Your life script is influenced and decided by five awesome forces — should you run away when the stock price falls?
Whether the main trend or long-term trend of Tesla's stock price is upward or downward, you can get an accurate answer by looking at the following points:
Determining the main trends and long-term trends is the primary issue. Once the main trend and long-term trend have been locked in, the remaining questions are tactical issues. Waves🌊Big fish🐟When the main trend, long-term trend, secondary trend, and short-term trend are in sharp opposition to the point where the short-term trend is heated, it is an excellent opportunity to strategically invest and build a successful business in a planned and systematic manner, in gradients, batches, and discrete random variables. Follow the trend, counter technology, and reverse humanity.
1. The world's top professional reviews of Tesla and the projects behind it by three 2022 Nobel Prize in Physics winners.
Three 2022 Nobel Prize winners in physics, Alain Aspect (French physicist), John Francis Clauser (John Francis Clauser, American theoretical physicist and experimental physicist), and Anton Zeilinger (Anton Salinger, Austrian quantum physicist) have performed world-class professional assessments for Tesla and the projects behind it. Almost all of Elon Musk's industrial projects are inseparable and inseparable from Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Technology Revolution. Tesla, led by Elon Musk, is very forward-looking in the layout of the high-tech industry. Tesla's stock price will definitely expand its wings as time goes by.
Nvidia is an important node of Artificial Intelligence, and Tesla and all the industries behind it are almost a complete Artificial Intelligence ecosystem.
On October 4, 2022, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced that the 2022 Nobel Prize in Physics will be awarded to French scientist Alain Aspect (Alain Aspect), American scientist John F. Clauser (John F. Clauser), and Austrian scientist Anton Zeilinger (Anton Zeilinger) in recognition of their contributions in “entangling photon experiments, verifying violations of Bell's inequalities, and pioneering quantum information science.” They will share an average prize of SEK 10 million (approximately RMB 6.47 million).
2. The texture and development potential of the 9 companies owned by Elon Musk.
Elon Musk is an angel sent by God, a gifted member of the American Academy of Engineering, a physicist and software architect. He owns a total of 9 companies, all of which disrupt conventional human perceptions, and will surely leave an indelible contribution to the history of human development and progress. He has lofty ambitions. It is by no means something that can be measured by random people, mediocre people, villains, or scoundrels. Currently, only Tesla is listed and traded. If Musk wishes, he can go public with any one of his own, and his personal assets can easily surpass any world-class supermillionaire; the top ten world-class super-rich combined won't necessarily win Elon Musk.
(1) Tesla (Tesla) is an automobile company that changes the way people travel through electricity and solar energy. In just a few years, Tesla surpassed Toyota to become the world's largest car company, and has firmly occupied the position of the NEV sales champion several times, helping its stock rise above more than 1,130 US dollars/share (later split). This also allowed Musk to regain the position of the richest man in the world, which can be described as a “double grand slam.” Currently, only Tesla is listed for Musk, and none of the other companies are listed. Tesla is very forward-looking in the layout of the high-tech industry. Tesla's stock price will definitely expand its wings as time goes by. Put simply, a smart electric vehicle company.
Also, when Elon Musk came forward to refinance investments in the following 8 unlisted companies, he resolutely participated in the financing type of investment.
(2) Space X is the only privately owned rocket launch company in the world. The main product is the Falcon 1-9 reusable launch vehicle. Since the company has been in operation for 13 years, it has launched more rockets than NASA, and almost every few days. Starship (Starship) was originally known as the Large Falcon Rocket (BFR). SpaceX plans to use it in the future for manned flights around the Moon and space exploration to Mars. Simply put, a company with large reusable rockets.
Also, when Elon Musk came forward to refinance investments in the following 8 unlisted companies, he resolutely participated in the financing type of investment.
(2) Space X is the only privately owned rocket launch company in the world. The main product is the Falcon 1-9 reusable launch vehicle. Since the company has been in operation for 13 years, it has launched more rockets than NASA, and almost every few days. Starship (Starship) was originally known as the Large Falcon Rocket (BFR). SpaceX plans to use it in the future for manned flights around the Moon and space exploration to Mars. Simply put, a company with large reusable rockets.
(3) SolarCity was founded in October 2008, a company specializing in the development of household photovoltaic power generation projects. It is located in Foster City, California. Its main research direction is photovoltaic power generation. Simply put, a company that generates electricity from solar energy.
(4) Starlink (Starlink) is committed to the deployment and application of satellite systems. It plans to build a “Starlink” network of about 12,000 satellites in space between 2019 and 2024. Of these, 1,584 will be deployed in near-Earth orbit 550 km above Earth, and work will begin in 2020. Simply put, a company where a mobile phone receives a signal from a base station and becomes a “near-Earth satellite” phone.
