とにお
liked
Many people, myself included“If the yen depreciates, the Nikkei Average will rise,” “at least it won't fall,” “large export stocks will rise.”I think that's the perception.
But here tooI need a mindset changeI would like to confirm the story that we are in such a situation... while looking at the chart.
This is a chart of the correlation coefficient between Nikkei futures and the dollar and yen.
As the name suggests, the correlation coefficientThe state of correlation between the twoIt represents,1.0 is the max and 1.0 is fully correlated. -1.0 for perfect inverse correlation, and 0 for no correlationIt will be.
Perfect correlation means that if A goes up, B always goes up, or if A goes down, all B also goes down.
Whether the stock price rises or falls, if both sides move in the same direction, the correlation coefficient will be positive, so it's easy to get confused when stock prices are falling.
On the other hand, when the correlation coefficient is negative, it is called inverse correlation, and if A goes up, B goes down, and if A goes down, B goes up... it's the exact opposite of both.
Also, 0 (zero): The yellow dotted line shows “no correlation,” although the image is a bit more confusing.
As the name suggests, this shows that there is no correlation between the movements of A and B...
But here tooI need a mindset changeI would like to confirm the story that we are in such a situation... while looking at the chart.
This is a chart of the correlation coefficient between Nikkei futures and the dollar and yen.
As the name suggests, the correlation coefficientThe state of correlation between the twoIt represents,1.0 is the max and 1.0 is fully correlated. -1.0 for perfect inverse correlation, and 0 for no correlationIt will be.
Perfect correlation means that if A goes up, B always goes up, or if A goes down, all B also goes down.
Whether the stock price rises or falls, if both sides move in the same direction, the correlation coefficient will be positive, so it's easy to get confused when stock prices are falling.
On the other hand, when the correlation coefficient is negative, it is called inverse correlation, and if A goes up, B goes down, and if A goes down, B goes up... it's the exact opposite of both.
Also, 0 (zero): The yellow dotted line shows “no correlation,” although the image is a bit more confusing.
As the name suggests, this shows that there is no correlation between the movements of A and B...
Translated
40
4
とにお
liked
There is a sign of some kind of adjustment
Go to sleep
Go to sleep
Translated
5
とにお
liked
Today's 17th is a sharp drop in market prices, isn't it?
Breakpoint 38300 was knocked downward in one fell swoop.
This is where the sharp decline of 38,000 divided is now fully visible, so I want to be careful about long positions. Buying will return when it is still 38,000 divided, so I wonder if that movement can still continue.
The high price could not be exceeded due to poor supply and demand, so I think it will be a development where sales will come out even if it goes back a little from here on. Be careful when selling PUT.
Breakpoint 38300 was knocked downward in one fell swoop.
This is where the sharp decline of 38,000 divided is now fully visible, so I want to be careful about long positions. Buying will return when it is still 38,000 divided, so I wonder if that movement can still continue.
The high price could not be exceeded due to poor supply and demand, so I think it will be a development where sales will come out even if it goes back a little from here on. Be careful when selling PUT.
Translated
10
とにお
liked
Unhappiness, poverty, and ill health
You are always creating
That's why
You can stop creating
Even if you create one, you can let go.
You are always creating
That's why
You can stop creating
Even if you create one, you can let go.
Translated
4
とにお
liked
I will be on stage for a free YouTube seminar starting at 19:00 on 6/15 (Sat)!
I'm planning to explain chart tactics for beginners at a seminar hosted by Sakura Invest.
It's a chart that isn't introduced anywhere, but anyone can easily create one with TradingView. It's a tactic that produces the same output no matter who does it, and it's easy to do.
Moreover, I will introduce different tactics on the same chart, tactics performed with individual stocks and futures, and tactics performed with the Nikkei 225 option. That's why it's twice as tasty on one chart.
