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Semiconductor stocks swing: What's next?
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TSMC: The Chip King’s Wacky Adventures in the Silicon Circus

Alright folks, buckle up! We're diving into the world of semiconductors, where the chips are so high they might just give you a nosebleed. Yes, we're talking about TSMC, the titan of tiny tech, the king of the silicon jungle, the... okay, you get the picture.

So, TSMC's stock is riding a rollercoaster that makes Space Mountain look like a kiddie ride. Since May, their stock has been climbing like a teenager sneaking back into the house after curfew. They're flirting with a trillion-dollar market cap, all thanks to Apple's price cuts and the insatiable appetite of data centers.

Now, understanding TSMC's earnings reports is like decoding the Matrix, but without the cool leather jackets. We need to look at revenue growth and gross margin. Think of revenue growth as TSMC's muscles and gross margin as their six-pack abs. A strong showing in both means they're in peak condition, ready to flex in the chip market.

In Q1 2024, TSMC's revenue took a little dip, like they forgot leg day. But compared to last year, they're still looking pretty swole with a 16.5% increase. The decline was mostly because Apple didn't sell as many iPhones, so TSMC's fancy 3nm chips had to take a backseat. But with Apple's new AI-powered phones on the horizon, TSMC's about to get a protein shake boost.

Now, TSMC's gross margin is hovering around 53.1%. Not bad, but it's like running a marathon with a sprained ankle. The costs of ramping up 3nm production are keeping them from breaking any records.

On to the revenue mix: TSMC's cash cows are smartphones and high-performance computing, making up about 80% of their total revenue. They saw a nice bump in smartphone sales at the end of 2023, but Apple's Q1 2024 hiccup hit them where it hurts. Luckily, data centers and AI are picking up the slack like a trusty sidekick.

And let's talk tech – TSMC's sub-7nm processes are the belle of the ball. Their 3nm chips started strong but took a hit with Apple's sales drop. Still, with new iPhones and Androids coming, these chips are like the Avengers – ready to save the day.

Now, TSMC spends money like a lottery winner in Vegas. From 2006 to 2023, they dropped 6.7 trillion New Taiwan Dollars on capital expenditures, outspending their net income. This strategy keeps them ahead of the competition but makes their free cash flow look a bit anemic.

So, what's the takeaway? TSMC's revenue is bouncing back, but their margins need some TLC. Smartphones and data centers are their bread and butter, and capital expenditures are a necessary evil to stay ahead of the game. Investors should keep an eye on these metrics and maybe have some fun with options trading if they're feeling spicy.

In summary, TSMC's like a heavyweight boxer – they've taken some hits but are still swinging strong. And remember, folks, investing is risky business. Always do your homework before jumping into the ring!
Disclaimer: This isn’t investment advice. It’s just a guy with a keyboard and a sense of humor.
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