(4) Starlink (Starlink) is committed to the deployment and application of satellite systems. It plans to build a “Starlink” network of about 12,000 satellites in space between 2019 and 2024. Of these, 1,584 will be deployed in near-Earth orbit 550 km above Earth, and work will begin in 2020. Simply put, a company where a mobile phone receives a signal from a base station and becomes a “near-Earth satellite” phone.
(5) Neuralink is dedicated to biological and physical interaction research, and its product concept is a “brain-computer interface”. This is also a great and highly imaginative technology. If successfully developed, humans will no longer have to spend a lot of time studying, or even college entrance exams. All knowledge known to humans can be “instilled” into the brain through a brain-computer interface. Similarly, memories stored in the human brain can also be stored on a physical disk through a brain-computer interface, which can even disruptively change the course of human history. Simply put, people have a “USB port” in their heads, which can copy in and out memorized knowledge information, etc. If successful, human immortality will become a reality.
(6) Model Pi phone. Netizens uploaded promotional and demonstration videos of Tesla phones. The phone is named “Model Pi,” which is very Tesla style. The phone is charged with light energy and communicates via Starlink. Even if it is far from Gobi Beach, in the middle of the ocean, the top of the mountain can still surf the Internet without being affected, and it is also possible to communicate for free. Simply put, it's a mobile phone that can use the Internet anywhere without a phone bill.
(7) Hyperloop, a rail transit company, whose research direction is closed vacuum maglev trains. Its R&D progress has almost entered the trial operation stage. Under ideal conditions, maglev trains would run at top speed like a capsule running at high speed in a water pipe. At that time, the distance from Beijing to Shanghai was only 10 minutes, and by then it would be another transformative advance in the history of human transportation. Simply put, a closed superhighway.
(8) Boring Company The main research direction of “Boring Company” is to build underground transportation tracks. In February and May 2021, two tunnels were excavated underground at the Las Vegas Convention Center as part of a complete underground personnel transportation system. The project, called LVCC, is expected to be officially put into operation at CES in January 2021, with a total budget of $52.5 million. Simply put, an intercity high-speed subway.
(9) Established in 2015, Open ai positioned itself as a “non-profit organization”. The goal was to achieve general artificial intelligence (AGI) in a safe manner to benefit all people equally, rather than generate profits for the company's shareholders, and is an open research company. All research results will be published and can be used free of charge. Simply put, the research results are provided free of charge to the public.
(6) Model Pi phone. Netizens uploaded promotional and demonstration videos of Tesla phones. The phone is named “Model Pi,” which is very Tesla style. The phone is charged with light energy and communicates via Starlink. Even if it is far from Gobi Beach, in the middle of the ocean, the top of the mountain can still surf the Internet without being affected, and it is also possible to communicate for free. Simply put, it's a mobile phone that can use the Internet anywhere without a phone bill.
(7) Hyperloop, a rail transit company, whose research direction is closed vacuum maglev trains. Its R&D progress has almost entered the trial operation stage. Under ideal conditions, maglev trains would run at top speed like a capsule running at high speed in a water pipe. At that time, the distance from Beijing to Shanghai was only 10 minutes, and by then it would be another transformative advance in the history of human transportation. Simply put, a closed superhighway.
(8) Boring Company The main research direction of “Boring Company” is to build underground transportation tracks. In February and May 2021, two tunnels were excavated underground at the Las Vegas Convention Center as part of a complete underground personnel transportation system. The project, called LVCC, is expected to be officially put into operation at CES in January 2021, with a total budget of $52.5 million. Simply put, an intercity high-speed subway.
(9) Established in 2015, Open ai positioned itself as a “non-profit organization”. The goal was to achieve general artificial intelligence (AGI) in a safe manner to benefit all people equally, rather than generate profits for the company's shareholders, and is an open research company. All research results will be published and can be used free of charge. Simply put, the research results are provided free of charge to the public.
3. Representing Wall Street and world capital, the highly consistent attitude shown by the actions of Wall Street's three major finders and Wall Street 7 Donkey Kong to form the new top ten consortia in the United States. (As for what their respective analysts say, it doesn't matter; after all, America is a country with a democratic, free, and legal system. You can't restrict people's freedom to express their opinions, or even force others to agree with yours.)
Wall Street's three guiding principles:
That is The Vanguard Group (Pioneer Pilot Group)
A US registered investment advisor headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania, with assets under global management of approximately $7.7 trillion as of April 2023. It is the world's largest mutual funds provider and the second-largest exchange-traded fund (ETF) provider after BlackRock's iShares. In addition to mutual funds and ETFs, Pioneer also provides brokerage services, educational account services, financial planning, asset management, and trust services. Many mutual funds managed by Pioneer are at the top of the US mutual funds asset management scale ranking. Along with BlackRock and State Street Bank, Pioneer is considered one of the three leading index fund managers in the US corporate world.
