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Fed's year-end meeting: How it will reveal market trends!
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Market dynamics update

On December 18, during the FOMC meeting, the market's unanimous expectation is a 25 basis point rate cut, with a 95% probability. The market has priced it in. The key lies in whether the dot plot at this meeting aligns with expectations on the path of rate cuts next year. It is speculated boldly that there will only be one rate cut next year, causing the 10-Year T-Note yield to exceed 4.5% again. Additionally, with both Powell and Yellen expected to increase federal debt significantly after taking office, high interest rates will force the Fed to reduce rate cuts substantially, risking a dilemma due to sustained government spending.
Market dynamics update
Conclusion: The current valuation of the US stock market reaching the unsustainable upper limit of 6100 points by FY25 is unsustainable. A 5-10% index-level retracement is inevitable. (After the Christmas market, positions from January to February should be significantly increased for protection). The index has risen by 27% this year, so for those looking to chase the rise now, I can only wish you good luck.
Individual Stocks:
AMD: Falling below $129, starting to approach the lower limit of the 25-year forward valuation, I will start building positions at $118-$124, and sell Put options expiring by the end of March.

NVIDIA: Retracing to the strong support area of $121-$128, friends without positions can establish small positions, significantly increase positions at the super strong support of $112-$118 for the FY25 valuation mean reversion. If the index retraces as expected, this level is highly likely to be seen, so do not rush.
Market dynamics update
Tesla: This wave has already soared, I took my profits halfway at $320, sold off, currently around $440 😭 I will buy Put options after January 5th to start shorting (until June 20). My shorting of Tesla does not mean I am not bullish on it, I just want to take advantage of Tesla's high volatility.

UnitedHealth (UNH): UNH is a stock I hold positions in, currently all my profits have been wiped out. It is currently in a panic of being split, does it sound familiar? Like Google? And Google is now almost $200, at an all-time high. I will increase my positions to a total of 7% at $440-$470.
Market dynamics update
Market dynamics update
IONQ: Keep averaging up when the index retraces with Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA), those who followed my buy-in should already have a 1.5x return. Hold on!
Market dynamics update
For the latest positions of other individual stocks, send a direct message or leave a comment in the message area, there are too many to list them all, please forgive me!
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more
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