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New York (AP) 2025/04/02 5:25 Japan time
The US stock market continued unstable trading on Tuesday, but uncertainty remains strong regarding what President Donald Trump will announce about tariffs on Wednesday's "Liberation Day."
The S&P 500 rebounded sharply from an early 1% decline, rising by 0.4%. The Dow Inc fluctuated between a drop of 480 points and a rise of nearly 140 points, ultimately ending with a slight decrease of 11 points (less than 0.1%), while the Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 0.9%.
Wall Street has been particularly unstable lately, with uncertainty around how President Trump will handle tariffs and how much this will worsen inflation and pressure economic growth, causing volatility not only day-to-day but even hour-to-hour. For example, on Monday, the S&P 500 surged from an initial drop of 1.7% to a rise of 0.7%.
In the bond market, treasury yields fell following reports that U.S. manufacturing activity contracted last month, ending two consecutive months of growth.
The US stock market continued unstable trading on Tuesday, but uncertainty remains strong regarding what President Donald Trump will announce about tariffs on Wednesday's "Liberation Day."
The S&P 500 rebounded sharply from an early 1% decline, rising by 0.4%. The Dow Inc fluctuated between a drop of 480 points and a rise of nearly 140 points, ultimately ending with a slight decrease of 11 points (less than 0.1%), while the Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 0.9%.
Wall Street has been particularly unstable lately, with uncertainty around how President Trump will handle tariffs and how much this will worsen inflation and pressure economic growth, causing volatility not only day-to-day but even hour-to-hour. For example, on Monday, the S&P 500 surged from an initial drop of 1.7% to a rise of 0.7%.
In the bond market, treasury yields fell following reports that U.S. manufacturing activity contracted last month, ending two consecutive months of growth.
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Bangkok (AP News) 2025/04/01 18:26 Japan time.
Following the turmoil in US stocks due to President Donald Trump's impending 'Liberation Day' tariffs, global stock prices generally rose on Tuesday.
Gold rose to over $3,170 per ounce but then declined slightly.
The DAX Index in Germany rose by 1.3% to 22,452.79, while the CAC40 Index in Paris increased by 1% to 7,866.97. The FTSE100 Index in the UK rose by 0.9% to 8,659.13.
The S&P 500 Futures remained unchanged, while the Dow Inc fell by 0.1%.
When the economy is unstable, prices of assets considered safer investments are rising rather than Stocks. Gold surpassed $3,170 per ounce early Tuesday morning but then slightly declined.
The Nikkei average in the Tokyo Stock Market remained nearly unchanged at $35,624.48, as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba pleaded with President Trump not to impose high auto tariffs on Japan, a long-time ally. A survey by the central bank found that the business sentiment among major manufacturers has deteriorated....
Following the turmoil in US stocks due to President Donald Trump's impending 'Liberation Day' tariffs, global stock prices generally rose on Tuesday.
Gold rose to over $3,170 per ounce but then declined slightly.
The DAX Index in Germany rose by 1.3% to 22,452.79, while the CAC40 Index in Paris increased by 1% to 7,866.97. The FTSE100 Index in the UK rose by 0.9% to 8,659.13.
The S&P 500 Futures remained unchanged, while the Dow Inc fell by 0.1%.
When the economy is unstable, prices of assets considered safer investments are rising rather than Stocks. Gold surpassed $3,170 per ounce early Tuesday morning but then slightly declined.
The Nikkei average in the Tokyo Stock Market remained nearly unchanged at $35,624.48, as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba pleaded with President Trump not to impose high auto tariffs on Japan, a long-time ally. A survey by the central bank found that the business sentiment among major manufacturers has deteriorated....
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$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
First, the bottom price from yesterday's open is
the Fibonacci 0.618 drawn from August 5th
and
The 0.236 Fibonacci pulled from the bottom of 2022.
Since this will form a double line, if you think of adjusting for this uncertainty and are going to buy, it will be an excellent and rare buying opportunity!
