Reaching highest level in over 2 years! Can Tesla's rally continue?

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Elias Chen joined discussion · Nov 26, 2024 18:00

Submarine warfare: Emergency dive, capturing large surface targets

Core Tips🔔Principles of increasing shareholding and expanding stocks: transitioning from electric auto manufacturers to Artificial Intelligence deep development application companies.Artificial Intelligence deep development application company+Energy storage company+Self-driving cars FSD + RoboTaxis (robot taxis) software company+Optimus (Optimus Prime) humanoid robot companyThis is where Elon Musk leads Tesla's determination to change the world, and where the bulls believe the world will be changed. You have the right to continue to think that Elon Musk is making empty promises to raise money. However, once Tesla perfects the self-driving FSD+RoboTaxis (robot taxis) software, it will mark the skyrocketing start of Tesla's stock. When you cannot coexist with uncertainty, deny, and reject emerging things still in the blurry stage, you also lose the future. Investors can handle their investment trades according to their own situations. Like Vanguard's management of individual retirement accounts (IRA) and 401(K) accounts, manage your stock account investment trades well. In the end, the consequences of liking rising and hating falling, and chasing highs and strengths (refusing to buy low, sell high, having a plan, taking steps gradually, dealing with discrete random variables, establishing positions, waiting for the main uptrend to appear, only chasing highs and strengths, otherwise it's a futile effort. Putting puts is a suicidal action.) will all manifest. Slightly exceeding a 60% long position, there is no need to be anxious about a rising stock price. Going all-in defensively is a completely different matter, and very unwise. A person without long-term planning and not valuing the mental health of investment trading won't go far. Even if Tesla has the potential to challenge the 271.000–299.290–314.800 range, or even higher levels like 414.490–515.000, you still cannot hold on to the floating profits in your hands. The current market is like an epic main uptrend market, its key feature being that the profit chip ratio has never been below 70%, always fluctuating within the 70-100% range.

Ronald Stephen Baron, the founder of Baron Capital, the twelfth largest institutional shareholder of Tesla, holds over 6 million shares of Tesla stocks (with a holding cost of only $42.88 per share), a wealthy American billionaire and investor, has already made $6 billion on this stock and is prepared to hold for another ten years.

Ronald Stephen Baron shares this story:In his management of Baron Capital, a client and friend unexpectedly passed away due to a sudden event. His account, for some reason, had remained untouched. Previously, based on buying low, selling high, with planned and step-by-step, gradient and batch, discrete random variable portfolio layout, the holding cost is surprisingly low now, while the profits are surprisingly high, outperforming the returns of accounts managed by so-called professionals and experts.

Interestingly, Ron Baron publicly stated in March of this year that Tesla will reach $1,500 by 2024 and $2,000 by 2030, while selling 1.8 million Tesla shares. At the time, Baron referred to this as a 'painful' decision, primarily to help clients balance risks. Since then, Tesla has entered a long-term adjustment, not reaching its previous high until October. Baron also stated on Wednesday that he is prepared to continue holding Tesla for 'at least ten years'.

Baron also praised Musk in the interview, admitting that about ten years ago when he first met him, he had doubts about the success of the (electric car) project.If you still have doubts now, that's a different story, you know.So, it wasn't until the company started producing the Model S that he began buying the stocks. Baron mentioned that the biggest risk for this investment is Musk's health, although there are currently no issues, but only sleeping 5 hours a day is really too short.

You are not the late world-class mathematician James Harris Simons and his leading Renaissance Technologies LLC and Medallion Fund. You do not understand the algebraist James Ax and mathematician Elwyn Ralph Berlekamp's modified and expanded Leonard Baum mathematical calculation model. Most professionals do not understand or know how to apply these variant calculation models in practical trading in the financial markets (requiring many modifications to adapt to market conditions), with only a few top mathematicians such as the late Chinese world-class mathematician Shiing-Shen Chern, and the Chinese world-class mathematician Shing-Tung Yau looking down on them. Therefore, Leonard Baum's mathematical calculation model has become James Harris Simons' profit-sweeping nuclear-level secret weapon against Wall Street financial institutions, including George Soros's Quantum Group of Funds and the world's most successful investor, stock god Warren Edward Buffett, all of whom pale in comparison and appear eclipsed.

