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ピンハネ・サンタ Private ID: 182737531
小学5年生のピンハネの頭脳で、ウェーブのパターン分析で継続的なシナリオ予想。経済学・地政学・法学。
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    $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
    Good evening meowPienane Santa is Financial Estimates.
    Financial Estimates for L's current situation, the highest value within the year remains at 34.50.
    Whether Financial Estimates and L can break through the wall ahead is the key.
    Hold & break with SOXX at 224.62 (61.8%) and L at 31.52 (38.2%)!
    Even if they break through, it may take at least two climbs to reach 40.
    The rest is up to N and Broadcom, AMD to do their best.
    Heading up for the Christmas rally 🚀🚀
    Translated
    12/16 Financial Estimates are... 🤔🧐
    1
    President-elect Trump aims to abolish daylight saving time - criticized as "inconvenient".
    December 15, 2024 7:59 AM JST
    "The Republican Party is making every effort to abolish daylight saving time," Post
    Mr. Trump expressed his support for the permanent establishment of daylight saving time in 2019.
    President-elect Trump revealed on the 13th that he wants to abolish daylight saving time, criticizing the biannual time change as "inconvenient" and a "burden" for the country.
    Mr. Trump posted on his social media "Truth Social" that the Republican Party will spare no effort to abolish Daylight Saving Time. He pointed out that daylight saving time is inconvenient and imposes a heavy burden on the country.
    Daylight saving time is a system that advances the clock by one hour during the summer to make effective use of long daylight hours. Mr. Trump also made a post in 2019 stating that the permanent establishment of daylight saving time is acceptable.
    One of the issues surrounding the change of the time system is whether the Parliament should decide to abolish or permanently establish daylight saving time. Senator Marco Rubio, appointed by Mr. Trump as Secretary of State from Florida, is advocating for its permanent establishment.
    Government spending in the upcoming Trump administration...
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    1
    Trump Media CEO to monitor US intelligence agencies - appointed by the next president.
    December 15, 2024 16:11 JST
    Mr. Nunes, while continuing as CEO, becomes the head of the Presidential Intelligence Activities Advisory Board.
    Mr. Grenell, who was the ambassador to Germany, has been appointed as the special envoy for President, responsible for North Korea and others.
    President-elect Trump announced on the 14th that he will appoint Devin Nunes, the CEO of his own social media 'Truth Social', to oversee US intelligence agencies and advise the President, as head of an advisory body.
    In his statement, Mr. Trump explained that Mr. Nunes, a former congressman from California who also served as the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, will continue to lead the Trump Media and Technology Group, which operates Truth Social, while overseeing the advisory body.
    President Trump commented, "He will provide me with an independent assessment of the effectiveness and validity of the activities of the US intelligence community."
    Mr. Nunes's appointment was announced through a post on Truth Social.
    Mr. Trump also served as the ambassador to Germany during the first Trump administration...
    Translated
    Following the FOMC, central banks in each country, starting with the Bank of Japan, will announce policies - also pay attention to Chinese statistics
    2024/12/15 11:25 JST (some excerpts)
    The Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, the Central Bank of England, Sweden, and Norway announced policies on the 19th
    Industrial production and retail sales for November, which will be announced on the 16th, are in the spotlight in China
    Central banks around the world, starting with the United States, made policy announcements one after another within 24 hours, ending a year when inflation slowed in many developed countries and monetary easing began.
      Following the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on the 18th, the Bank of Japan, the Central Bank of Sweden, the Central Bank of Norway, and the Bank of England (Bank of England) will announce monetary policies on the 19th.
    The FOMC is expected to decide on a 0.25 point interest rate cut, but if the next Trump administration strengthens import tariffs in 2025, it could be an inflationary factor,Additional relaxation paceIt may slow down.
    David Wilcox, who serves as the Federal Reserve (FRB) Bureau of Research and Statistics and is currently the US Economic Research Director at Bloomberg Economics (BE), said, “Mr. Trump has pledged actions that will affect inflation and economic activity, and F...
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    $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
    Hello.Pienane Santa is Financial Estimates.
    Analysis of AMD, MSTR, and PLTR meow~
    AMD is dropping, isn't it?Currently, if it falls below the swing low of 124.77, it may reach 123/121.
    It would be better to at least exceed 129.90 and hold & break above 132.75, right?To neutralize the current downward pressure, it would be better to exceed 140.17 and hold & break the swing high of 144.36, right?
    MSTR may have potential for a pullback, right?
    If Wave B does not hold & break at 413.69, there is a risk of falling to Wave C at 386/378/369/356.
    It's better to at least exceed 386.11 and preferably not drop below 388.
    Currently, if 413.69 is held & broken to surpass 421, and there is a continuous rise, then 436/442.If 442 is held & broken, the target material is 477.
    🚨PLTR is touching the bull's eye at 75.
    The current situation is that it is testing the 77 level, which is a support level.
    Translated
    Financial Estimates for AMD, MSTR, and PLTR on Monday, 12/16 🧐🤔
    Financial Estimates for AMD, MSTR, and PLTR on Monday, 12/16 🧐🤔
    Financial Estimates for AMD, MSTR, and PLTR on Monday, 12/16 🧐🤔
    4
    $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
    Hello meowPienane Santa is Financial Estimates.