If you participate on the day, 50 pages of seminar materials will be distributed, so you can slowly create a chart after the seminar along with playing archived videos. Furthermore, it also comes with a 3-year backtest, so it also comes with supporting data on how effective the tactic is.
If you want to know chart tactics to win using TradingView, please join us!
Applications are still in time, so please check the following URL.
[6/15 19:00 free seminar]
You can win at TradingView! Practical char...
I'm planning to explain chart tactics for beginners at a seminar hosted by Sakura Invest.
It's a chart that isn't introduced anywhere, but anyone can easily create one with TradingView. It's a tactic that produces the same output no matter who does it, and it's easy to do.
Moreover, I will introduce different tactics on the same chart, tactics performed with individual stocks and futures, and tactics performed with the Nikkei 225 option. That's why it's twice as tasty on one chart.
If you participate on the day, 50 pages of seminar materials will be distributed, so you can slowly create a chart after the seminar along with playing archived videos. Furthermore, it also comes with a 3-year backtest, so it also comes with supporting data on how effective the tactic is.
If you want to know chart tactics to win using TradingView, please join us!
Applications are still in time, so please check the following URL.
[6/15 19:00 free seminar]
You can win at TradingView! Practical char...
Translated
4
とにお
liked
Today's 4th is a Fibonacci fan who also used it in the video.
This is a story about when viewed as “still” the upper price devaluation from the 3/22 high price...
It's a transition between +38.2% and +50%, but the upper price is still heavy. Although the ISM manufacturing industry was pretty bad in NY last night, stock prices remained flat. However, Japanese stocks are now in the value phase, so they are moving close to the NY Dow.
After all, I feel that 38500-39000 will move +38.2% and +50% this week. So it's not good to divide it by the +38.2% level.
This is a story about when viewed as “still” the upper price devaluation from the 3/22 high price...
It's a transition between +38.2% and +50%, but the upper price is still heavy. Although the ISM manufacturing industry was pretty bad in NY last night, stock prices remained flat. However, Japanese stocks are now in the value phase, so they are moving close to the NY Dow.
After all, I feel that 38500-39000 will move +38.2% and +50% this week. So it's not good to divide it by the +38.2% level.
Translated
12
とにお
liked and commented on
Please watch the music video below first (lol)
【MV】Dance with Options
I did all of the following in an hour and a half this morning.
・Lyrics
・Composition
・Create thumbnails
・MV video creation & editing
Of these, the part that took the longest was adding a caption to the video. it took 40 minutes here alone lol
If it's about this level, even if I'm an amateur, I'll be able to create it in 1 hour once I get used to it. Of course, this is due to AI and various creator tools.
Let's just write a few steps to create it.
1: Tell ChatGPT what kind of song you want to make and have them write the lyrics 1 minute
2: Compose the finished lyrics with Suno for 5 minutes
3: Combine it with an appropriate short video in Canva 30 minutes
4: Add a caption to the finished video with Davinch Resolve for 40 minutes
5: Edit and check videos 5 minutes
6: Create thumbnails in Canva 3 minutes
7: Upload to YouTube and adjust the summary column for 3 minutes
I don't have the ability to write songs, thumbnail designs, or MV video materials on my own. However, if you can use AI or web services a little bit, it can be done in about 1 hour. More attention to detail...
【MV】Dance with Options
I did all of the following in an hour and a half this morning.
・Lyrics
・Composition
・Create thumbnails
・MV video creation & editing
Of these, the part that took the longest was adding a caption to the video. it took 40 minutes here alone lol
If it's about this level, even if I'm an amateur, I'll be able to create it in 1 hour once I get used to it. Of course, this is due to AI and various creator tools.
Let's just write a few steps to create it.
