If the market is truly bearish on the short side and bullish on the long side, what should you do?
A 1.60% position in Tesla stocks will lock in the long-term trend, main trend target, and direction of Tesla for value investment, holding for the long term.
The 2.40% Tesla position is used for trading and investing in the sub-trend, short-term trend, and intraday trend of Tesla. (Not doing anything is not necessarily wrong)
Establishing special funds for deep-fall re-buy in Tesla: When Tesla's stock price enters the 211.700-182.000 range, with a planned and systematic approach, in a gradient and batch manner, using a discrete random variable, establish a position. The construction of new bullish positions is not considered above 211.700 (excluding the case of no bullish positions). Is 216.000 the equilibrium point? It needs to be observed.
In principle, it is ideal to establish a position when everyone is bearish on the market, unwilling to buy and hold positions, and when the downward trend and technical chart patterns and indicators are very unfavorable, and the results are also good as seen from the hindsight. Is there anything to do with the 211.700-210.200 range? To be determined, does it need to be considered without bullish positions?
Vanguard (the world's largest asset management company) manages funds for individual retirement accounts (IRA) and 401(K) accounts in the United States, while State Street Global Advisors (the world's third-largest asset management company) are the two main players for Tesla stocks. They plan and execute in a systematic and stepped manner, using discrete random variables and a gradual approach to building positions. When building positions, they prefer quality over quantity and choose to buy stocks at a lower price rather than a higher price.
In the end, the consequences of being bullish or bearish and chasing highs or strength will show. Tesla's P/E ratio for the fiscal year 2024 has already reached 90 times, and the profit expectations for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025 have been continuously declining. With slightly over 60% of long positions, there is no need to be anxious about the rising stock price. However, going all-in or being overly defensive is a completely different story and not wise. A person without long-term planning or a focus on mental health in investment and trading will not go far. Even if Tesla has the potential to reach the range of 217,000-299,290-314,800, or even higher levels like 414,490-515,000, you won't be able to hold onto your floating profits.
There is a type of person who is demanding of others. They expect them to be virtuous and have clear views on being bullish or bearish, including predicting price levels. Otherwise, they don't pay attention. However, when it comes to themselves, they are quite different. They only buy stocks if they are rising. They like to chase highs and buy at high prices. They feel uncomfortable if their stocks and funds are not performing well. They feel uneasy if they don't fully utilize their investment trading capital. They feel uncomfortable if they are not fully invested. And then they hope for a way to get out of their positions.
Elias=Jerome, a golden rule of the JC trading family (it cannot be emphasized enough):
Win in a bear market; win in volatility; win with courage; win with wisdom; win with magnanimity; win in learning; win in change; win in adaptation; win in mathematics; win in physics; win in models; win in functions; win in vibration; win in quantification; win in framework; win in moderation; win in probability; win in technology; win in psychology; win in dexterity; win in versatility; win in oscillation; win in long-term; win in investment; win in mentality; win in tolerance.
Lose due to closed-mindedness; lose to the ego; lose to rigidity; lose to self-abandonment; lose to self-deception; lose to chasing highs; lose to chasing strength; lose to surging highs; lose to stagnant uptrend; lose to one-sidedness; lose to gambling; lose to protecting holdings; lose by going all in; lose due to financing; lose due to liquidation; lose due to perpetual motion; lose to gambling; lose to complaining; lose to making excuses; lose to cursing; lose to daydreaming; lose to contingency planning; lose to forecasting; lose in the short term; lose due to impatience; lose due to greed; lose due to mindset.
98% of people can never successfully predict or be consistently bullish or bearish. Without a strong backing of risk management strategies that include a certain proportion of protective capital, 98% of people can only end up failing. Investing and trading is about making a living, not being a stock slave or engaging in battles of opinions (JC does not participate in battles of opinions, as he has no interest). It's about winning in investment and trading.
Warning: The first and last chapters of the book of wisdom are written as 'There is no free lunch in the world'. Don't expect to make money without working hard by relying on others' post-market recap chart analysis. Here, at this moment, all of JC's posts are personal expressions of thoughts before, during, and after trading, research and exploration, not engaging in self-righteous viewpoint battles, stock recommendations, and certainly not serving as the basis for trading. The resulting trading gains and losses can only be borne by oneself, regardless of profit or loss, all self-inflicted.
