No doubt about employing people; no doubt about investing; no doubt about investing in shares, no investment in questionable stocks. The earth is old, the sea is dead and stones are rotten, and I hold it forever.

It turns out that spears and shields can exist at the same time; as long as they are in different dimensions, it's fine if they don't appear at the same time. In the long course of history, in the midst of major fluctuations, what will eventually make you make a lot of money must be firm trust, religious belief, and enduring patience.

All the differences in the financial market are nothing more than the two words “greed” and “hastness.”

Keep in mind the following seemingly irregular sequence:101.810; 138.800; 167.410; 176.500; 202.000; 216.250; 230.500; 242.000,...

The profit chip ratio has now reached an astonishing 100%, and there is a high probability that the stock price will fall in a pullback. However, on the other hand, Tesla will hold an earnings conference for the fourth quarter of 2024 at 17:30 EST on July 23 at 17:30 in New York after the closing of the trading period in New York to announce the results. On August 8, EST, Tesla will release Robotaxi (driverless taxi) products. Until these two events, which are likely to be major profits, occur, it is unlikely that stock prices will fall sharply.

If there is a sharp decline with very little probability, then seize the opportunity to open a position layout.

Taking advantage of the previous position reduction actions carried out in the 198.870-205.600 phase to redeem some of the winning results directly led to the sell-off results, and it was simply impossible to find any opportunities for low absorption in the traditional sense of the word later. The more you are afraid to chase, the more the stock price rises, and there is no such thing as a chance to lose interest. Until Tesla's results are released, I'm afraid it will be difficult to have the right opportunity to increase positions.

Elon Musk is an angel sent by God, a gifted member of the American Academy of Engineering, an honors physics student, and an excellent software architect. He already said:Once Tesla completely solves the problem of autonomous driving and mass produces Optimus Prime robots, anyone still holding a short position will be eliminated, even Bill Gates (Bill Gates).If you're only staring at his other negative things, or even thinking that Elon Musk isn't trustworthy and that you're better than him, then Elias=Jerome wants to ask you, why are you investing and trading Tesla? Why do we need to do more of this?

Ultimately, the only thing that will enable you to make big money in the midst of large fluctuations is a firm belief, not the so-called short-term and short-term technical analysis ability. Elias=Jerome has opened positions in gradients and batches along the three important bottoms of 138.800, 160.510, and 167.410. After the layout was completed, the stock price fell again, and all of the bullish parts of the structure were covered, causing huge floating losses. Needless to say, Elias=Jerome also wavered and regretted not doing short-term arbitrage trades, even short-term arbitrage trades. Because all positions were bought when the stock price fell, the profit was somewhat variable at first.

Elias=Jerome makes investment transactions by establishing mathematical models and performing quantitative analysis at the function level. As far as short-term trends and short-term trends are concerned, the accuracy is still relatively high and satisfactory. In those years where the sky felt dark, they all survived with firm conviction.

before;Elias=Jerome's method of operating is to split the position in half, hold 60% of the position for a long time, and use 40% of the position for short-term trends, including game arbitrage for short-term trends.

However;In the future, it is likely that short-term trends, including short-term trend arbitrage, will be completely abandoned. Especially when it comes to Tesla's individual stock.

Anyone, including the eminent mathematician, investor, and philanthropist James Harris Simons, who defeated stock god Warren Edward Buffett and finance mogul George Soros for 27 consecutive years, believes that God allows the financial markets to set two limits on the wealth mountain: the “unfathomability principle” and the “spatial disorientation principle.” Humans can only get infinitely closer; they cannot reach it.

Historical financial data shows that short-term speculation will never make a lot of money (the world is under pressure from all kinds of environmental pressure, and it is easy to unwittingly fall into short-term or short-term speculative transactions), and only medium- to long-term investments that span time and years can achieve the grand blueprint vision. Bound and governed by short-term trends or even short-term trends+happy with ups and downs = fatal injury for the vast majority of people.