The world blindly pursues short-term trend arbitrage, preferring to add ornaments to the already good, unwilling to help when needed, and even less willing to accompany high-tech enterprises in their growth. This is something worth reflecting on.

338.200Above this, do not establish new long positions, while below this is an opportunity to time the market and establish positions.

Submarine warfare: Emergency dive, capturing large surface targets

What are the main tools of the relatively accurate framework for investing and trading weapon libraries, both soft and hard?

1. Baum-Welch algorithm model. Requires improvement and practical application.

2. Hidden Markov model. Requires improvement and practical application.

3. Quantitative calculation of the differential geometric trajectory equation of the profit chip ratio function.

4. Setting of parameters (also called variable parameters), and how to make correct and reasonable choices within a relatively reasonable range when quantification is not possible.

5. Deep understanding of the original weaknesses of human nature as mentioned by God in the Bible – greed and fear, the ability to interpret the human nature and psychology behind key candlestick patterns in key candlestick charts (not quantifiable).

Choose symbols worthy of ownership and investment with long-term upward trends.

Trust stocks for investment, do not invest in doubtful stocks.

In most cases, giving timely help is more important and meaningful than adding beauty to the already beautiful.

Holding stocks for a big rise: Billionaire Ronald Stephen Baron predicts that Tesla's future price will increase sixfold, rising to $1500!

The most important and core thing is to overcome the trials of time and space in major fluctuations, especially in significant downward movements, with unwavering beliefs.

Adding positions: buy on declines, not on rallies; reducing positions: sell on rallies, not on declines.

Buy on dips and declines, systematically and gradually, in stages, with a discrete random variable approach for position building.

Establish a defensive fund and a deep fall repurchase fund;

More than 60% of the positions are used for medium to long-term value investments;

Not more than 30% of the positions are used for short-term trend air combat;

With investment as the main focus, and trading as the secondary, a surgical and relatively accurate framework investment trading approach.

If you study theoretical physics, you will know that the projects under Elon Musk are not only a complete Artificial Intelligence industry chain, but also almost all involve a higher level dominant industry of the next 30-50 years—quantum technology revolution.

If you are studying applied mathematics, you can understand that this listed company has extraordinary actions and lofty goals through function-level quantitative analysis. It is far from what you can see now and imagine. The crux of the problem lies in the fact that the range of variables that can be set is too large. If you cannot coexist with uncertainty, deny, and refuse the emerging things still in a vague stage, you will also lose your future.

Investment trading arbitrage ultimately depends on the results, isn't it? When you look at it from a lifelong perspective, what you see is the era and human nature, and what you see is the law.

When you look at it from a ten-year perspective, what you see is common sense and rule changes.

When you look at it from a three-year or five-year perspective, what you see is courage and foresight.

When you look at it from a one-year perspective, you will believe in talent and ability.

If you look at it from a daily perspective and you don't have a background in theoretical physics and applied mathematics, you are likely to see nothing and only rely on miracles and luck.

Being both fallen people in the stock world, why do we need to blow our own horns when we meet again?

Investment master Peter Lynch said:"In the past 70 years of history, there have been 40 stock market crashes. Even if I predicted 39 of them in advance and sold all stocks before the crash, I would still regret it greatly. Because, even in the worst stock market crash, stock prices will eventually rise back, and rise even higher than before."

Excellent companies will continue to achieve historical highs, can withstand bull and bear markets. For excellent companies, bear markets are only temporary, bull markets are eternal.

Tesla started at $1.13 per share on June 29, 2010, incurring losses and being unprofitable... lingering at a low stock price for a long time, over 90% of the original participants sold their cheap Tesla stocks in deep disappointment. It wasn't until August 26, 2018, about 8 years later, that Tesla skyrocketed to a peak of $371.

