Update: Fortunately, went to sleep.. otherwise would have gone down and been pulled up by someone thoughtless, definitely would have exploded with anger..
It's almost done... about to go down. Just going to sketch a bit before sleeping.
It's almost done... about to go down. Just going to sketch a bit before sleeping.
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人生如幻
commented on
SOX needs to backtest the breakout before 5125, because Thursday's PPI is basically looking pessimistic, overall momentum is insufficient, and the reasoning is quite strange, it is obviously being manipulated. An increase in PPI indicates that CPI will also rise next time. Inflation is accelerating. However, the ten-year US Treasury yield has been forcibly pulled down, (because the 30-year Treasury is being auctioned, there is likely a hidden force suppressing market interest rates).
In this session, it can be seen that the market makers are determined to eliminate the bearish Options. Therefore, the rise on Thursday can only be described as ridiculous...
Just checked, Friday's max pain for QQQ is 535.9 as of Thursday's close. The max pain is 525, which is also the 1st, and since the market makers have worked hard to push it up, the outcome should be headed toward 536. However, the market makers will definitely find a way to make retail investors with long Options (525-536) give up before the settlement on Friday.
So I guess it's a guess....On Friday, it will go down first, then pull back in the final trading session. (Luck is not on my side, the probability of guessing correctly is low..), because this is an old routine, just not sure if it will be used this Friday.
It's still better to use Indicators.
SOX four-hour MACD's DEA is still negative, with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, it seems not over yet...
Next Monday is a holiday, and during this time, news about the trade war will influence next week's market trend.
Personal opinion is to not Hold long or short positions; it is about next week.
In this session, it can be seen that the market makers are determined to eliminate the bearish Options. Therefore, the rise on Thursday can only be described as ridiculous...
Just checked, Friday's max pain for QQQ is 535.9 as of Thursday's close. The max pain is 525, which is also the 1st, and since the market makers have worked hard to push it up, the outcome should be headed toward 536. However, the market makers will definitely find a way to make retail investors with long Options (525-536) give up before the settlement on Friday.
So I guess it's a guess....On Friday, it will go down first, then pull back in the final trading session. (Luck is not on my side, the probability of guessing correctly is low..), because this is an old routine, just not sure if it will be used this Friday.
It's still better to use Indicators.
SOX four-hour MACD's DEA is still negative, with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, it seems not over yet...
Next Monday is a holiday, and during this time, news about the trade war will influence next week's market trend.
Personal opinion is to not Hold long or short positions; it is about next week.
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人生如幻
commented on
Trump's administration wants the AI chips made in domestically, this led to Intel's potential in the future 2025. Intel as a US company, already have serveral chip fab deployed in the US is beloved by the government and Trump. Trump promised to put Tariffs on Semiconductor mainly to focused on TSMC, giving TSMC three "Plan":
1. TSMC builds packaging plant in the US to reduce reliance on Asian supply chain
2. TSMC and Intel cooperate, TSMC provides technology and improves Intel
3. ...
1. TSMC builds packaging plant in the US to reduce reliance on Asian supply chain
2. TSMC and Intel cooperate, TSMC provides technology and improves Intel
3. ...
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Currently, it seems that there is insufficient momentum to move higher. Be cautious of a pullback, 11:30 EST.
Going to sleep..
Going to sleep..
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人生如幻
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
This is really trash... Last month's PPI was 0.2%, and this time it was revised to 0.5%. Last month, when CPI rose, PPI actually fell, and stock prices helped WS rally on 1/14 last month.
So how much is the real 0.4% this month??? Anyway, WS just pulls it up and that's it... It can be adjusted back next month... It's really ridiculous...
Fortunately, while playing the gaming Romance of the Three Kingdoms 14, I was also watching the release; otherwise, the economic figures from the USA would have made me so angry I could have bled from the mouth...
Finally finished Romance of the Three Kingdoms 14 before the market opened, 47 achievements!!! Obtained this achievement... less than 4% of the players have achieved this in the gaming.