Due to exchange rate risks and the fact that this rebound has been driven not by the tech stocks that have symbolized 🇺🇸 so far, but by defensives, a wait-and-see approach will continue for the time being.![]()
Since this is information based solely on technical analysis that ignores fundamentals, investment is at your own risk. However, I will leave this as one piece of information.
First, the bottom price from yesterday's open is
the Fibonacci 0.618 drawn from August 5th
and
The 0.236 Fibonacci pulled from the bottom of 2022.
Since this will form a double line, if you think of adjusting for this uncertainty and are going to buy, it will be an excellent and rare buying opportunity!
Due to exchange rate risks and the fact that this rebound has been driven not by the tech stocks that have symbolized 🇺🇸 so far, but by defensives, a wait-and-see approach will continue for the time being.
Since this is information based solely on technical analysis that ignores fundamentals, investment is at your own risk. However, I will leave this as one piece of information.
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The small AI-related stocks that have relatively high trading volume on the MOOMOO app. $Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$ Announced its earnings after the market closed on March 31. During the normal trading hours before the earnings announcement, it rose 18% (*), but fell in after-hours trading immediately after the earnings announcement (at one point dropping nearly 2%).
(The significant fluctuations in stock prices are believed to be influenced by expectations for the earnings reports, options trading, and window dressing at the end of the quarter.)
Performance Trends
(Including management comments during the Earnings Call)
●Fiscal Year 2024
・revenue74.67 million dollars, an increase of 15% year-on-year. Surpassed the Analyst predictions of 71.25 million dollars.
・net profit (excluding one-time items)21.32 million dollars, significantly exceeded the company's guidance by up to 253.7%.
・gross profit margin: 50.0%, exceeding company guidance.
・Adjusted EPS (earnings per share): $1.96, below the Analyst estimate of $2.63 (*).
(Note: Both are aggregated by Bloomberg. Currently, 2 Analysts cover the company and have issued a Target Price).
なお、会社側の発...
(The significant fluctuations in stock prices are believed to be influenced by expectations for the earnings reports, options trading, and window dressing at the end of the quarter.)
Performance Trends
(Including management comments during the Earnings Call)
●Fiscal Year 2024
・revenue74.67 million dollars, an increase of 15% year-on-year. Surpassed the Analyst predictions of 71.25 million dollars.
・net profit (excluding one-time items)21.32 million dollars, significantly exceeded the company's guidance by up to 253.7%.
・gross profit margin: 50.0%, exceeding company guidance.
・Adjusted EPS (earnings per share): $1.96, below the Analyst estimate of $2.63 (*).
(Note: Both are aggregated by Bloomberg. Currently, 2 Analysts cover the company and have issued a Target Price).
なお、会社側の発...
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![[Gorilla Technology Earnings Summary] Is the management bullish, even as a target for short sell? The stock price fell immediately after the earnings report.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20250401/web-1743483413108-hcc1mGfKGu.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![[Gorilla Technology Earnings Summary] Is the management bullish, even as a target for short sell? The stock price fell immediately after the earnings report.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20250401/web-1743481598286-Up3sWH6yKp.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![[Gorilla Technology Earnings Summary] Is the management bullish, even as a target for short sell? The stock price fell immediately after the earnings report.](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20250401/web-1743488110826-UfpFESekfM.jpeg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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$iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG.US)$
Yesterday, it briefly broke the previous ATH of 36.71, but quickly returned and is currently solidifying Resistance.![]()
This previous high of 36.71, when exactly was it?17 years ago.It becomes, haha.
It has reached a new high for the first time in 17 years... I remember the updates since last year's Nikkei bubble, but the difference between Japan and Germany... is that the euro is currently in a phase of rate cuts, Germany has begun to show signs of bottoming out as it avoids recession in 2023 and 2024, and the fiscal bazooka (the constitutional amendment for budget expansion has passed).
For now, expecting strong Resistance, I added more EWG just before the close.💰
Yesterday, it briefly broke the previous ATH of 36.71, but quickly returned and is currently solidifying Resistance.
