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Columns “Crying/laughing stocks” due to an unprecedented IT catastrophe!? Cloud Strike, Microsoft, Palo Alto
It happened on July 19Major system failurehas caused havoc all over the world. Ironically, the current failure was not due to a cyber attack, but was caused by a security company that provides services to protect companies from cyber attacks. Leading in the industry $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US$that's it. Inconvenient software updates for “Windows” hosts by the company led to a global IT failure.
Cloud Strike stocks plummeted 11% on the 19thDevelop and sell Windows software $Microsoft(MSFT.US$Is2% depreciation at one pointto. Meanwhile, it is a Cloud Strike competitor $Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US$Is2% increase, small-cap stocks $SentinelOne(S.US$Is8% increaseI did it. This time“Brands that cry and brands that laugh” due to an unprecedented IT catastropheRegarding...
Cloud Strike stocks plummeted 11% on the 19thDevelop and sell Windows software $Microsoft(MSFT.US$Is2% depreciation at one pointto. Meanwhile, it is a Cloud Strike competitor $Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US$Is2% increase, small-cap stocks $SentinelOne(S.US$Is8% increaseI did it. This time“Brands that cry and brands that laugh” due to an unprecedented IT catastropheRegarding...
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AI semiconductor stocks crashedI'm being hit by.Report on the tightening of semiconductor regulations against China by the US governmentYaTrump's remarks about Taiwan are on saleconnected. On July 17, when the two news overlapped, NVIDIA shares fell 6.6%, and TSMC fell 8.0%. ASML, which revealed a rapid increase in order balances due to the AI boom in financial results announcements on the same day, also fell 12.7%. This is because the company was picked up in reports of tightening export restrictions to China.
Looking back,The pattern of “export restrictions to China” vs. “AI boom” continues when it comes to semiconductor stocks. The sharp drop on July 17thCurrently, it shows that concerns about the former have won over benefit expectations from the latter. What is this movementIs it short-term, or does it indicate the end of the AI boom。Examine future prospects based on past experiences and recent performance trendsI'll do it. Benefits apply when either momentum of the two winsPick up “Top 3 Shelf Bottoms” and “3 Hot Buys”I did it.
“Export restrictions to China” versus “AI boom” surrounding semiconductor stocks
●Short-term: “export restrictions to China” > “AI boom”?
Bloomberg announced on 7/17 that the US government...
Looking back,The pattern of “export restrictions to China” vs. “AI boom” continues when it comes to semiconductor stocks. The sharp drop on July 17thCurrently, it shows that concerns about the former have won over benefit expectations from the latter. What is this movementIs it short-term, or does it indicate the end of the AI boom。Examine future prospects based on past experiences and recent performance trendsI'll do it. Benefits apply when either momentum of the two winsPick up “Top 3 Shelf Bottoms” and “3 Hot Buys”I did it.
“Export restrictions to China” versus “AI boom” surrounding semiconductor stocks
●Short-term: “export restrictions to China” > “AI boom”?
Bloomberg announced on 7/17 that the US government...
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Since 7/11, there has been a movement seen as intervention by the government,The appreciation of the yen progresses rapidlyDoing it. The yen is 1:00 against the dollar on the 18th155 yen rangeIt skyrocketed to Has an advantage in the US presidential electionTrump candidate criticizes the appreciation of the dollar and the depreciation of the yen, which are disadvantageous to the US export industryThey do, and if they winObservation that a policy of weakening the dollar will be adoptedSelling yen fromRewind positionshas occurred. According to some market analysts, the real interest rate difference between Japan and the US has shrunk markedly due to the US economic slowdown,”The depreciation of the yen is overThere was also a voice saying”. In response to Bloomberg's early morning coverage on the 18th, an exchange strategist for a major domestic securities company said, “The lower limit of clouds (of the Ichimoku equilibrium table, which is one of the technical analyses) (155 yen 49 sen) seems to finally accelerate when it falls below, and the 6/4 low (154 yen 55 senIt comes into view until),” he pointed out. The steadiness of demand for dollar purchases is being closely watched.
$USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX$
Focusing on the food/beverage/paper sector, where purchasing costs due to imports affect business results,Merit stocks that are growing in performance even in an environment where yen depreciation leads to high costsChe...
$USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX$
Focusing on the food/beverage/paper sector, where purchasing costs due to imports affect business results,Merit stocks that are growing in performance even in an environment where yen depreciation leads to high costsChe...
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Views on the re-election of former President Donald Trump have intensified in response to the attempted assassination incident on the 13th, and a “Trump trade” that assumes a “definite tiger” is progressing in the market.
So, about domestic brands5 themes and 19 related stocks that are likely to receive a tailwind from “Definitely Tora”, and 1 individual stockI will pick it up.
Theme 1: <Defense>
Is Japan's increase in defense spending a benefit to related stocks
Mr. Trump, who emphasizes the US first principle, insisted on reducing the US military burden to defend allies and increasing the burden on each ally since his time as former president, by hinting at withdrawal from NATO.
