Japan Stock Market Outlook and Investment Strategy: Benefits of accommodative monetary policies
✔️ BLACK ROCK THOUGHTS
It is anticipated that the Bank of Japan will leave the current policy interest rate unchanged for the time being. This accommodative monetary policy has been a tailwind for the Japanese stock market, and growth in the hardware technology and semiconductor sectors in particular is expected. I will explain the Bank of Japan's policies and their impact on the market, growth forecasts for major sectors, and risk factors.
✔️ The relationship between the Bank of Japan's monetary policy and the Japanese stock market
・Current state of monetary policy
The Bank of Japan is expected to continue maintaining its current accommodative monetary policy. In the background of this, there is a high possibility that interest rate increases will be difficult due to uncertainty in price trends and government subsidies for electricity and gas charges.
✔️ Growth forecasts for key sectors
Among Japanese stocks, BlackRock sees hardware technology stocks, semiconductor-related stocks, and electronic component stocks as particularly attractive. This is because these sectors benefit from advances in AI technology and tension in US-China relations. Growth forecasts for each sector are shown below.
Thus, growth in the semiconductor sector in particular is expected, and investment in these fields is promising.
✔️ Risk Factors and Their Management
・Effects of the depreciation of the yen
The depreciation of the yen will raise import costs, and there is a possibility that it will adversely affect consumer and small business sentiment. As a result, there is a possibility that risks will extend to the Japanese stock market as a whole, and I think that major companies will also worsen financial results.
✔️ Conclusions
and proposed recommended actions and investment strategies It may be necessary to strengthen investment in Japanese stocks and emerging markets based on the current accommodative financial environment and growth forecasts for major sectors. In particular, it is desirable to focus on hardware technology stocks and semiconductor-related stocks.
✔️ The importance of risk management
Management against depreciation of the yen and other macroeconomic risks is important. As a means of risk hedging, it is recommended to consider incorporating foreign currency assets into portfolios and utilizing exchange rate hedging.
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