If you don't use the Baum—Welch (Baum—Welch algorithm model) of the arbitrage platform Leonard Esau Baum (Leonard Esau Baum) Baum—Welch algorithm model) like Renaissance Technologies LLC (Renaissance Technologies LLC) after improving, extending, differentiating, and editing it into a large-scale high-speed computer program, you shouldn't rely too much on quantitative analysis using modeling functions, but rather use stock god Warren Edward Buffett's classic investment theory with Leonard Esau Baum (Leonard Esau Baum)'s Baum—Welch (Baum—Welch algorithm model) performs effective checks based on actual parameters, and then the two are cleverly integrated with each other, taking into account qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, complement each other, complement each other. Having principles and being more flexible is king and trump card.

The late famous mathematician, investor, and philanthropist James Harris Simons (James Harris Simons) spent 12 years searching for successful investment models. In the early days, he also relied on nature and intuition to invest and trade, but he often failed. Afterwards, he worked with several top mathematicians and scientists to develop computer models to process massive amounts of market data and select the best trading opportunities from them. Renaissance Tech continues to apply mathematical techniques to improve models. Mathematician Henry Lauffer discovered in revising the model that Medallion funds should only use a single trading model, rather than using multiple different models in various markets and market conditions like other quantitative trading companies. This discovery later proved to be invaluable.

If someone bought shares in Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire Hathaway) in 1965 and kept them, they made an outstanding investment—and their stockbrokers would starve to death. Most pension funds probably didn't buy Berkshire shares in 1965 and have held them ever since. If they actually did that, they would have far fewer problems today. Berkshire's stock price at the time was $22. Today, its share price is close to $0.133 million.

Warren Edward Buffett (Warren Edward Buffett) said if I were on Wall Street, I probably wouldn't be as successful as I am now. On Wall Street, you'll be overstimulated. You hear a lot of news every day, which can turn your attention into a short-term one, and short-term attention isn't good for long-term gains. At Omaha, I just need to care about how much each company is really worth. I don't need to go to Washington to know how much the Washington Post is worth. I don't need to go to New York to understand the value of other companies. Everything is made simple. Assessing a company's value is a thoughtful process, and the more static the surrounding environment, the more helpful it is in this process. What is the deliberation process? It means clarifying your ability to evaluate the value of a company in certain business fields, and then, within your ability, find the company with the lowest current stock price relative to its value. I have no ability to evaluate the value of companies in many fields. For example, the genius academician Elon Musk manages Tesla. He is really outstanding and excellent, which simply dazzles me. But I also have my own areas of expertise. We can also receive emails and journals in Omaha, and receive all the information we need to help us make the right decisions. Unlike Wall Street, there are 50 random people on the street who will tell you this or that in your ears. I don't like excitement; what we need is information and facts, not stimulation.

Warren Edward Buffett (Warren Edward Buffett) and Wall Street hedge fund company Protégé Partners have a ten-year gamble to track whether S&P 500 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are actually performing better than the five specialized investment funds (FoF) selected by Protégé Partners. Buffett bet on this ETF to win, while Protégé Partners bet on FOF to win. After 10 years, FOF only outperformed the S&P 500 ETF in 1 year, and the rest of the 9 years were behind. So the result was that old urchin Buffett won. This gamble is actually a comparison of the long-term benefits of passive funds and active funds. Passive funds can also be called index funds (index funds or ETF funds). This type of fund tracks a certain index, such as the Dow Jones Index, Toronto Exchange Index, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ Index, etc. They buy all or part of the securities included in the index according to the criteria for the composition of a certain index. The purpose is to achieve the same level of return as the index and achieve simultaneous growth with the market. These funds can also be called “lazy people's funds”, because fund managers basically don't need to do a lot of selling and buying work, so the management fee (MER) is very low, usually 0.5% to 0.8%, and usually not more than 1%.

Elias=Jerome:

Leonard Esau Baum (Leonard Esau Baum)'s Baum—Welch (Baum—Welch Algorithm Model) was improved, extended, and segmented differentiation+stock god Warren Edward Buffett's traditional value investment theory.