    Broad Comm is at 225.15, right?It rose to 228.70, but there is a prominent analyst who said it almost touched the bulls-eye target of 231 extension, I think touching 230 would be correct for me..Still, the margin of error may be too large.
    Even with errors, like other analysts, touching 228.70 suggests a very high potential for a pullback.
    Currently, if we exceed the 228.70 swing high, break above 230, and hold & break 231.59, I expect a high potential for a pullback.
    If a pullback occurs before holding 231, the pullback targets could be 214.78 / 206.17 / 199.21.If it falls below the micro support of 199, there is a possibility of declining to 196/192.
    While some analysts expect a high chance of retesting the support at 156/150, I anticipate a low probability.Lately, there seems to be an increase in negative analysts.
    231.59をホ...
    Translated
    Financial Estimates for Broad Comm on Monday 12/16 🤔🧐
    Concerns about the low credibility of US employment statistics - a budget crisis looms as Trump returns.
    December 15, 2024 10:00 JST (excerpt)
    BLS budget has been reduced by approximately 20% since 2010 after adjusting for inflation.
    "Project 2025" proposes the integration of the BLS, BEA, and Census Bureau.
    USA economic indicators have the potential to move the global market in the trillions of dollars at once. The institution that aggregates and publishes a series of statistics has strongly demanded millions of dollars in additional budget to maintain the reliability of the most important numbers in the financial world.
    President-elect Trump is planning to return to the White House with a plan to shake up the federal government's bureaucratic organization, facing an even tougher battle for budget acquisition.
    As the necessary information collection for crucial indicators becomes difficult and costs rise, even well before Mr. Trump's return to the presidency has been decided, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and other agencies have been signaling a worsening funding shortage.
    This is a problem not only for investors, but for all those with a stake in data that conveys the true nature of the economy. Such data has been considered a matter of course...
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    $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
    Good evening meowI am Pinhane Santa
    Gold closed at 133.97.Although it was expected to bounce at 135 or 132 and head towards 139, it ended up moving sideways.
    It's a nightmare on Friday, the 13th.
    It's the Financial Estimates for next Monday.
    On the condition that it falls below 132.91 and breaks through the 131.89 swing low to decline.If a small ABC pattern occurs, there is a possibility of falling to 128.54/125.55.
    Bouncing back at 132.91, if it does not fall below 131 and continues to rise, I believe there is a high possibility of retesting 138.91/140/149.
    Currently, unless it holds & breaks 148.39, it cannot negate the downward pressure.Unless it holds 149, there is a high possibility of breaking out to 128 in the C wave.
    In my financial estimates analysis, it may halt with a small ABC pattern, bounce at least at 128 even if it falls below 131, or aim for 138 without falling to 131.
    For a large ABC pattern, 128/1...
    Translated
    Next week's Financial Estimates on 12/16 🧐🤔
    Next week's Financial Estimates on 12/16 🧐🤔
    5
    Angle: Flows of funds into US stock funds for 6 consecutive weeks, expectations for FRB interest rate cuts
    12/14 11:34 AM GMT+9
    According to LSEG data, the US stock fund overbought the equivalent of 6.36 billion dollars in 1 week until the 11th of this month, and funds flowed in for 6 consecutive weeks. While restraining trends are seen in labor market deceleration and price increases, expectations for interest rate cuts at the next meeting by the US Federal Reserve (FRB) have increased in the background. There was an inflow of 8820 million dollars the previous week.
    The overpurchase amount of large US equity funds was 2.33 billion dollars, and small-cap funds were 2,120 million dollars. While 958 million dollars flowed into multi-cap funds, mid-cap funds were oversold by 144 million dollars.
    Sector-specific equity funds have been oversold by 1,220 million dollars. The oversales amount was the largest since the week ending September 25. There were outflows of 898 million dollars in health care, 584 million dollars in general consumer goods, and 299 million dollars in finance.
    The US bond fund overbought 4150 million dollars. I've been buying over for 28 weeks in a row.
    US short- and medium-term investment grade funds are...
    Translated
    A new obesity drug is coming, with the top two also striving to maintain their dominance - demand remains strong.
    December 14, 2024 2:04 JST (excerpt)
    In 2025, a large number of mid-term trial results are expected to be announced, creating opportunities in the dominant positions of the major two players.
    The weight loss drug market has the potential to reach an annual scale of $50 billion by 2027 - BI
    Until now, the obesity treatment drug market has been dominated by two industry giants. Novo Nordisk A S Spons Adr from Denmark, which handles the diabetes treatment drug 'Ozempic' and the obesity treatment drug 'Wegovy,' and Eli Lilly and Co from the US, which handles the obesity drug 'Zepbound' and the diabetes drug 'Mangaro.' However, in 2025, there may be signs of a crack in this duopoly dominance as strong rival forces are expected to emerge.
    According to the research company Affinity, numerous mid-stage trial results on obesity and related diseases treatment drugs are scheduled to be announced next year. It seems that in the next few years, the choice of available options will be determined by the large number of trial results announced by both emerging companies and industry giants. Pharmaceutical companies are aiming for drugs with low frequency of dosing, significant weight loss effects, and few side effects.
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