Tesla's abnormal variation and frequency modulation to maintain the overbought state is the main reason for eliminating the bearish short selling group
1. The uncertainty principle constrains.
2. The principle of spatial orientation obstruction constrains.
Is Tesla likely to soar again in the "lucky month" of November? Most of Tesla's performance in November is strong, and we need to pay attention to three major factors in the future.
Since its listing in 2010, November is the second strongest month for Tesla performance, with an average monthly return rate of 9.8%, and a 71% probability of stock price increase.
Overnight, the US stock market belongs to Tesla!
After releasing the stunning Q3 performance, investors' enthusiasm was quickly ignited! Tesla rallied unilaterally all day, with the stock price soaring nearly 22%, marking the best single-day performance in 11 years.
At the same time, Tesla's total market cap surged by over $154 billion in a single day, equivalent to the sum of 'Volkswagen + BYD' market cap, making it back to the top ten in the US stock market value rankings.
After releasing the stunning Q3 performance, investors' enthusiasm was quickly ignited! Tesla rallied unilaterally all day, with the stock price soaring nearly 22%, marking the best single-day performance in 11 years.
At the same time, Tesla's total market cap surged by over $154 billion in a single day, equivalent to the sum of 'Volkswagen + BYD' market cap, making it back to the top ten in the US stock market value rankings.
Bull vs. Bear on Wall Street
Although the market highly appreciates Tesla's performance, there are still differing views among Wall Street's major banks regarding the company's future expectations.
Bank of America analyst John Murphy aggressively raised Tesla's target price, stating that by 2025, it will be "in a favorable position," and Tesla will experience a "second wave of growth".
Although the market highly appreciates Tesla's performance, there are still differing views among Wall Street's major banks regarding the company's future expectations.
Bank of America analyst John Murphy aggressively raised Tesla's target price, stating that by 2025, it will be "in a favorable position," and Tesla will experience a "second wave of growth".
Bull vs. Bear on Wall Street
Although the market highly appreciates Tesla's performance, there are still differing views among Wall Street's major banks regarding the company's future expectations.
Bank of America analyst John Murphy aggressively raised Tesla's target price, stating that by 2025, it will be "in a favorable position," and Tesla will experience a "second wave of growth".
Although the market highly appreciates Tesla's performance, there are still differing views among Wall Street's major banks regarding the company's future expectations.
Bank of America analyst John Murphy aggressively raised Tesla's target price, stating that by 2025, it will be "in a favorable position," and Tesla will experience a "second wave of growth".
Murphy expressed his delight in seeing the strong growth in the automotive business's gross margin, with the energy and service business (Tesla expects the sales volume of this business to double by 2025) gross margins surpassing expectations. Consequently, he raised the target stock price from $255 to $265 and maintained a buy rating for the company.
Morgan Stanley also remains bullish, with expectations that by 2025, Tesla's electric vehicle annual growth rate will be 14% (2.07 million units), equivalent to a quarterly delivery of around 0.51 million to 0.52 million units. The team believes that in the third quarter, investors are more focused on reducing car costs and improving the profitability of the automotive business, rather than trying to evaluate the value of Tesla's transition to artificial intelligence and other businesses. Tesla remains Morgan Stanley's "top pick" with a target price of $310.
The team believes that in the third quarter, investors are more focused on reducing car costs and improving the profitability of the automotive business, rather than trying to evaluate the value of Tesla's transition to artificial intelligence and other businesses. Tesla remains Morgan Stanley's "top pick" with a target price of $310.
However, the most bullish on Tesla on Wall Street is undoubtedly its 'die-hard fan,' Dan Ives, a renowned analyst at the American investment bank Wedbush. Ives stated that the combination of profit margins with Tesla's artificial intelligence, self-driving products, and other growth drivers will ultimately bring a market cap of over a trillion dollars.
He said: 'Now, the price reduction has completely become a thing of the past. For Wall Street, this is a key factor in proving Tesla's future years of AI/FSD transformation to increase profit margins.'
Other Wall Street bigwigs bullish on Tesla include: Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu (target price $295), Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter (target price $310), and Truist Securities analyst William Stein (target price $238).
JPMorgan analyst Ryan Brinkman's views are in stark contrast to them. He believes that while investors may be excited about Tesla's extraordinary profit growth, the catalysts driving this stock price surge should not be seen as long-term growth factors.
JPMorgan analyst Ryan Brinkman's views are in stark contrast to them. He believes that while investors may be excited about Tesla's extraordinary profit growth, the catalysts driving this stock price surge should not be seen as long-term growth factors.
He specifically mentioned that Tesla's quarterly earnings and cash flow have improved, but the driving force behind them is indeed not sustainable. This includes so-called 'carbon sales' revenue from selling carbon emission credit quotas, as well as unusually high operating working capital gains.
"Lucky Month" is coming? Tesla's November performance mostly strong.