1: Tell ChatGPT what kind of song you want to make and have them write the lyrics 1 minute
2: Compose the finished lyrics with Suno for 5 minutes
3: Combine it with an appropriate short video in Canva 30 minutes
4: Add a caption to the finished video with Davinch Resolve for 40 minutes
5: Edit and check videos 5 minutes
6: Create thumbnails in Canva 3 minutes
7: Upload to YouTube and adjust the summary column for 3 minutes
I don't have the ability to write songs, thumbnail designs, or MV video materials on my own. However, if you can use AI or web services a little bit, it can be done in about 1 hour. More attention to detail...
Translated
15
3
とにお
liked
Columns Will NVIDIA bring a new era of stock splits to US stocks? Who will be the next key to wealth
Bank of America (BofA) and NVIDIA's stock splitThe possibility of triggering a stock split boom in the US stock marketThere is, I'm watching. BofA has a stock split”A sign of ability” and pointed out that companies that have carried out stock splits tend to raise strong returns over the next year. According to the data,Companies that announce stock splits usually outperform the market. Who will be the next key to wealth?
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$Along with the announcement of financial results, a stock split was announced to divide 1 share into 10 shares to be implemented on 6/7. The company says that this stock split will make it easier for employees and investors to buy shares. The last time NVIDIA implemented a stock split was in 2021, and at that time, 1 share was split into 4 shares. What was the stock price when the plan was announcedabout $600It was, but it was the best before the effective date$835It has been reached. After the stock split, what is NVIDIA stock nowUp more than 450%Doing it.
Who are the candidates for the next stock split?
According to the report, BofA is listed as 36 companies with stock prices over 500 dollars among the S&P 500 constituent stocks...
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$Along with the announcement of financial results, a stock split was announced to divide 1 share into 10 shares to be implemented on 6/7. The company says that this stock split will make it easier for employees and investors to buy shares. The last time NVIDIA implemented a stock split was in 2021, and at that time, 1 share was split into 4 shares. What was the stock price when the plan was announcedabout $600It was, but it was the best before the effective date$835It has been reached. After the stock split, what is NVIDIA stock nowUp more than 450%Doing it.
Who are the candidates for the next stock split?
According to the report, BofA is listed as 36 companies with stock prices over 500 dollars among the S&P 500 constituent stocks...
Translated
86
3
とにお
voted
After closing the US stock market on 5/22 (morning of the 23rd Japan time), NVIDIAFirst quarter of fiscal year 2025We are planning to announce financial results.
Representative of the AI (artificial intelligence) boomAttention is being paid to what kind of results the company's financial results will have and how the entire market will respond. On the next trading day after financial results are announcedClosing price of NVIDIA sharesPlease predict and vote!
[Rewards]
● 5,000 points distributed evenly
May 23 at 10 p.m. (Japan time)By,NVIDIA's closing price for 5/23 (5:00 a.m. on the 24th Japan time)Anticipate and select the price range below. If the actual closing price falls within the price range you voted for, points will be distributed evenly among users who voted for that price range (for example, 50 users can each earn 100 points if they make accurate predictions!).
[Exclusive 500 yen Amazon gift card]
Would you like to take part in more challenging contests?
May 23 at 10:30 p.m. (Japan time)By,NVIDIA's closing price on 5/23Anticipate and post (e.g., “The closing price will be $950...
Representative of the AI (artificial intelligence) boomAttention is being paid to what kind of results the company's financial results will have and how the entire market will respond. On the next trading day after financial results are announcedClosing price of NVIDIA sharesPlease predict and vote!
[Rewards]
● 5,000 points distributed evenly
May 23 at 10 p.m. (Japan time)By,NVIDIA's closing price for 5/23 (5:00 a.m. on the 24th Japan time)Anticipate and select the price range below. If the actual closing price falls within the price range you voted for, points will be distributed evenly among users who voted for that price range (for example, 50 users can each earn 100 points if they make accurate predictions!).
[Exclusive 500 yen Amazon gift card]
Would you like to take part in more challenging contests?
May 23 at 10:30 p.m. (Japan time)By,NVIDIA's closing price on 5/23Anticipate and post (e.g., “The closing price will be $950...
Translated
238
835