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There are various times for the Bank of Japan to intervene in exchange, but there are several trends based on past examples. Let's summarize the specific time zones and days of the week below.
In the morning (6:00 to 12:00): Looking at the implementation time period for past exchange interventions, the most number of times they were implemented in the morning Japan time is the most common. However, it may also be held after 12:00 or around 22:00, so please consider this as a reference only1。
Friday: Looking at each day of the week, it seems that exchange intervention is relatively common on Fridays. There were 7 interventions on Friday. Some events have also been carried out on Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday, but Friday is the most common result.
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投資歴長い。中長期視点。テクニカル7割、フアンダ2割、経験1割。現在米株1割 日本株0.5割 FX0.5割 BTC0.5割 残り現金短期用
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えいきちちゃん : It is the Ministry of Finance that intervenes in exchange, not the Bank of Japan.
ダヤンks : Even if I intervene, there are no tests where the trend has changed, so I wonder if there is any point in worrying about it in particular.
yamacyan OP えいきちちゃん : The procedure for exchange intervention is briefly explained below.
1. **Information Gathering**:
- The Bank of Japan Exchange Division contacts market participants and overseas offices to grasp and analyze exchange rate trends.
- We have established a multifaceted monitoring system using internal and external information provision services.
2. **Exchange Intervention Decision**:
- The Minister of Finance determines changes in exchange rates and determines the need for exchange intervention.
- The Bank of Japan Exchange Division provides market information and contacts the Ministry of Finance with the City Division.
- The Ministry of Finance's municipal affairs department issues specific instructions to execute intervention to the Bank of Japan Exchange Division.
yamacyan OP ダヤンks : Well, we can't change the big trend
However, there is an opportunity to profit from it.
In addition to spot stocks, I also do 225 futures and FX as diversified investments.
Predicting how these will move when there is intervention and linking them to profit is a no-brainer.
To be clear, there are times when I don't understand the movement of spot stocks. It is possible to predict the direction of how the intervention will move.
Right now I've finished preparations with FX and I'm in an ambush