There is a high possibility that Japan will also ask for an increase in the burden of defense spendingIt is believed thatDemand will increase mainly from existing defense-related companiesThat is expected.
◆ $Mitsubishi Heavy Industries(7011.JP$
No. 1 transaction value with the Defense Equipment Agency of the Ministry of DefenseIt is a reserved seat. The number of contracts for fiscal year 22 was 157, or 459.1 billion yen, accounting for 25.5% of the agency's total contract amount. The main items delivered are escort ships, submarines, next fighter jets, etc.
◆ $Kawasaki Heavy Industries(7012.JP$
defense...
So, about domestic brands5 themes and 19 related stocks that are likely to receive a tailwind from “Definitely Tora”, and 1 individual stockI will pick it up.
Theme 1: <Defense>
Is Japan's increase in defense spending a benefit to related stocks
Mr. Trump, who emphasizes the US first principle, insisted on reducing the US military burden to defend allies and increasing the burden on each ally since his time as former president, by hinting at withdrawal from NATO.
There is a high possibility that Japan will also ask for an increase in the burden of defense spendingIt is believed thatDemand will increase mainly from existing defense-related companiesThat is expected.
◆ $Mitsubishi Heavy Industries(7011.JP$
No. 1 transaction value with the Defense Equipment Agency of the Ministry of DefenseIt is a reserved seat. The number of contracts for fiscal year 22 was 157, or 459.1 billion yen, accounting for 25.5% of the agency's total contract amount. The main items delivered are escort ships, submarines, next fighter jets, etc.
◆ $Kawasaki Heavy Industries(7012.JP$
defense...
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“Trump trade” is becoming more activeDoing it. This is because in response to the attempted assassination of former US President Trump over the weekend, the possibility that he will return has increased. In the US stock market on July 15,Energy, finance, and capital goods that can be expected to benefit from Trump's election are in the top 3 in terms of rate of increase by industrylined up. Even in the case of the past month, the 3 industries were at the top of the gain/fall rate,The inflow of funds into related ETFs is acceleratingDoing it. This time,Take up an ETF listed in the US as a “Trump Trade” ETF version。
The individual stock edition is dated 7/15”Has Attack on Trump taken the stock market by storm? Who will be the winning team in the Trump marketPlease refer to”. The “Trump Trade” Japanese stock edition is scheduled to be published on 7/17.
Does the flow of funds to ETFs reflect the “AI boom” + “Trump trade”
Listed in the USFunding flows to sector ETFsInvestors“AI boom” + “Trump trade”It can be seen that they are trying to incorporate it.
Top 5 ETFs with fund inflows over the past monthWhen I checked, the financial stock ETF's $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF.US$, information technology ETF's...
The individual stock edition is dated 7/15”Has Attack on Trump taken the stock market by storm? Who will be the winning team in the Trump marketPlease refer to”. The “Trump Trade” Japanese stock edition is scheduled to be published on 7/17.
Does the flow of funds to ETFs reflect the “AI boom” + “Trump trade”
Listed in the USFunding flows to sector ETFsInvestors“AI boom” + “Trump trade”It can be seen that they are trying to incorporate it.
Top 5 ETFs with fund inflows over the past monthWhen I checked, the financial stock ETF's $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF.US$, information technology ETF's...
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$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ofStrong performancethat's it. Sales for June, which were announced on 7/10, increased by 32.9% compared to the same month last year, and hit a record high in the same month.In April-6, sales increased 40% from the same period last year, which greatly exceeded market expectations of 35.5% increase. What is the strong performance of TSMC, the world's largest foundry (semiconductor contract manufacturing) companyIt simply suggests that the AI investment boom continuesI'll do it.
Since TSMC's sales are announced prior to financial results announcements, the company's sales trends are leading performance indices not only for TSMC but also for related companies. From a supply chain perspective,There is a high possibility that a significant increase in sales that exceeds TSMC's expectations will indicate the following 2 points。
1) The business of major customers ordering from TSMC is strong
2) Not only TSMC but also its major suppliers are doing well
So this timeCheck leading brands in Japan and the US from TSMC's customers and suppliersI'll do it. While exchanging recent trends from each companyOn earnings forecasts and stock prices...
Since TSMC's sales are announced prior to financial results announcements, the company's sales trends are leading performance indices not only for TSMC but also for related companies. From a supply chain perspective,There is a high possibility that a significant increase in sales that exceeds TSMC's expectations will indicate the following 2 points。
1) The business of major customers ordering from TSMC is strong
2) Not only TSMC but also its major suppliers are doing well
So this timeCheck leading brands in Japan and the US from TSMC's customers and suppliersI'll do it. While exchanging recent trends from each companyOn earnings forecasts and stock prices...
