This week's first half
I expected a rapid reversal of the strong yen, but that prediction was wrong. I'm starting to feel like it might go to the 130 yen range. I'm cautious of the sudden strong yen, but I'm beginning to think that this might be the cruising speed.
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minmaru : Is it related to the presidential election in the Nick Cannon?
I definitely think it will be 0.25 at the FOMC.
codeOZ(家長) : The yen depreciation will continue in the long run, but when we look at the correlation between the interest rate differential between Japan and the United States and the candlestick chart of USD/JPY, I think it's like a cruising speed. I went too far with carry trades.
えいきちちゃん OP minmaru : I don't feel that the magnitude of the interest rate cut in September is so important, but againIn the current situation where expectations are rising,I'm a little afraid of the stock price reaction if it lands at 0.5.0.25
えいきちちゃん OP codeOZ(家長) : Perhaps the rapid decline in interest rates is the cause. If there is a rate cut,0.25there may also be a backlash.
Yoshi_777 : Recently, because it is linked to the US Treasury bond interest rate, I think that if the rate cut next week is 25 bps, the yen will temporarily weaken. The US has already factored in a 1% rate cut by the end of the year, and Japan has also factored in a rate cut to 1%, so I don't think the yen will appreciate excessively. Actually, even with hawkish remarks from Governor Ueda, there have been instances where the exchange rate returned to the 146 yen range, so I think the situation of funds flowing into the US dollar will not change.
えいきちちゃん OP Yoshi_777 : It seems like a suddenIn the current situation where expectations are rising,Now that there are financial estimates0.25There is likely to be a backlash if that's the case.