This is really trash... Last month's PPI was 0.2%, and this time it was revised to 0.5%. Last month, when CPI rose, PPI actually fell, and stock prices helped WS rally on 1/14 last month.
So how much is the real 0.4% this month??? Anyway, WS just pulls it up and that's it... It can be adjusted back next month... It's really ridiculous...
Fortunately, while playing the gaming Romance of the Three Kingdoms 14, I was also watching the release; otherwise, the economic figures from the USA would have made me so angry I could have bled from the mouth...
Finally finished Romance of the Three Kingdoms 14 before the market opened, 47 achievements!!! Obtained this achievement... less than 4% of the players have achieved this in the gaming.
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From the perspective of a beginner... sharing some after-the-fact commentary. Yesterday while playing Romance of the Three Kingdoms 14, I observed something.
Just yesterday it was mentioned to pay attention to the VIX, and today comes an application method for VIX and the 5-minute MA20 (to capture a rebound, it is less likely to be affected by K).
At 8:30, the CPI is announced. After the CPI is announced, it rises from 16 to 17+, does it go up again? No!! Is it over 20? No!
Have the various Institutions not set up any short positions? Or has this CPI already been leaked, and everyone already knows? That's why the VIX is not panicking at all!!
But how can the Large Cap Indices and VIX be so different? NQ and ES immediately dropped sharply, and SOX also plummeted before the market opened.
Before the market opened, I was thinking: What bad idea is MM attempting?
At 9:30, the first minute of the opening was interesting; the VIX dropped dramatically.
At the opening, as long as MM and Block Orders sold a little, the stop-loss orders from retail investors were quickly taken away by them. The day before, I was considering stopping losses as SOX fell below 5000 points, not expecting MM would intentionally drop it below 5000 points, and in just three minutes, they consumed the stop-loss orders set by retail investors below the 5000 points.
Fortunately at that moment, as soon as the market opened, I noticed that the VIX actually fell to 16.8+ instead of rising in the first minute.
It turns out that all of this is a conspiracy by the MM. It turns out they don't need to spend money to short the market, because they all know that preparations are being made to push it up,...
Just yesterday it was mentioned to pay attention to the VIX, and today comes an application method for VIX and the 5-minute MA20 (to capture a rebound, it is less likely to be affected by K).
At 8:30, the CPI is announced. After the CPI is announced, it rises from 16 to 17+, does it go up again? No!! Is it over 20? No!
Have the various Institutions not set up any short positions? Or has this CPI already been leaked, and everyone already knows? That's why the VIX is not panicking at all!!
But how can the Large Cap Indices and VIX be so different? NQ and ES immediately dropped sharply, and SOX also plummeted before the market opened.
Before the market opened, I was thinking: What bad idea is MM attempting?
At 9:30, the first minute of the opening was interesting; the VIX dropped dramatically.
At the opening, as long as MM and Block Orders sold a little, the stop-loss orders from retail investors were quickly taken away by them. The day before, I was considering stopping losses as SOX fell below 5000 points, not expecting MM would intentionally drop it below 5000 points, and in just three minutes, they consumed the stop-loss orders set by retail investors below the 5000 points.
Fortunately at that moment, as soon as the market opened, I noticed that the VIX actually fell to 16.8+ instead of rising in the first minute.
It turns out that all of this is a conspiracy by the MM. It turns out they don't need to spend money to short the market, because they all know that preparations are being made to push it up,...
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人生如幻
commented on
Is it a bear trap tonight? Some ambushes again, hoping for a good performance of the SOX daily line.
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人生如幻
commented on
The overall Large Cap NQ, ES short selling volume is too large, while SOX has been stable these days. Will WS let short selling retail investors profit? Is there a major market collapse for everyone?
Looking at the four-hour SOX market, it appears to be a descending flag, but in the next few days a direction will emerge, breaking below the bottom yellow dashed line, with a sharp 4630 drop in SOX.