BlackRock Inc (BlackRock Group)
An American investment management company headquartered in Midtown Manhattan (Midtown Manhattan) in New York City, USA, and has established 70 offices in 30 countries around the world, with clients in 100 countries. The main business is to provide investment management, risk management and financial consulting services for corporate and retail channels. Its well-known funds include BlackRock Global Asset Allocation Fund, BlackRock World Mining Fund, BlackRock Latin America Fund, BlackRock Emerging Europe Fund, BlackRock World Energy Fund, and BlackRock New Energy Fund.
Currently, BlackRock employs 18,400 employees, and the total assets under management in the fields of stocks, fixed income, cash management, alternative investments, and real estate consulting strategies are $8.59 trillion ($1 trillion).
State Street Global Advisors (State Street Global Investors)
State Street Global Investment Management (SSGA) is the investment management division of the State Street Group and the fourth largest asset management company in the world. As of December 31, 2021, it managed nearly $4.14 trillion in assets. The company serves financial clients by developing and managing investment strategies for governments, corporations, endowments, non-profit foundations, corporate treasurers and chief financial officers, asset managers, financial advisors, and other intermediaries around the world. SSGA has 2,500 employees in 28 countries.
Wall Street's Seven Donkeys:
That is JP Morgan (Komo)
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (commonly known as “Komo”) is an American financial institution headquartered in New York City. It has 5,100 branches under its commercial banking department. In 2011/10, J.P. Morgan's assets surpassed Bank of America to become the largest financial services institution in the US. J.P. Morgan's business covers more than 50 countries, including investment banking, securities trading and services, investment management, commercial financial services, private banking services, etc. Today's J.P. Morgan Chase was formed by merging Chase Manhattan Bank and J.P. Morgan in 2000, and acquired Chicago First Bank, Washington Mutual Bank, and Bearsden, a famous American investment bank in 2004 and 2008, respectively.
Morgan Stanley (Big Mo)
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS; commonly known as “Damo”) is an international financial services company founded in New York, USA, providing financial services including securities, asset management, corporate mergers and restructuring, and credit cards. Morgan Stanley currently has representative offices in more than 1,300 cities in 42 countries around the world, with a total of more than 60,000 employees. The company's customers include companies, governments, institutions and individuals. Morgan Stanley changed the company's registered status to a “bank holding company” in September 2008. Old Morgan Stanley was founded on September 16, 1935, and was first founded by J. P. Morgan's partner Henry Sturgis Morgan (grandson of John Pierpont Morgan) and Harold Stanley were founded. The new company was established in response to the Glass-Steagall Act — the mandatory separation of commercial banking and investment banking businesses. In the first year of establishment, Old Morgan Stanley was responsible for trading 24% of the total market value (1.1 billion US dollars). New Morgan Stanley was founded in 1997 as a result of the merger of the old Morgan Stanley and Tianhui Discovery Company. Pei Xiliang, the chairman and CEO of Tianhui, became the chairman and CEO of the new company. The new company was named “Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Discover & Co. (Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Discover & Co.)” In 2001, the new company finally changed its name to “Morgan Stanley (Morgan Stanley)”. New Morgan Stanley's main business areas are securities management, wealth management, and investment management.
Citadel LLC (commonly known as Castle Company, Castle Investment Company)
A multinational hedge fund financial services company headquartered in the United States, founded by Kenneth C. Griffin in 1990. The company has two main businesses. One is Citadel, which operates as an asset management capital of more than 35 billion US dollars, and Citadel Securities, which provides products such as stocks and options as a market maker. The company has more than 1,400 employees, is headquartered in Chicago, and has an operations center in Manhattan, New York, and branches in many cities in North America, Europe, and Asia. In January 2021, Citadel+Point72 Asset Management invested $2.75 billion in Melvin Capital, which previously lost 30% of its value due to GameStop's short squeeze. Meanwhile, Citadel denied rumors that it ordered the Robin Hood trading platform to close the relevant stock trading rights.