A daily surge of nearly 22% is bound to make investors apprehensive of heights, but looking back at history, the upcoming November can be considered Tesla's 'lucky month.' Since going public in 2010, November has been the second strongest month for Tesla, with an average monthly ROI of 9.8%, and a 71% probability of stock price increase.
What factors should investors continue to focus on?
USA election
Given that Tesla is seen as a potential beneficiary of the 'Trump trade,' if Trump wins in November, it may have a very positive impact on Tesla's future prospects.
Elon Musk recently pledged to randomly select a lucky winner every day before the November election from those who signed a petition online supporting the US Constitution, to give away 1 million dollars. This means that before the official US election on November 5, Musk will cumulatively provide 17 million dollars in bonuses to petition signers.
In addition, another conservative super PAC, the Sentinel Action Fund, reported receiving 2.3 million dollars from Musk.
According to Bloomberg, Trump has stated that if he wins reelection, he hopes Musk will join the government. Musk may participate in the 'Department of Good Efficiency' (humorously abbreviated as DOGE), which is also synonymous with Musk's support for cryptocurrency.
FSD may be listed in Europe and China.
On September 5, Tesla AI posted on the social media platform 'X,' stating that Tesla plans to launch what they call the 'Full Self Driving' advanced driver assistance system in China and Europe in the first quarter of next year.
Multiple sources revealed that the Chinese government supports the partial testing of some FSD functions in compliance with existing laws and regulations. However, the entry of FSD into China has not yet been approved by regulatory authorities, and related evaluation work is still ongoing.
Given that Tesla is seen as a potential beneficiary of the 'Trump trade,' if Trump wins in November, it may have a very positive impact on Tesla's future prospects.
Elon Musk recently pledged to randomly select a lucky winner every day before the November election from those who signed a petition online supporting the US Constitution, to give away 1 million dollars. This means that before the official US election on November 5, Musk will cumulatively provide 17 million dollars in bonuses to petition signers.
In addition, another conservative super PAC, the Sentinel Action Fund, reported receiving 2.3 million dollars from Musk.
According to Bloomberg, Trump has stated that if he wins reelection, he hopes Musk will join the government. Musk may participate in the 'Department of Good Efficiency' (humorously abbreviated as DOGE), which is also synonymous with Musk's support for cryptocurrency.
FSD may be listed in Europe and China.
On September 5, Tesla AI posted on the social media platform 'X,' stating that Tesla plans to launch what they call the 'Full Self Driving' advanced driver assistance system in China and Europe in the first quarter of next year.
Multiple sources revealed that the Chinese government supports the partial testing of some FSD functions in compliance with existing laws and regulations. However, the entry of FSD into China has not yet been approved by regulatory authorities, and related evaluation work is still ongoing.
In addition, recently, a traffic accident involving a Tesla equipped with FSD resulted in a pedestrian fatality, prompting the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) to launch an investigation, which is also a risk that investors need to be cautious about.
Will the self-driving 'pie in the sky' fall through again?
For the market, Tesla's innovation in self-driving technology is absolutely top-notch. Musk claimed that by 2025, Robotaxi will be launched in Texas and California, but his repeated failures in the past have left the market skeptical of his statements.
As early as 2017, he promised to achieve fully automated driving from Los Angeles to New York by the end of that year - but obviously failed. In 2019, he predicted that there would be 1 million self-driving taxis on the road by 2020 - which also turned out to be empty promises.
Therefore, whether next year's 'pie in the sky' of Robotaxi can be realized will also be a crucial determining factor in its stock price trend.
Jefferies Financial is relatively pessimistic about this. Analysts believe that Musk has not provided 'verifiable evidence' of progress in Tesla's self-driving technology, and there is currently no precedent for achieving higher-level autonomous driving purely through visual methods.
However, at the performance conference, Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that if he were to obtain a potential position in the U.S. government, he would push for a more streamlined regulatory approach to approve the use of fully autonomous cars nationwide in the United States. Apparently, the expectation of Trump's re-election has greatly boosted the credibility of Robotaxi.
Will the self-driving 'pie in the sky' fall through again?
For the market, Tesla's innovation in self-driving technology is absolutely top-notch. Musk claimed that by 2025, Robotaxi will be launched in Texas and California, but his repeated failures in the past have left the market skeptical of his statements.
As early as 2017, he promised to achieve fully automated driving from Los Angeles to New York by the end of that year - but obviously failed. In 2019, he predicted that there would be 1 million self-driving taxis on the road by 2020 - which also turned out to be empty promises.
Therefore, whether next year's 'pie in the sky' of Robotaxi can be realized will also be a crucial determining factor in its stock price trend.
Jefferies Financial is relatively pessimistic about this. Analysts believe that Musk has not provided 'verifiable evidence' of progress in Tesla's self-driving technology, and there is currently no precedent for achieving higher-level autonomous driving purely through visual methods.
However, at the performance conference, Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that if he were to obtain a potential position in the U.S. government, he would push for a more streamlined regulatory approach to approve the use of fully autonomous cars nationwide in the United States. Apparently, the expectation of Trump's re-election has greatly boosted the credibility of Robotaxi.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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