Is it difficult to hold stocks for 6-8 years? (Do what you like or what you should do, right?)

This is almost a 33,000% increase...

Instead of liking random predictions without technical basis support, being bullish and bearish, it's better to steadily buy on dips, with a plan and step by step, in gradients and batches, dealing with discrete random variables, and laying out positions. Speculation can never beat strategic investment.

Daily Devotion - November 26, 2024

Standing and waiting

David Wilkinson

Listen immediately
God speaks to His people through the voice of His Spirit: "Whether you turn to the right or to the left, your ears will hear a voice behind you, saying, 'This is the way; walk in it.'" (Isaiah 30:21, NKJV)

The voice of the Holy Spirit primarily comes to us through the Bible. He may open a passage of scripture that becomes key to our salvation. However, before we hear His guiding voice, God has certain requirements of us. We are to stand still and wait for Him to take action. This is not a suggestion, but a command. It is the secret to our complete victory and salvation. Indeed, the Lord has commanded His people many times to stand still.

In Joshua 3, we read about the Israelites needing to cross the Jordan River again. God instructed the people: 'When you reach the edge of the waters of the Jordan, you shall stand in the Jordan'" (Joshua 3:8). Then the Lord added, 'And as soon as the priests who carry the ark of the Lord—the Lord of all the earth—set foot in the Jordan, its waters flowing downstream will be cut off and stand up in a heap' (Joshua 3:13).

God said, 'When you reach the waters, step into the river and stand there. Stay quiet, rest. Wait for me to take action, I will part the waters for you!'

The Hebrew word for 'stood still' in this passage means 'to cease all activity, to stop all striving'. How many of the Israelites complied when they got to the Jordan River? As many were standing in the water, some must have been thinking, 'How do we know this will work?' Some may have thought to construct some kind of floating bridge, trying to cross the river with their own cleverness, but that would be in vain.

Indeed, God did act at that time. He parted the waters because the Israelites' obedience was accompanied by faith. God responded to their faith! Beloved, with faith, if we listen to His voice and obey, He will give us the answer.

DAILY DEVOTIONAL – November 26, 2024

Stand and Wait

By David Wilkerson

Listen Now
God speaks to his people by the voice of his Spirit: "Your ears shall hear a word behind you, saying, ‘This is the way, walk in it,’ Whenever you turn to the right hand or whenever you turn to the left" (Isaiah 30:21, NKJV).

The voice of his Spirit comes to us primarily through the scriptures. He may open up a biblical passage that will be the key to our deliverance. However, before we can hear his voice of direction, God requires something of us. We are to stand still and wait for him to act. This word is not a suggestion but a commandment. It is the secret to our total victory and deliverance. Indeed, the Lord commanded his people to stand still on many occasions.

In Joshua 3, we read of another crossing Israel had to make at the Jordan River. God instructed the people: “You shall command the priests who bear the ark of the covenant, saying, ‘When you have come to the edge of the water of the Jordan, you shall stand in the Jordan’” (Joshua 3:8). Then the Lord added, “As soon as the soles of the feet of the priests who bear the ark of the Lord, the Lord of all the earth, shall rest in the waters of the Jordan that the waters of the Jordan shall be cut off… and they shall stand as a heap” (Joshua 3:13).

God said, “When you get to the water, plant your feet in it and stand there. Be still, rest. Just wait for me to act, and I will part the waters for you!”

The Hebrew words for standing still in this passage means “stop all activity, cease all striving.” How many Israelites obeyed when they came to the Jordan? As they stood with their feet in the water, many must have thought, “How do we know this is going to work?” Some might have been tempted to build some sort of pontoon bridge to try to get across on their own ingenuity, but that would have been in vain.

God did act on that occasion. He parted the waters because Israel’s act of obedience was accompanied by faith. God answered their faith! Beloved, by faith, if we listen to his voice and obey, he provides an answer.

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Elias Chen

成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。

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