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)
An American multinational investment banking and financial services company with its head office in Manhattan, New York City. Goldman Sachs Group provides services such as investment management, securities, asset management, primary brokerage and securities underwriting. Goldman Sachs Group is one of the largest investment institutions in the world; it is also a first-class treasury bond dealer for US Treasury Securities, and is also a well-known market maker in the general sense of the word. Goldman Sachs Group also owns a direct sales bank, Goldman Sachs Bank USA (Goldman Sachs Bank USA). Goldman Sachs Group was founded in 1869, and its head office is located at 200 West Street in Lower Manhattan (Lower Manhattan); it also has offices in major financial centers around the world. Goldman Sachs Group suffered losses during the 2007-2008 global financial crisis due to its participation in asset securitization during the subprime mortgage crisis. Goldman Sachs Group received an investment of $10 billion from the US Treasury as part of the troubled asset rescue plan; the financial relief plan stemmed from the Economic Stability Emergency Act. The investment began in November 2008 and began to be repaid in June 2009. Many former Goldman Sachs employees will be transferred to government positions. The most famous ones include former US Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, Henry Paulson, and Stephen Mnuchin; former chief economic adviser Gary Cohen, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi; former Bank of Canada President Mark Carney; and former Australian Prime Minister Mackan Tembo. In addition, former Goldman Sachs Group employees have managed the New York Stock Exchange, the World Bank, and competitors such as Citigroup and Merrill Lynch. Goldman Sachs Group is ranked 70th in Fortune Magazine's list of the 500 largest companies in the U.S., according to total revenue.
Bank of America (Bank of America)
It is the second-largest commercial bank in the US in terms of assets, after J.P. Morgan. Bank of America has approximately 5,600 branches and 16,200 ATM locations in more than 150 countries around the world. Bank of America was the third-largest company in the US based on total revenue rankings in 2010. In 2014, it was the 13th largest company in the world according to Forbes Global Top 2000 listed companies. The bank's establishment dates back to the Bank of Massachusetts in 1784 and is the second-oldest bank in the United States.
Renaissance Technologies LLC (Renaissance Technologies LLC) is famous for its high-precision investment transactions. After James Harris Simons returned to heaven, it seemed to disappear and no longer exist? low-key?)
Renaissance Technologies LLC, also known as RenTech or RenTec, is an American hedge fund headquartered in East Setucket, Long Island, NY, that specializes in systematic trading using quantitative models derived from mathematical and statistical analysis. Their iconic Medallion fund is known for the best record in investment history.
Renaissance was founded in 1982 by James Simmons, a mathematician who worked as a code-breaker during the Cold War.
In 1988, the company established its most profitable investment portfolio—the Medallion Fund (Medallion Fund). The fund uses Leonard Baum's mathematical model, refined and extended by algebraist James Ax (James Ax), to explore the correlations that can be profitable from it. Elwyn Berlekamp (Elwyn Berlekamp) played an important role in developing transactions into short-term, purely system-driven decisions. The hedge fund was named the Medal Fund after Simmons and Axe's math awards.
Medallion, the flagship fund of the Renaissance, is mainly managed by fund employees and is known for its best performance record on Wall Street. In the 30 years from 1988 to 2018, the annualized return before deducting fees was over 66%, and the annualized return after deducting fees was 39%. Renaissance offers two portfolios to external investors — Renaissance Institutional Equity Fund (RIEF) and Renaissance Institutional Diversified Alpha Fund (RIDA).
Due to the success of Renaissance Corporation and Medallion Fund, Simmons is known as “the best fund manager on the planet.”
Simmons ran the Renaissance Company until his retirement at the end of 2009. He continued as the company's non-executive chairman, stepped down in 2021, and continued to invest in its funds, particularly the Medallion Fund, until his death in 2024. The company is now run by Peter Brown (after Robert Mercer's resignation). Both are computer scientists who specialize in computational linguistics and joined Renaissance from IBM Research in 1993. As of April 2021, the fund managed discretionary assets (including leverage) of $165 billion.
Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire Hathaway)
Stock god Warren Edward Buffett is in charge, believes in the so-called “value investment law,” and is known as the most successful investor in the world. In 2010, Buffett claimed that the acquisition of Berkshire Hathaway was his biggest investment mistake ever, and claimed that the investment cost him approximately $200 billion in return on investment. Buffett claims that if he directly invested this money in the insurance business instead of buying out Berkshire Hathaway. Because he feels he has been offended by others, these investments will pay back hundreds of times.
Long-term portfolios:
5.89% of Apple's shares
Occidental Petroleum Corporation 27.13% equity
26.55% equity in Kraft Heinz
9.25% stake in Coca-Cola
Chevron shares 5.89%
American Express has a 20.8% stake
Bank of America 13.05% equity
2.89% of Citigroup's shares
Moody's shares are 13.48%
Kroger's 6.95% equity
Liberty SiriusXM's 19.42% equity
9.61% equity in Allied Financial Corporation
39.51% equity interest in Davita Healthcare
Verisign 12.55% equity
4.49% shareholding in Floor & Decor
8.75% share in STORE CAPITAL
Itochu 8.17% equity
Marubeni 8.39% equity
8.65% equity in Mitsubishi Corporation
Mitsui & Co., Ltd. shares 8.32%
(6.732% shareholding in Sumitomo Corporation)
That is The Vanguard Group (Pioneer Pilot Group)
A US registered investment advisor headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania, with assets under global management of approximately $7.7 trillion as of April 2023. It is the world's largest mutual funds provider and the second-largest exchange-traded fund (ETF) provider after BlackRock's iShares. In addition to mutual funds and ETFs, Pioneer also provides brokerage services, educational account services, financial planning, asset management, and trust services. Many mutual funds managed by Pioneer are at the top of the US mutual funds asset management scale ranking. Along with BlackRock and State Street Bank, Pioneer is considered one of the three leading index fund managers in the US corporate world.