For Elias=Jerome,Leonard Esau Baum (Leonard Esau Baum)'s Baum—Welch (Baum—Welch algorithm model) +stock god Warren Edward Buffett's traditional value investment theory It's the MG42 machine gun on the financial market. It is characterized by high speed and efficiency, and has a gunshot sound similar to “tearing cloth”. In addition, it also has characteristics such as reliability, durability, simplicity, ease of operation, and low cost. Although Elias=Jerome studied theoretical physics and applied mathematics. Frankly speaking,Some things in the Baum—Welch (Baum—Welch algorithm model) of the arbitrage platform Leonard Esau Baum (Leonard Esau Baum), such as calculation and settings of static parameters, dynamic parameters, functional functions, non-functions, etc.Not fully understood. Seems like only pure mathematics can fully understand it. James Harris Simons has publicly stated that it is their core secret, and there is nothing to comment on. Also, Elias=Jerome is very weak in computer software. He doesn't know how to use many iOS software, let alone write and structure software programs.

Arbitrage platform Leonard Esau Baum's Baum—Welch (Baum—Welch algorithm model) +traditional value investment theory

The MG42 is recommended by its extremely high rate of fire, up to 1,500 rounds per minute. When firing, unlike other machine guns, it makes a sound similar to “tearing cloth.” The Allies is called it “Hitler's Chainsaw”. In addition, it also has the advantages of reliability, ease, simplicity, easy operation and low cost.

Elias=Jerome can only open up new paths, promote strengths and avoid shortcomings, expand fault tolerance, and have more room for tolerance. Effective verification is carried out according to actual parameters, and then the two are cleverly integrated with each other. Qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis are balanced, complement each other, complement each other, and have principles and be more flexible is king and trump card.

Elias=Jerome wants to use its strengths and strengths to combine stock god Warren Edward Buffett's many traditional philosophical and intelligent ways of thinking to establish an investment and trading system that suits him.

Elias=Jerome is convinced that the US index is long and short, and I believe in the ability of the US index and US stocks to repair.

Elias=Jerome believes from the perspective of his theoretical physics specialty: Elon Musk is an angel sent by God, a genius academician of the American Academy of Engineering, an honors student in physics, and an outstanding expert engineer in the field of software architecture and programming.

Three 2022 Nobel Prize winners in physics, Alain Aspect (French physicist), John Francis Clauser (John Francis Clauser, American theoretical physicist and experimental physicist), and Anton Zeilinger (Anton Salinger, Austrian quantum physicist) have performed world-class professional assessments for Tesla and the projects behind it. Almost all of Elon Musk's industrial projects are inseparable and inseparable from Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Technology Revolution. Tesla, led by Elon Musk, is very forward-looking in the layout of the high-tech industry. Tesla's stock price will definitely expand its wings as time goes by.

Baron Capital (Baron Capital) of Baron Capital (Baron Capital) led by Ronald Stephen Baron (Ronald Stephen Baron): Tesla's stock price will reach $1,500 in 2030. (Although Ronald Baron was once famous, he was widely questioned by market participants when presenting his grand vision of Tesla.)

ARK Investment Management LLC (ARK Investment Management LLC) led by Cathie Duddy Wood (Kathryn Duddy Wood): By 2029, Tesla's valuation will exceed $8 trillion, and the stock price will reach $2,600. (She proposed her long-term goal for Tesla at a time when Tesla was under a sharp bearish short sale led by Xiaomo and Damo. The biggest drop in stock prices was over 60%, over a period of more than a year. There is a huge contrast between the two, and Cathie Wood is viewed as a counter indicator and joke by many sharp and mean people.)

Elias=Jerome carried out the most comprehensive, in-depth and accurate modeling and quantitative analysis of Tesla from the perspective of his own applied mathematics: Tesla's profit prospects are limitless. Currently, Tesla's market value is about 800 billion US dollars. If God favors, the market value will exceed 1000 billion US dollars during or by the end of the year 2024, and there is a high probability that the stock price will break through the historical peak of 414.49-500 after the split. In other words, Tesla still has an increase of at least 30%, and this is not the end , but rather a starting point or relay point.

Elias=Jerome decided not to carry out any short-term trend or short-term trend operation until Tesla's market capitalization is 800-1000 billion dollars, and not to reduce its holdings. Learn the lesson that was previously carried out to reduce positions in the 198.870-205.600 phase to redeem part of the winning position, which directly led to fly-selling results. Later, it was impossible to find any opportunities for low absorption in the traditional sense. The more you are afraid to chase, the more the stock price rises, and there is no such thing as a chance to lose interest. Until Tesla's results are released, I'm afraid it will be difficult to have the right opportunity to increase positions.

