126.630 TSLA
Tesla
-- 302.800 SMCI
Super Micro Computer
-- 45.540 PLTR
Palantir
-- 87.840 HIMS
Hims & Hers Health
-- 39.860 
In the final stage of a downturn, moving forward methodically and strategically, gradually and systematically, with discrete random variables, establishing positions.
Distinguish between secondary trends and primary trends, short-term trends and medium to long-term trends. Do not doubt the stocks you hold, do not invest in doubtful stocks. Do not let the tumultuous and epic primary uptrend of Tesla cause you to mistake the retracements of secondary trends and short-term trends as a decline in Tesla's primary trend and medium to long-term trend, missing out on the historic opportunity to change your financial destiny. The ascending channels and retracement nature of the downtrends within them in various time period charts have clearly explained everything. Charts say it all, interpreting charts correctly is crucial.
Due to profit-taking, concentration, and risk management factors, most stocks are being sold off by some active ETFs, mutual funds, and hedge funds. They are mostly controlling the previously low-position chips. As they sell at high prices and initiate downtrends, as long as we wisely avoid the highs and middle stages of the downtrend,In the late stage of a downturn, with a planned and systematic approach, in a graded and batched manner, with discrete random variables, establishing positions strategically, we can snatch relatively low-position chips and incorporate them into our long positions. Achieving bottom chip replacement and control.。
People abandon me, I pick it up.
In the US stock market, especially Tesla, a big drop in stock price can knock you out, while others pick up the money.
A brave person is fearless, buying on dips and falls, with a planned and step-by-step approach, dividing into gradients and batches, discrete random variables, and positioning for long-term investment.
Ronald Stephen Baron, the founder of Baron Capital, the twelfth largest institutional shareholder of Tesla, holds over 6 million shares of Tesla stocks (with a holding cost of only $42.88 per share), a wealthy American billionaire and investor, has already made $6 billion on this stock and is prepared to hold for another ten years.
Ronald Stephen Baron shares this story:In his management of Baron Capital, a client and friend unexpectedly passed away due to a sudden event. His account, for some reason, had remained untouched. Previously, based on buying low, selling high, with planned and step-by-step, gradient and batch, discrete random variable portfolio layout, the holding cost is surprisingly low now, while the profits are surprisingly high, outperforming the returns of accounts managed by so-called professionals and experts.
Interestingly, Ron Baron publicly stated in March of this year that Tesla will reach $1,500 by 2024 and $2,000 by 2030, while selling 1.8 million Tesla shares. At the time, Baron referred to this as a 'painful' decision, primarily to help clients balance risks. Since then, Tesla has entered a long-term adjustment, not reaching its previous high until October. Baron also stated on Wednesday that he is prepared to continue holding Tesla for 'at least ten years'.
Baron also praised Musk in the interview, admitting that about ten years ago when he first met him, he had doubts about the success of the (electric car) project.If you still have doubts now, that's a different story, you know.So, it wasn't until the company started producing the Model S that he began buying the stocks. Baron mentioned that the biggest risk for this investment is Musk's health, although there are currently no issues, but only sleeping 5 hours a day is really too short.
You are not the late world-class mathematician James Harris Simons and his leading Renaissance Technologies LLC and Medallion Fund.
You know even less about the algebraist James Ax.
And the mathematician Elwyn Ralph Berlekamp, together improved and extended the mathematical computation model of Leonard Baum. Most professionals do not understand or know how to apply it in financial markets (which requires many changes to adapt to market conditions), a very small number of top mathematicians like the late Chinese top mathematician Shiing-Shen Chern,
Chinese top mathematician Shing-Tung Yau, and others look down upon this type of variant calculation model.
Chinese top mathematicians Shing-Tung Yau and others ignore it.
Therefore, Leonard Baum's mathematical calculation model became James Harris Simons' profitability sweeping Wall Street financial institutions' nuclear-level secret weapon, including George Soros' Quantum Group of Funds and the acclaimed world's most successful investor, shareholder Warren Edward Buffett, all pale in comparison and appear lackluster.
The world blindly pursues short-term trend arbitrage, preferring to add ornaments to the already good, unwilling to help when needed, and even less willing to accompany high-tech enterprises in their growth. This is something worth reflecting on.
338.200Above this, do not establish new long positions, while below this is an opportunity to time the market and establish positions.
Replenishing positions in a weak balance of power.
1. Motivation for replenishing positions. Replenishing positions is a measure to enhance probabilities and remedy mistakes.
2. Disorderly replenishing positions. Many people's disorderly replenishing positions relax the timing requirements, and it is simply a psychological instinct or impulse.