BlackRock Inc (BlackRock Group)
An American investment management company headquartered in Midtown Manhattan (Midtown Manhattan) in New York City, USA, and has established 70 offices in 30 countries around the world, with clients in 100 countries. The main business is to provide investment management, risk management and financial consulting services for corporate and retail channels. Its well-known funds include BlackRock Global Asset Allocation Fund, BlackRock World Mining Fund, BlackRock Latin America Fund, BlackRock Emerging Europe Fund, BlackRock World Energy Fund, and BlackRock New Energy Fund.
Currently, BlackRock employs 18,400 employees, and the total assets under management in the fields of stocks, fixed income, cash management, alternative investments, and real estate consulting strategies are $8.59 trillion ($1 trillion).
State Street Global Advisors (State Street Global Investors)
State Street Global Investment Management (SSGA) is the investment management division of the State Street Group and the fourth largest asset management company in the world. As of December 31, 2021, it managed nearly $4.14 trillion in assets. The company serves financial clients by developing and managing investment strategies for governments, corporations, endowments, non-profit foundations, corporate treasurers and chief financial officers, asset managers, financial advisors, and other intermediaries around the world. SSGA has 2,500 employees in 28 countries.
Wall Street's Seven Donkeys:
That is JP Morgan (Komo)
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (commonly known as “Komo”) is an American financial institution headquartered in New York City. It has 5,100 branches under its commercial banking department. In 2011/10, J.P. Morgan's assets surpassed Bank of America to become the largest financial services institution in the US. J.P. Morgan's business covers more than 50 countries, including investment banking, securities trading and services, investment management, commercial financial services, private banking services, etc. Today's J.P. Morgan Chase was formed by merging Chase Manhattan Bank and J.P. Morgan in 2000, and acquired Chicago First Bank, Washington Mutual Bank, and Bearsden, a famous American investment bank in 2004 and 2008, respectively.
Morgan Stanley (Big Mo)
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS; commonly known as “Damo”) is an international financial services company founded in New York, USA, providing financial services including securities, asset management, corporate mergers and restructuring, and credit cards. Morgan Stanley currently has representative offices in more than 1,300 cities in 42 countries around the world, with a total of more than 60,000 employees. The company's customers include companies, governments, institutions and individuals. Morgan Stanley changed the company's registered status to a “bank holding company” in September 2008. Old Morgan Stanley was founded on September 16, 1935, and was first founded by J. P. Morgan's partner Henry Sturgis Morgan (grandson of John Pierpont Morgan) and Harold Stanley were founded. The new company was established in response to the Glass-Steagall Act — the mandatory separation of commercial banking and investment banking businesses. In the first year of establishment, Old Morgan Stanley was responsible for trading 24% of the total market value (1.1 billion US dollars). New Morgan Stanley was founded in 1997 as a result of the merger of the old Morgan Stanley and Tianhui Discovery Company. Pei Xiliang, the chairman and CEO of Tianhui, became the chairman and CEO of the new company. The new company was named “Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Discover & Co. (Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Discover & Co.)” In 2001, the new company finally changed its name to “Morgan Stanley (Morgan Stanley)”. New Morgan Stanley's main business areas are securities management, wealth management, and investment management.
Citadel LLC (commonly known as Castle Company, Castle Investment Company)
A multinational hedge fund financial services company headquartered in the United States, founded by Kenneth C. Griffin in 1990. The company has two main businesses. One is Citadel, which operates as an asset management capital of more than 35 billion US dollars, and Citadel Securities, which provides products such as stocks and options as a market maker. The company has more than 1,400 employees, is headquartered in Chicago, and has an operations center in Manhattan, New York, and branches in many cities in North America, Europe, and Asia. In January 2021, Citadel+Point72 Asset Management invested $2.75 billion in Melvin Capital, which previously lost 30% of its value due to GameStop's short squeeze. Meanwhile, Citadel denied rumors that it ordered the Robin Hood trading platform to close the relevant stock trading rights.