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Generative AI also makes it easy to create computer viruses,Cyber attacks are on the riseDoing it. Domestically, this year $Kadokawa(9468.JP$Ya $NTT Data Group(9613.JP$In addition to major companies such as, there are many organizations such as local government contractors such as Tokushima PrefectureRansomware-type virusIt was damaged by The payment of the ransom has not been disclosed. According to the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, in domestic cases,”In fact, there is also a survey that says 30% are responding to ransom payments“Yes, for the organization to protect itself”Security Investments” is likely to increase significantly in the future. In the US, in late June, the CDK Global system, which cooperates with car dealers across the United States, was shut down due to a cyber attack, $General Motors(GM.US$Ya $Toyota Motor(7203.JP$The number of units sold, etc., declined.The beginning of the AI eraWe welcomed it and checked cybersecurity stocks and ETFs that are attracting attention in Japan and the US.
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The Japanese stock market rose on the 11th for 3 consecutive days following the 9th and 10thThe Nikkei Stock Average and TOPIX (Tokyo Stock Price Index) double hit record highsDoing it. The Nikkei Average reached 0.04 million2000 yen for the first time.
Leading the strong market are stocks that have been updating their high prices since listing. These stocks are picked up and room for growth is checked.
◆ $Daiichi Sankyo(4568.JP$:Analysts rated “bullish”
What is the overall evaluation of Daiichi Sankyo by 14 analystsThe only “bullish” out of 18 stocksSo, the closing price on the 10thThere is room for an increase of 5.67% to the target stock price of the analyst averageThere is. The divergence rate from analysts' highest target stock price was 15.71%.The RSI has not reached 70There is no “overbought” sign.
◆ $Dai-ichi Life Holdings(8750.JP$:A sense of bargain for PER and PBR
The most recent PER and PBR are the lowest among 18 stocksIt's Dai-ichi Life HD. The most recent PER has not reached 15 times, and PBR has remained at 1.15 times...
Leading the strong market are stocks that have been updating their high prices since listing. These stocks are picked up and room for growth is checked.
◆ $Daiichi Sankyo(4568.JP$:Analysts rated “bullish”
What is the overall evaluation of Daiichi Sankyo by 14 analystsThe only “bullish” out of 18 stocksSo, the closing price on the 10thThere is room for an increase of 5.67% to the target stock price of the analyst averageThere is. The divergence rate from analysts' highest target stock price was 15.71%.The RSI has not reached 70There is no “overbought” sign.
◆ $Dai-ichi Life Holdings(8750.JP$:A sense of bargain for PER and PBR
The most recent PER and PBR are the lowest among 18 stocksIt's Dai-ichi Life HD. The most recent PER has not reached 15 times, and PBR has remained at 1.15 times...
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A glass manufacturer with 170 years of history, $Corning(GLW.US$ButSudden rise as a hidden AI stock. Corning announced on 7/8Strong performance of new optical connectivity products for generative AICore sales (provisional value) for the April-6 fiscal year due toStock prices surged 12% after an upward correctionI did it.In the AI boom $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$Other than that, they are looking for something other thanmidst、Corning is likely to receive even more attention in the future as a unique AI brand。
(In response to an upward revision of Corning's earnings forecast, the “three electric cable companies” in the Japanese market on 7/9 $Fujikura(5803.JP$Ya $Furukawa Electric(5801.JP$、 $Sumitomo Electric Industries(5802.JP$was bought. Of 6/7”AI data center investment is rapidly accelerating! What are the 3 late stocks? Major US companies have invested 4 trillion yen in Japan! High ROE, popular stocks(See also”.)
First of all, what kind of company is Corning?
Corning began by making glass cases for light bulbs by inventor Edison, and 170...
(In response to an upward revision of Corning's earnings forecast, the “three electric cable companies” in the Japanese market on 7/9 $Fujikura(5803.JP$Ya $Furukawa Electric(5801.JP$、 $Sumitomo Electric Industries(5802.JP$was bought. Of 6/7”AI data center investment is rapidly accelerating! What are the 3 late stocks? Major US companies have invested 4 trillion yen in Japan! High ROE, popular stocks(See also”.)
First of all, what kind of company is Corning?
Corning began by making glass cases for light bulbs by inventor Edison, and 170...
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While the sharp rise in semiconductor-related stocks showed calm, it was lateShopping for electronic component brandsis spreading. What is attracting particular attention is that Japan is proud of its competitiveness.”MLCC (Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors)It's”. Integrate AI functions into PCs and smartphone devicesIncreased demand due to “edge AI”and ceramic capacitors according to recent trade statisticsSignificant increase in average export pricesThe fact that it can be seen is in the background. About 800 to 1000 MLCCs are used per smartphone, and they are also often used in computers, EVs (electric vehicles), servers, etc.Rice in the electronics industryAlso called.MLCC is a “passive component”It plays a role such as storing electricity and stabilizing voltage,Semiconductor devices that are “active components”It is essential for proper operation. In other words,As AI evolves, demand for MLCCs will similarly expand along with semiconductorsIt is seen as. The electronic component brands being searched were confirmed, including brands that handle MLCC materials.
The Japanese team is holding on to the MLCC global market share!
Domestic MLCC manufacturers have in-house manufacturing equipment, etc., and technology...
The Japanese team is holding on to the MLCC global market share!
Domestic MLCC manufacturers have in-house manufacturing equipment, etc., and technology...
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