3. Correctly replenishing positions. Correctly replenishing positions requires several steps and principles:
First, it is necessary to reflect first, whether the reasons for buying and holding the variety still exist, and the reasons for the initial mistake.
Second, whether the reasons for the initial mistake still exist when replenishing positions.
Third, whether replenishing positions conform to the large cap's breaking point (oversold or strengthening) or the individual stock's breaking point.
Fourth, the end point after replenishing positions is the end of the breaking point, not to profit from the position unwinding, and cannot lead to further selling mistakes due to the initial buying mistake.
Weak balance potential cover position
1. Motivation for margin call. A margin call is a measure to enhance probability and remedy mistakes.
2. Randomly cover positions. Many people's random margin calls are due to the relaxation of the principle of timing requirements, which is just a psychological instinct or impulse.
3. Correctly cover the position. There are several steps and principles for correct replenishment:
First, it is necessary to reflect on whether the reasons for buying and holding the stock still exist, and the reasons for the first mistake.
Second, whether the reason for the first mistake still exists when the position is covered.
Third, whether it meets the bursting point of the market (oversold or strengthened) or the bursting point of individual stocks when covering positions.
Fourth, the end point after replenishing the position is after the bursting point is over, rather than unwinding the position to make a profit. The mistake in the first purchase cannot cause another mistake in the subsequent sale.
How can one get to know oneself?
Others perceive my Facebook as financial content, while I see it as content related to wisdom and the popularization of science;
Others view me as a professional investor, but I consider myself a practitioner of mathematics, theoretical physics, and philosophy;
While others see my writing books as a means of making a living, I see it as creating spiritual wealth;
While others think that I showcase post-market review charts and articles to make money, I believe I am helping like-minded people in enhancing their expertise and sharing excellence.
How do you know yourself?
Others think my Facebook is financial content, but I think it is wisdom and science popularization content;
Others think I am a professional investor, but I consider myself a practitioner of mathematics, theoretical physics, and philosophy;
Others believe I write books for a living, while I see it as creating spiritual wealth;
Others may believe I share after-hours review chart analysis formulas and articles for profit, but I see it as assisting those who are destined to succeed and share excellence.
Some people only use charts, but profitability is not related to looking at charts or not, using indicators or not. This is not the reason for traders to profit. The key to profitability lies in managing losses. In fact, it's that simple. Think about why 99% of traders fail. They obviously lose all their trading capital. Why do they lose all their trading capital? Because they never learned how to manage trades correctly, and losses will eat into their profits. Knowing when to stop loss and take small losses, as well as when (and how) to let winners continue, is the most important skill you can learn.
Charts or indicators simply provide you with a visual reference point and potentially higher probability trades. You increase the chances of trading successfully, but that doesn't mean you'll make money. Every trader sees profits evaporate in the blink of an eye, including myself. You tell yourself, I should exit when the loss is only $500, but now it's $1500 in the red because you hope and pray it will come back. Hope and prayer are not a strategy. The likelihood of a $1500 loss bouncing back is as great as the possibility of it continuing to decline. Whether you buy a stock or derivatives with an embedded loss of $1000, there's a 50% chance of breaking even, or another $1000 loss. So if you win, you break even. If you lose, you lose $2000. It's almost a silly question, but that's how you view losing trades. You must treat it this way if the losing stock you hold reaches your stop loss. Remember, trading doesn't go according to plan, so there's no reason to believe it will work in your favor. You may want it to come back, but the market truly doesn't care what you want or wish for. Remember that 99% of traders will fail. They fail because they didn't manage their funds well. They don't take small losses, but let them turn into large losses. You should be ecstatic about small losses. You did the right thing. You avoided potential larger losses and are still in the game. Remember, holding the losing trade after the stop loss is your next trade. Choosing to continue holding a stock that you should sell or buy back is theoretically your new position. Are you satisfied with holding that position? If the answer is no, then you shouldn't hold it.
Therefore, charts are very useful, but don't focus too much on technical data. Instead, learn the art of money management.
Successful investment trading requires you to master some skills in order to sustain profits.
This is somewhat like learning to drive: you need to control the direction of the car (steering) and you need to control its speed (accelerator, brake, gear).
Through trading you need to:
To determine the possible price movements, charts are very useful.
Manage your risk - position size, stop loss level, entry, and exit points.
Although charts can help you in risk management, such as determining entry, exit, and stop levels, you need to calculate your position size: if your position size is too small, profits will grow very slowly; if your position size is too large, your account balance will quickly drop to zero after a few losing trades.
Summary
If you only use charts to determine possible price movements, as long as you use reasonable risk management to ensure that your trading account will not "blow up" after a series of losing trades, you can make profit.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。
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