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)
An American multinational investment banking and financial services company with its head office in Manhattan, New York City. Goldman Sachs Group provides services such as investment management, securities, asset management, primary brokerage and securities underwriting. Goldman Sachs Group is one of the largest investment institutions in the world; it is also a first-class treasury bond dealer for US Treasury Securities, and is also a well-known market maker in the general sense of the word. Goldman Sachs Group also owns a direct sales bank, Goldman Sachs Bank USA (Goldman Sachs Bank USA). Goldman Sachs Group was founded in 1869, and its head office is located at 200 West Street in Lower Manhattan (Lower Manhattan); it also has offices in major financial centers around the world. Goldman Sachs Group suffered losses during the 2007-2008 global financial crisis due to its participation in asset securitization during the subprime mortgage crisis. Goldman Sachs Group received an investment of $10 billion from the US Treasury as part of the troubled asset rescue plan; the financial relief plan stemmed from the Economic Stability Emergency Act. The investment began in November 2008 and began to be repaid in June 2009. Many former Goldman Sachs employees will be transferred to government positions. The most famous ones include former US Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, Henry Paulson, and Stephen Mnuchin; former chief economic adviser Gary Cohen, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi; former Bank of Canada President Mark Carney; and former Australian Prime Minister Mackan Tembo. In addition, former Goldman Sachs Group employees have managed the New York Stock Exchange, the World Bank, and competitors such as Citigroup and Merrill Lynch. Goldman Sachs Group is ranked 70th in Fortune Magazine's list of the 500 largest companies in the U.S., according to total revenue.
Bank of America (Bank of America)
It is the second-largest commercial bank in the US in terms of assets, after J.P. Morgan. Bank of America has approximately 5,600 branches and 16,200 ATM locations in more than 150 countries around the world. Bank of America was the third-largest company in the US based on total revenue rankings in 2010. In 2014, it was the 13th largest company in the world according to Forbes Global Top 2000 listed companies. The bank's establishment dates back to the Bank of Massachusetts in 1784 and is the second-oldest bank in the United States.
Renaissance Technologies LLC (Renaissance Technologies LLC) is famous for its high-precision investment transactions. After James Harris Simons returned to heaven, it seemed to disappear and no longer exist? low-key?)
Renaissance Technologies LLC, also known as RenTech or RenTec, is an American hedge fund headquartered in East Setucket, Long Island, NY, that specializes in systematic trading using quantitative models derived from mathematical and statistical analysis. Their iconic Medallion fund is known for the best record in investment history.
Renaissance was founded in 1982 by James Simmons, a mathematician who worked as a code-breaker during the Cold War.
In 1988, the company established its most profitable investment portfolio—the Medallion Fund (Medallion Fund). The fund uses Leonard Baum's mathematical model, refined and extended by algebraist James Ax (James Ax), to explore the correlations that can be profitable from it. Elwyn Berlekamp (Elwyn Berlekamp) played an important role in developing transactions into short-term, purely system-driven decisions. The hedge fund was named the Medal Fund after Simmons and Axe's math awards.
Medallion, the flagship fund of the Renaissance, is mainly managed by fund employees and is known for its best performance record on Wall Street. In the 30 years from 1988 to 2018, the annualized return before deducting fees was over 66%, and the annualized return after deducting fees was 39%. Renaissance offers two portfolios to external investors — Renaissance Institutional Equity Fund (RIEF) and Renaissance Institutional Diversified Alpha Fund (RIDA).
Due to the success of Renaissance Corporation and Medallion Fund, Simmons is known as “the best fund manager on the planet.”
Simmons ran the Renaissance Company until his retirement at the end of 2009. He continued as the company's non-executive chairman, stepped down in 2021, and continued to invest in its funds, particularly the Medallion Fund, until his death in 2024. The company is now run by Peter Brown (after Robert Mercer's resignation). Both are computer scientists who specialize in computational linguistics and joined Renaissance from IBM Research in 1993. As of April 2021, the fund managed discretionary assets (including leverage) of $165 billion.
Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire Hathaway)
Stock god Warren Edward Buffett is in charge, believes in the so-called “value investment law,” and is known as the most successful investor in the world. In 2010, Buffett claimed that the acquisition of Berkshire Hathaway was his biggest investment mistake ever, and claimed that the investment cost him approximately $200 billion in return on investment. Buffett claims that if he directly invested this money in the insurance business instead of buying out Berkshire Hathaway. Because he feels he has been offended by others, these investments will pay back hundreds of times.
Long-term portfolios:
5.89% of Apple's shares
Occidental Petroleum Corporation 27.13% equity
26.55% equity in Kraft Heinz
9.25% stake in Coca-Cola
Chevron shares 5.89%
American Express has a 20.8% stake
Bank of America 13.05% equity
2.89% of Citigroup's shares
Moody's shares are 13.48%
Kroger's 6.95% equity
Liberty SiriusXM's 19.42% equity
9.61% equity in Allied Financial Corporation
39.51% equity interest in Davita Healthcare
Verisign 12.55% equity
4.49% shareholding in Floor & Decor
8.75% share in STORE CAPITAL
Itochu 8.17% equity
Marubeni 8.39% equity
8.65% equity in Mitsubishi Corporation
Mitsui & Co., Ltd. shares 8.32%
(6.732% shareholding in Sumitomo Corporation)
Core tips🔔: The only way to make yourself feel that there is hope in life is to do things, to do difficult things, to do difficult things, to do things is to light a light for yourself that leads to hope, to do the process of doing things, you will feel that there is light in the future, there is hope for the future.