If there is a surge, there is a possibility of short covering, with SOX rising to 5460.
If a large green K-line breaks through the recent high of 5130, you must stop loss and run quickly. Wait for SOXS to drop for a certain period of time, then buy cheaper SOXS back.
For those going long: Set stop loss below the yellow dotted line, for the more agile, consider setting stop loss at 5000 - 5020 (4H MA20).
Currently, the 4-hour MACD is quickly turning positive, which will accelerate the rise. This is like a pressure cooker, once the lid is opened, it will spew out. Unfortunately, the daily volume these days has not decreased, otherwise there would be a chance for a higher rebound.
In terms of politics, will Wall Street dare to cause a major market crash with a newly elected president known for seeking revenge? Personally, I think if Wall Street were to create a major market crash, it would be after the president's first month in office.
Probably by the end of February... that's my guess... pump and dump.
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$
...
Looking at the four-hour SOX market, it appears to be a descending flag, but in the next few days a direction will emerge, breaking below the bottom yellow dashed line, with a sharp 4630 drop in SOX.
If there is a surge, there is a possibility of short covering, with SOX rising to 5460.
If a large green K-line breaks through the recent high of 5130, you must stop loss and run quickly. Wait for SOXS to drop for a certain period of time, then buy cheaper SOXS back.
For those going long: Set stop loss below the yellow dotted line, for the more agile, consider setting stop loss at 5000 - 5020 (4H MA20).
Currently, the 4-hour MACD is quickly turning positive, which will accelerate the rise. This is like a pressure cooker, once the lid is opened, it will spew out. Unfortunately, the daily volume these days has not decreased, otherwise there would be a chance for a higher rebound.
In terms of politics, will Wall Street dare to cause a major market crash with a newly elected president known for seeking revenge? Personally, I think if Wall Street were to create a major market crash, it would be after the president's first month in office.
Probably by the end of February... that's my guess... pump and dump.
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$
...
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人生如幻
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Unable to pull
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人生如幻
commented on
Update: EST 01:15 This market, SOX has been pressured by the MA200 moving average for a day and a half. If it goes up on Friday, it will break through SOX's daily MA20 and MA200. If it breaks upwards, a short squeeze may occur, which could lead to a significant upward green candle. Those who want to short should set their stop-loss point at SOX 5120 (not at SOX 5150), and consider buying back if it drops to 5120.
In recent days, the yield of the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has been continuously declining, and it is not ruled out that there may be false 'interest rate cut' news in WS on Friday and the following week.
For friends who are long on SOXL, if... SOX is really going up, at least we will see SOX fill the gap at 5320, which is around SOXL 32.5. (But this does not mean the highest point is here).
The stop-loss for short positions should be set at 5000-5060 for SOX. I suggest 5060 (at least half out), if the lower yellow solid line does not break 4990, consider picking up at 5000 again. At least you have a little room to react.
In the 30 minutes before the release of major economic figures, usually (60%) that market tends to rise, which makes the opportunity slightly higher. Those quick to pick up money on the roadside, riding the wave, can consider waiting until after the announcement and then getting in after a pullback.
Individuals hold SOXL.
SOXL is taking a break today, washing out the dish...
In recent days, the yield of the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has been continuously declining, and it is not ruled out that there may be false 'interest rate cut' news in WS on Friday and the following week.
For friends who are long on SOXL, if... SOX is really going up, at least we will see SOX fill the gap at 5320, which is around SOXL 32.5. (But this does not mean the highest point is here).
The stop-loss for short positions should be set at 5000-5060 for SOX. I suggest 5060 (at least half out), if the lower yellow solid line does not break 4990, consider picking up at 5000 again. At least you have a little room to react.
In the 30 minutes before the release of major economic figures, usually (60%) that market tends to rise, which makes the opportunity slightly higher. Those quick to pick up money on the roadside, riding the wave, can consider waiting until after the announcement and then getting in after a pullback.
Individuals hold SOXL.
SOXL is taking a break today, washing out the dish...
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