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U.S. Markets React to Inflation Data and Await Economic Reports

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Investors took the data as a positive sign for future Federal Reserve rate cuts
Investors took the data as a positive sign for future Federal Reserve rate cuts
The U.S. stock markets displayed mixed movements, as investors focused on key inflation data and upcoming economic reports. $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ reached a new record high, closing up 0.3% at 42,313.00, while $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ fell slightly by 0.1% to 5,738.17. Meanwhile, $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ dropped by 0.4% to 18,119.59. These movements followed the release of Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data, which indicated a 2.2% year-on-year inflation increase for August, signaling continued easing of price pressures. Investors took the data as a positive sign for future Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the possibility of another 50-basis-point cut in November growing stronger.

The PCE report, considered a key indicator of inflation, provided confidence that the Federal Reserve may continue easing monetary policy to support economic growth. The inflation figures supported bullish sentiment across various sectors, particularly technology and consumer stocks. However, concerns over the labor market and its potential cooling effect on the economy kept some investors cautious, leading to mixed results across the major indices. The Fed’s upcoming rate decisions, influenced by inflation and labor market trends, will be critical to shaping the trajectory of U.S. markets in the coming months.

Bursa Malaysia Struggles Amid Profit-Taking Despite Regional Gains

Bursa Malaysia ended lower on Friday, as profit-taking activity continued to weigh down the market despite positive regional trends. $FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$ dropped by 0.67%, or 11.1 points, to close at 1,660.09, marking a significant decline as investors locked in profits from earlier gains. This came amid mixed regional market performance, with some key Asian markets benefiting from renewed optimism surrounding China’s stimulus measures.

Notable sectors that faced declines included $Bursa Utilities (0065I.MY)$, $Bursa Plantation (0025I.MY)$, and $Bursa Finance Services (0010I.MY)$. $YTLPOWR (6742.MY)$ was among the hardest hit, dropping 11 sen to RM3.62, while $SDG (5285.MY)$ fell 9 sen to RM4.81. $Bursa Finance Services (0010I.MY)$ stocks also struggled, with $MAYBANK (1155.MY)$ slipping 8 sen to RM10.58 and $PBBANK (1295.MY)$ losing 10 sen to close at RM4.57. The broader market saw a total of 660 decliners outnumbering 388 gainers, with 1.82 billion shares traded, valued at RM1.23 billion.
Bursa Malaysia’s losses were in stark contrast to gains seen in other Asian markets
Bursa Malaysia’s losses were in stark contrast to gains seen in other Asian markets
Mixed Regional Performance and Commodity Outlook

Bursa Malaysia’s losses were in stark contrast to gains seen in other Asian markets, which were buoyed by optimism from China’s economic stimulus measures. $SSE Composite Index (000001.SH)$ rose by 2.14%, while the $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ in Hong Kong surged by 3.5%. These gains were driven by hopes that China’s efforts to support its property sector and boost economic growth would spill over into regional economies. However, the Malaysian market’s performance remained subdued due to domestic profit-taking pressures and concerns over the upcoming 2025 Budget announcement, which kept investors wary.

In the commodities market, prices for Brent crude oil hovered above USD 75 per barrel, and $Crude Palm Oil Futures(JAN5) (FCPOmain.MY)$ prices remained strong at RM4,000 per metric ton, reflecting stable demand. These positive commodity trends provided some support for the energy and plantation sectors, though profit-taking activity overshadowed any potential gains.
both U.S. and Malaysian markets face a period of uncertainty
both U.S. and Malaysian markets face a period of uncertainty
Outlook for U.S. and Malaysian Markets

Looking ahead, U.S. markets will closely watch the upcoming October jobs report and key economic data related to manufacturing and services. The Federal Reserve’s decision on whether to implement another rate cut will largely depend on these figures, with traders increasingly expecting further monetary easing. A continuation of the current rate-cutting cycle could benefit sectors like technology and consumer discretionary, as lower borrowing costs boost corporate profits and consumer spending.

For Bursa Malaysia, the market may remain volatile as investors digest both global and local economic developments. While profit-taking is expected to continue, renewed optimism around the 2025 Budget and potential stimulus measures may provide some relief. Additionally, the performance of key sectors such as $Bursa Energy (0061I.MY)$, $Bursa Plantation (0025I.MY)$, and $Bursa Finance Services (0010I.MY)$ will be crucial in determining market direction in the weeks ahead.

In conclusion, both U.S. and Malaysian markets face a period of uncertainty, shaped by key inflation data, labor market trends, and government policy decisions. While U.S. markets remain optimistic about future rate cuts, Bursa Malaysia’s near-term outlook is clouded by domestic profit-taking and concerns over budgetary policies. Investors will closely monitor upcoming economic reports and announcements to navigate these challenging market conditions.
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