Your life script is influenced and determined by five awesome forces:
1. Derived from parental prohibitions and seals.
2. Derived from primary and secondary school teachers' expectations and discipline.
3. Inspired by movies, books, and media.
4. Derive from the power of external destiny and the example you follow.
5. Derived from your independent thinking and autonomous ambition. Therefore, the only person who can change the trajectory of your own destiny is actually yourself.
1. Derived from parental prohibitions and seals.
2. Derived from primary and secondary school teachers' expectations and discipline.
3. Inspired by movies, books, and media.
4. Derive from the power of external destiny and the example you follow.
5. Derived from your independent thinking and autonomous ambition. Therefore, the only person who can change the trajectory of your own destiny is actually yourself.
If the macro is clear and the micro level is still hazy, act right: in ten years, you may be a person or a waste. That depends on what you do today.
1. People are not born to carry chains, but to spread their wings.
2. If a person's heart is not full of flowers, it will be full of weeds.
3. When ignorance becomes mainstream, sobriety is a crime.
4. People who talk a lot always try to hide something; people who are silent definitely believe in something in their hearts.
5. Everyone has the sun, the main thing is how to make it shine.
6. Most misfortunes in life are not caused by bad luck, but by clumsiness, burnout, and vulgarity.
2. If a person's heart is not full of flowers, it will be full of weeds.
3. When ignorance becomes mainstream, sobriety is a crime.
4. People who talk a lot always try to hide something; people who are silent definitely believe in something in their hearts.
5. Everyone has the sun, the main thing is how to make it shine.
6. Most misfortunes in life are not caused by bad luck, but by clumsiness, burnout, and vulgarity.
*********
Big bank analysts support Tesla: the second half of the year began a strong rebound, and Robotaxi was a turning point!
Well-known Wedbush strategist Dan Ives said Tesla's stock price is expected to rebound in the second half of this year as the struggling electric car maker's situation is finally starting to improve.
Ives said that the launch of Robotaxi in August may represent a major turning point in Tesla's stock price. He previously called this robot taxi a “miracle model” for the company.
He believes Musk's “comeback” story will begin on Robotaxi Day in August. He said he believes this stock will rise sharply in the second half of this year. I think Tesla's stock price is telling you... the worst for Musk and Tesla is over.”
Ives has been convinced of Tesla's growth potential for years. Despite Tesla's decline of more than 21% this year, before surging 6% on Monday. The company previously announced the introduction of a new financial policy for car purchases in China. Among them, for the 1-5 year 0 interest and low interest discount car purchase policy introduced for the Model 3/Y standard battery life version, the daily wage starts as low as 85 yuan.
He said before Tesla's surge on Monday that despite the company's tepid performance in 2024 so far, he is still optimistic about the company. Ives previously said that Tesla's stock price plummeted in 2024, mainly due to weak demand for electric vehicles, increased competition in the Chinese market, and many legal disputes related to Musk.
However, Ives said these negative factors are being mitigated, especially as the situation in China begins to stabilize. Tesla has stopped cutting prices on its major models, which could be a sign of stronger demand.
“Tesla has faced huge competitive resistance in China, and now we see it making a comeback.” he said.
Ives said Tesla's second-quarter delivery data, which is due to be released this Tuesday (July 2), may be disappointing, but this may be “the last bad news” for the automaker.
Currently, the market generally anticipates that Tesla's second-quarter deliveries will once again face difficulties. According to the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) survey of 12 analysts, Tesla is expected to deliver 438,000 vehicles in the second quarter compared to 466,000 vehicles in the same period last year. Seven analysts have drastically lowered their expectations over the past three months.
This may be the first time that the world's largest electric vehicle manufacturer has experienced two consecutive quarters of declining deliveries. In the first quarter, Tesla delivered 38,6810 vehicles worldwide, down 8.5% from the same period last year.
Overall, Wedbush reaffirmed Tesla's “better than market” rating and a price target of $275, which means the stock will rise 31% from current levels. As of press release, Tesla's US stocks rose slightly by 0.04% in night trading.
Ives also said that if Trump is re-elected, related profits may expand because Trump is “pro-Musk” compared to President Biden, who “actively ignores” Tesla.
Other analysts seem less certain about Tesla's future. Long-term investors and bank forecasters warned that the stock could have downside as much as 91% ($14). Wells Fargo (Wells Fargo) strategists said earlier this year that this is because the company's business model has key issues, and the negative factors for growth are likely to continue for several years.