This previous high of 36.71, when exactly was it?17 years ago.It becomes, haha.
It has reached a new high for the first time in 17 years... I remember the updates since last year's Nikkei bubble, but the difference between Japan and Germany... is that the euro is currently in a phase of rate cuts, Germany has begun to show signs of bottoming out as it avoids recession in 2023 and 2024, and the fiscal bazooka (the constitutional amendment for budget expansion has passed).
For now, expecting strong Resistance, I added more EWG just before the close.💰
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Columns What's happening now.
There is a trend where discussions link everything related to Trump's tariffs and other phenomena to a single cause, but this stems from the characteristics of lacking memory in the brain, attributing things to the malice unique to conspiracy theorists, or simplifying complexities. Here are some observational results to share.
1. Adjustment due to tariffs / Adjustment due to concerns about economic recession.
―1980: Rumors of recession concerns: 17% drop / recovery in 43 days.
―2018: Trump's tariffs: 20% drop / recovery in 95 days.
Applying past patterns, what is happening this time is similar to these two.
Since the market has a rhythm, if it’s similar to the second case, it can be thought that it will take time to recover.
2. Will it be a hard recession?
The market is mainly declining in Nasdaq (tech sector), but a hard recession is not yet priced in.
I check the Heat Map every day, and since public utilities/healthcare/consumption/petroleum and Energy are strong, especially while Energy remains strong.
It can be interpreted that the market is calmly determining there won't be such a terrible recession.
If Energy starts to decline...
1. Adjustment due to tariffs / Adjustment due to concerns about economic recession.
―1980: Rumors of recession concerns: 17% drop / recovery in 43 days.
―2018: Trump's tariffs: 20% drop / recovery in 95 days.
Applying past patterns, what is happening this time is similar to these two.
Since the market has a rhythm, if it’s similar to the second case, it can be thought that it will take time to recover.
2. Will it be a hard recession?
The market is mainly declining in Nasdaq (tech sector), but a hard recession is not yet priced in.
I check the Heat Map every day, and since public utilities/healthcare/consumption/petroleum and Energy are strong, especially while Energy remains strong.
It can be interpreted that the market is calmly determining there won't be such a terrible recession.
If Energy starts to decline...
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The "Assignment" of American stock options refers to the obligation of the seller to fulfill their duty when the buyer exercises their rights. Specifically, it is as follows,
Seller of Call Option: When the buyer exercises their rights, the seller is obligated to sell the Stocks at the specified exercise price. If the seller does not hold the Stocks, a short position may arise.
Seller of the Put Single Option: When the buyer exercises the right, the seller is obliged to purchase the Stocks at the specified exercise price. At this time, funds for the purchase of 100 shares are required in the Account.
The assignment can be settled not only on the expiration date but also before expiration in the case of American-type Single Options, which means there is a possibility of being forced to settle. In exchange for bearing this risk, the seller has the benefit of receiving a premium.
I expect that MOOMOO Securities will specifically explain the mechanisms (such as the deposit deadlines in case of insufficient funds) and the specific penalties for non-fulfillment (such as forced liquidation of other stocks in the account).
Seller of Call Option: When the buyer exercises their rights, the seller is obligated to sell the Stocks at the specified exercise price. If the seller does not hold the Stocks, a short position may arise.
Seller of the Put Single Option: When the buyer exercises the right, the seller is obliged to purchase the Stocks at the specified exercise price. At this time, funds for the purchase of 100 shares are required in the Account.
The assignment can be settled not only on the expiration date but also before expiration in the case of American-type Single Options, which means there is a possibility of being forced to settle. In exchange for bearing this risk, the seller has the benefit of receiving a premium.
I expect that MOOMOO Securities will specifically explain the mechanisms (such as the deposit deadlines in case of insufficient funds) and the specific penalties for non-fulfillment (such as forced liquidation of other stocks in the account).
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