We were originally strangers, not to mention that even if you are capable in finance, you are easily regarded as a fraud in this money-playing finance market, so JC will not use research results as a vehicle for giving away money, because there is no need for that. Where can you find so-called true friends in the financial market? Everyone goes their own way, does their own thing, and is strong when they have no desires. JC doesn't rely on you, doesn't play by your rules, doesn't care about your face. Besides Jesus Christ (who is actually God, the Holy Trinity of the Father, the Son, and the Holy Spirit), JC is afraid of no one.
Win in a bear market; win in volatility; win with courage; win with wisdom; win with magnanimity; win in learning; win in change; win in adaptation; win in mathematics; win in physics; win in models; win in functions; win in vibration; win in quantification; win in framework; win in moderation; win in probability; win in technology; win in psychology; win in dexterity; win in versatility; win in oscillation; win in long-term; win in investment; win in mentality; win in tolerance.
Lose due to closed-mindedness; lose to the ego; lose to rigidity; lose to self-abandonment; lose to self-deception; lose to chasing highs; lose to chasing strength; lose to surging highs; lose to stagnant uptrend; lose to one-sidedness; lose to gambling; lose to protecting holdings; lose by going all in; lose due to financing; lose due to liquidation; lose due to perpetual motion; lose to gambling; lose to complaining; lose to making excuses; lose to cursing; lose to daydreaming; lose to contingency planning; lose to forecasting; lose in the short term; lose due to impatience; lose due to greed; lose due to mindset.
98% of people can never successfully predict or be consistently bullish or bearish. Without a strong backing of risk management strategies that include a certain proportion of protective capital, 98% of people can only end up failing. Investing and trading is about making a living, not being a stock slave or engaging in battles of opinions (JC does not participate in battles of opinions, as he has no interest). It's about winning in investment and trading.
Warning: The first and last chapters of the book of wisdom are written as 'There is no free lunch in the world'. Don't expect to make money without working hard by relying on others' post-market recap chart analysis. Here, at this moment, all of JC's posts are personal expressions of thoughts before, during, and after trading, research and exploration, not engaging in self-righteous viewpoint battles, stock recommendations, and certainly not serving as the basis for trading. The resulting trading gains and losses can only be borne by oneself, regardless of profit or loss, all self-inflicted.
We were originally strangers, not to mention that even if you are capable in finance, you are easily regarded as a fraud in this money-playing finance market, so JC will not use research results as a vehicle for giving away money, because there is no need for that. Where can you find so-called true friends in the financial market? Everyone goes their own way, does their own thing, and is strong when they have no desires. JC doesn't rely on you, doesn't play by your rules, doesn't care about your face. Besides Jesus Christ (who is actually God, the Holy Trinity of the Father, the Son, and the Holy Spirit), JC is afraid of no one.
人们为什么这么愚蠢。做市商赚钱的原因显而易见。交易员喜涨厌跌，遭受情感痛苦的原因显而易见的。
这一切都很容易被利用。人是绵羊，遵守规则。如果你至今还在沿用所谓的基本面分析和技术分析，遵守所谓的企稳后再入市建仓布局的规则，你将一事无成。对内幕交易进行模式分析；这意味着逆转，具有统计意义，你会发现一个数学模式。释放阿尔法，直到内幕人士离开。
The White House's note to Russia: "If Russia launches a nuclear missile against Ulan, we need to know whether it is the will of an individual, the will of the Kremlin, or the will of the Russians. If it is the will of an individual, we will behead him. If it is the will of the Kremlin, we will destroy the Kremlin. If it is the will of the Russians, we will mobilize NATO troops to attack Moscow, destroy all Russian military forces, and completely subdue Russia!"
白宫给俄罗斯的照会:“如果俄罗斯对乌兰投射核弹,我们需要知道这是个人意志还是克里姆林宫的意志或者是俄罗斯人的意志。如果是个人意志,我们将对他斩首,如果是克里姆林宫的意志,我们将摧毁克里姆林宫,如果是俄罗斯人的意志,我们将出动动北约大军攻入莫斯科,摧毁俄罗斯的一切军事力量,彻底降服俄罗斯!”
白宫给俄罗斯的照会:“如果俄罗斯对乌兰投射核弹,我们需要知道这是个人意志还是克里姆林宫的意志或者是俄罗斯人的意志。如果是个人意志,我们将对他斩首,如果是克里姆林宫的意志,我们将摧毁克里姆林宫,如果是俄罗斯人的意志,我们将出动动北约大军攻入莫斯科,摧毁俄罗斯的一切军事力量,彻底降服俄罗斯!”
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成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。
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