Tesla Q2 sales volume will be released soon! The stock price has rebounded more than 40% from its low point, and some major banks are shouting: it can rise another 50%!
According to FactSet data, the market expects Tesla Q2 sales to drop 6.5% year over year to 436,000 units.
As time comes to July, Tesla, the world's leading NEV company, is also about to release Q2 delivery data. Although FactSet data shows that the market expects Tesla Q2 sales to drop 6.5% year on year to 436,000 units, it is difficult to stop the company's stock price from rising strongly. It rose more than 8% in four trading days, and once returned to the $200 mark.
Tesla's detailed sales data should have been disclosed on the official IR website. However, a microblog post this morning also seemed to subtly reveal some sales information. Tesla said “Tesla's sales reached a new high in June” in the “5 year zero interest” car purchase policy microblog. Afterwards, they probably didn't understand it, and the editor deleted the relevant statement. We don't know how much this boosted Q2 sales, but at least we know that June sales will not be very pessimistic.
Tesla rebounded more than 40% from its low point
Earlier in Q1, Tesla delivered 386.81 million vehicles, the first year-on-year decline since the pandemic. This is far below analysts' expectations of 449.08 million vehicles. As a result, Tesla's stock price has been in a downward channel for a long time, hitting a minimum of 138.8 US dollars at one point.
However, with the release of the Q1 results on April 24, Musk reiterated the importance of FSD and after speeding up the launch of cheap models, Tesla ushered in a strong rebound. By the close of the market on June 28, Tesla had already rebounded more than 40% over a period of more than two months. In the same period, NIO, a “new car builder,” recorded only a 15% increase, and Xiaopeng recorded a 12% increase, and Ideal Auto fell by more than 28%.
Wall Street giants are arguing for a long time
Q2 sales are still undecided, and major Wall Street banks also disagree on Tesla's target price. Among them, the target price difference for “big and small motorcycles” is actually as high as 200 US dollars. However, the target price for the biggest bullish motorcycle is 310 dollars, which means Tesla still has room to rise by more than 50%.
Morgan Stanley: Tesla is the key “winner and loser” in the next round of AI investment
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas believes that AI data centers are currently being built all over the US, and these data centers will become “giants that swallow electricity,” putting a huge load on the US power grid. Jonas said that by 2030, the electricity consumption of US data centers could be equivalent to the electricity consumption of 150 million electric vehicles. In other words, the projected increase in US data center power from 2023 to 2027 is equivalent to adding 59 million electric vehicles on US roads, or 21% increase in the total number of vehicles in service.”
Jonas, on the other hand, is strongly optimistic about Tesla's energy business and believes that the demand for electricity brought about by the AI boom will make Tesla a key player in the US energy market.
Morgan Stanley predicts that Tesla's energy business is expected to increase net operating profit after tax by 2030 by $3.95 billion, or more than $1 per share. Morgan Stanley values Tesla's energy business at $130 billion. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley raised Tesla's target price to 310 US dollars, giving it an “increase in weight” rating. That means there's still room for more than 50% upside.
Stifel: Long-term profit expectations have bottomed out, and core technical advantages are obvious
Last week, Stephen Gengaro, an analyst under Stifel, also released a bullish report, covering Tesla for the first time and giving it a buy rating. The target price was set at $265, which means that the stock still has room to rise by about 35%. Gengaro believes that despite the recent slowdown in sales of electric vehicles, Tesla's development momentum will gradually improve as the overcharging network expands, affordable models are launched, and overall technology is improved:
Judging from financial and profit indicators, Tesla's forward profit expectations have bottomed out. Gengaro pointed out that the consensus forecast for Tesla's profit before tax, interest, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in 2024 has declined by 41% over the past 12 months, and the agreed forecast for net profit before interest and tax (EBIT) has declined by 46%. Next, as “negative expectations are gradually revised,” it may boost stock prices to a certain extent.
Gengaro is also particularly optimistic about Tesla's core technical advantages and believes that the company has no competitors in the field of electric vehicles:
“Traditional car manufacturers don't have the technical knowledge required for electric cars; they are far behind in this electrification game.”
“And they don't have CEOs like Musk.”
J.P. Morgan: Tesla's driverless taxi business prospects are uncertain
In stark contrast to Damo's optimism, Xiaomo analysts such as Ryan Brinkman believe that Tesla's driverless taxi business may actually bring in substantial revenue for many years.
Brinkman mentioned that Tesla said its next wave of growth will be led by introducing low-cost models that are expected to go live by 2025, which utilize existing platforms and assembly lines rather than the next-generation platforms previously planned.
Brinkman believes this indicates that sales costs have declined less in the short term. J.P. Morgan rated Tesla shares as sold, with a target price of 115 US dollars.
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