US CPI falls
Announced at 21:30 on 2024/8/14US Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoYThe result is 3.0% of the previous month2.9%It was.
CPI (year-on-year)It has been falling for 4 consecutive months.
unemployment rateIt has also been rising for 4 consecutive months.
Recession concernsIt can be said that it has become stronger.
ThisStock depreciationIt's a factor.
What is regarded as importantInterest rate cutsis it going to happen?
Interest rate cutsAfter waking upunemployment rateWill it stop rising?
This is important.
Concerns about the recession have already become stronger, so long-term bonds have been bought, and long-term interest rates have declined,mortgage interest ratesIt has fallen to a low value for the first time in about 1 year and 3 months.
mortgage interest ratesIf it goes down, it will be easier to buy a house. It's a boost for the housing market.
housing marketEven if it is only exciting, it does not mean that the entire US economy will be excited.
The housing market is boomingStock heightIt is certainly one of the factors.
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tena0623 : Excuse me for commenting.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I'm a beginner who just started individual stocks with this app. I suddenly ran into a crash, and while I was learning a lot, I ended up commenting.
Until yesterday's CPI, I didn't really understand the numbers and stock price trends, but these comments are also color-coded, and it's very easy to see the factors behind stock appreciation and stock depreciation
tena0623 : It has been analyzed so calmly, so I would be grateful if you could share your views on the outlook for US stocks.
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
VIX skyrocketed after the crash, the volatility was high, and I think there is a fact that the Therm Rule was also lit up.
However, if you look at the market until yesterday, it also appears that there is a recovery trend.
However, I also feel that price movements have calmed down to some extent, probably because they are waiting for the CPI and today's indicators, which you have mentioned.
Will Osugi still see the decline as VIX and Therm Rules etc. have had an impact? What I'm worried about is whether “second bottom” is likely to come soon
We are keeping a close eye on high-tech stocks, etc.