Elias=Jerome's previous long positions were all arranged when the stock price fell, so the cost of holding the position was very low, even unbelievably low. So here's the question. How to hold onto these chips, which already have considerable floating profits, without all kinds of temptations, is a very real question. Anti-terrorism and anti-corruption issues exist all the time in financial markets.

When it comes to stocks like Tesla, favoring short- to medium-term trends, or even short-term trends, is not necessarily a good thing, or even harmful or unbeneficial. This is a view that many people cannot agree with right now. Honestly, it is necessary to very accurately predict where Tesla's stock price will fall and then rise again.Elias=Jerome doesn't have this ability. Some of the previous predictions were just the conclusions of modeling and quantitative analysis; this may not necessarily be the case, so don't take it too seriously. Just listen to it, for reference. Ultimately, when investing in trading, everyone still has to decide their own affairs; everyone's situation is not the same. Some people might be under pressure from life? Baht must be compared. Can't you “lose”?

JC=Elias family's iron law of trade and warfare (it is impossible to emphasize repetition too much):

Winning in the falling market; winning in amplitude; winning in boldness; winning in wisdom; winning in open-mindedness; winning in learning; winning in change; winning in adapting; winning in mathematics; winning in physics; winning in models; winning in function; winning in vibration; winning in quantification; winning in framework; winning in moderation; winning in probability; winning in technology; winning in psychology; winning in dexterity; winning in the long term; winning in oscillation; winning in the long term; winning in investing: winning in mentality; winning in tolerance for error.

Losing to oneself; losing to oneself; losing in solidification; losing in abandonment; losing in self-reliance; losing in pursuit of strength; losing in rushing; losing in stagnation; losing unilaterally; losing in gambling; losing in protecting positions; losing in full position; losing in financing; losing in reversal; losing in Yongdong; losing in gambling; losing in complaining; losing on excuses; losing in scolding; losing in dreaming; losing in planning; losing in prediction; losing in the short term; losing in a hurry; losing in a hurry; losing in a hurry; losing in a hurry; losing in a hurry; losing in a hurry Greed; losing mentality.

98% of people will never be able to give up on ups and downs or predictions, and there are no plans of any kind that use a certain percentage of the battle sequence of treasury funds as a strong and strong backing, so 98% can only end in failure. Trading earns a living, not being a stock slave, not an opinion fight (JC does not participate in opinion fighting, has no interest.) Instead, the investment deal wins.

Alarm bells are ringing: The first and last chapters of the Book of Wisdom both read “There is no empty lunch in the world.” Don't expect to read other people's post-market review chart analysis; you can make money without effort on your own. Here, at this moment, all of JC's posts are private pre- and post-market personal statements, research and exploration. There is no passionate struggle of opinions, stock recommendations, and even less spiritual soup. They cannot be used as a basis for trading. The resulting trading profits and losses can only be borne by oneself. Regardless of profit or loss, all blame is taken by oneself.

We have never known each other in the first place. What's more, even if you have any financial skills, it's easy to be treated as a scammer in this financial market where you play with money. Therefore, JC will not use research results as a vehicle for free money delivery at all, because there is no need for this. What are the so-called true friends in the financial markets? There is a long road ahead. Everyone walks their own way, and if they don't want to, then it's just that. If JC doesn't eat your meal, if you don't eat that kind of thing, you don't need to look at your face. Except for Jesus Christ (who is actually God, Father, Son, and Holy Spirit in one.) No one is afraid of JC.

Disclaimer: There are a lot of neuroses in the securities market, so it's better to be clear about what needs to be clarified. This article is a personal trading log, not an opinion or individual stock recommendation. This is a well-structured US securities market, not an A-share securities market. Bloggers are a long-term operating style. However, in special circumstances, such as large markets are particularly good. When the profit chip ratio exceeds 80-90% for a long period of time, bloggers will choose to sell and close (part) of their positions to redeem floating profits. Large markets and individual stocks are bad, especially weak to extremely bad. For example, when the profit chip ratio is less than 21-7%, JC will choose a discrete random variable position layout in gradients and batches, so ordinary traders cannot imitate this operation.