Speculations of President Putin's visit to North Korea
In 2024, it was announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin will visit North Korea for the first time in 24 years. The background to this visit is the rapidly strengthening military and economic relationship between Russia and North Korea.
1. Background of President Putin's visit
✔️ Continuation of the invasion of Ukraine Russia is currently continuing the war with Ukraine, and a large amount of ammunition is necessary for that. North Korea supplies this ammunition to Russia, and thanks to this supply, the Russian military is able to use large amounts of ammunition against Ukraine every day. For this reason, President Putin's visit is aimed at further strengthening relations with North Korea and securing necessary support.
✔️ Deepening ties with North Korea
Last September, General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea Kim Jong-un visited Russia and invited President Putin to North Korea. This visit is in response to that invitation, and it will be an important opportunity to deepen ties between Russia and North Korea. Also, President Putin showed his gratitude by presenting a Russian-made limousine to Kim Jong-un this year.
2. Russia-North Korea Transactions and Strategic Intent [Educational Views 💡]
✔️ Russia's Hope Russia wants to procure weapons such as shells, rockets, short-range ballistic missiles, and tank parts from North Korea. In particular, while Ukraine is being supplied with new weapons from the United States and Europe, Russia is motivated to strengthen arms procurement from North Korea.
✔️ North Korea's Hope
North Korea needs funding and technology to support submarine and reconnaissance satellite projects. Also, North Korea's economy is fragile, and support from Russia is extremely important. North Korea's GDP is estimated to be around 24.5 billion dollars in 2022, and the per capita income is only 3.4% of South Korea. 3. Impact on the region and the international community Impact on the Ukraine War There is a possibility that Ukraine's military superiority will be reduced by supplying North Korean-made weapons to Russia. With a large supply of ammunition, the Russian military is able to block the movement of the Ukrainian military, and the American-made interceptor missiles supplied to Ukraine can be exhausted.
✔️ Threats to the United States and Allies
As North Korea's arms supply increases, military support to Ukraine is necessary, but there is a possibility that North Korea's denuclearization talks will be far away. Furthermore, as support received by North Korea from Russia increases, North Korea's military power will be strengthened, and there is concern that the threat to the United States and its allies will increase.
✔️ Increased risk of military action
There is a prospect that President Putin and Kim Jong-un will sign an agreement allowing military intervention in the event of an emergency, and this will increase the risk of military action in the region. U.S. emergency plans will become more complicated, and there is a possibility that the security environment in East Asia will become even more complicated.
✔️ Conclusions
President Putin's visit to North Korea is aimed at strengthening the strategic relationship between Russia and North Korea, and there is a possibility that it will have a major impact on the region and the international community. In particular, while threats against the United States and its allies are increasing, there is concern that the security environment in East Asia will become even more complicated as North Korea's economic and military strength is strengthened.
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