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只为伊人笑 Male ID: 101868598
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    Schedule Reminder
    1. Economic data such as the monthly rate of retail sales in the US for November, the monthly rate of industrial output for November, and the monthly commercial inventory rate for October will be released tonight.
    IMPORTANT INFO
    1. The Federal Reserve raised the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to the 4.25%-4.50% range, which is a new high since 2007; the Federal Reserve also hinted that it will not cut interest rates in 2023.
    Individual stock news
    1. According to US Securities and Exchange Commission documents, Tesla (TSLA.O) CEO Musk sold 22 million Tesla shares from December 12 to 14, with a total value of about 3.58 billion US dollars.
    2. Reports say Tesla (TSLA.O) Berlin Gigafactory may start implementing a three-shift system as early as December 16, 2022, and the factory will operate 24 hours a day.
    3. Reports say Ford Motor Company (F.N) and Ningde Era are considering establishing a battery manufacturing plant in Michigan with the aim of obtaining new tax benefits. The two companies say negotiations are continuing, and various models are being discussed.
    4. Citigroup (C.N) announced that it will gradually close its personal banking business in mainland China and will continue to seek a separate sale of individual businesses in the personal banking business in mainland China.
    5. Toyota Motor Corporation (TM.N) will maintain the annual planned global production of 9.2 million vehicles, and the planned global production for January will be 700,000 vehicles.
    6. Ctrip (TCOM.O)'s third-quarter revenue was 6.897 billion yuan, up 29% year on year, up month on month...
    Translated
    [Stock Market Opening]
    Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index opened on December 13 (Tuesday) and fell 5.61 points, or 0.03%, to 19458.02 points;
    Hong Kong's Hang Seng Technology Index opened on December 13 (Tuesday) and fell 24.97 points, or 0.6%, to 4167.7 points;
    The state-owned enterprises index opened on December 13 (Tuesday) and fell 5.77 points, or 0.09%, to 6622.53 points;
    The red chip index opened on December 13 (Tuesday) and rose 25.53 points, or 0.7%, to 3689.34 points.
    Translated
    SVB Securities raised the target price of BeiGNE.O (BGNE.O) from $210 to $236.
    Stiffel: Raise the target price for Nike (NKE.N) from $110 to $132.
    Stiffel: Upgraded the Under Armour (UAA.N) rating from holding to buying, and the target price was raised from $9 to $12.
    Translated
    中信证券2023年资本市场年会日前召开,首席策略师秦培景在会上表示,2022年以来一直压制A股的多重因素将在2023年迎来转折。政策预期、人民币汇率、经济基本面拐点将渐次出现。
    以前述拐点研判为基础,围绕宏观经济、盈利增长、政策环境、海外因素、国内利率等因素进行汇总打分,秦培景预计进入2023年二季度后,A股上行动能更强。
    对于2023年的A股行情节奏,秦培景判断,将分为两个阶段:第一阶段政策驱动,聚焦三条主线;第二阶段业绩驱动,关注“四大安全”。
    三大拐点渐次出现
    在秦培景看来,政策预期、人民币汇率、经济基本面拐点将渐次出现。
    2022年11月,防疫政策优化和地产支持发力已明确政策预期拐点,改善风险偏好。
    2023年3月,预计欧美加息结束,人民币汇率拐点出现,打开估值修复空间。
    到了2023年下半年, A股盈利增速的拐点凸显,夯实中期修复基础。
    二季度后A股上行动能更强
    秦培景认为,2023年二季度开始A股上行动能更强。
    他从多年运用的分析框架出发预判,以前述拐点研判为基础,围绕宏观经济、盈利增...
    On Tuesday, December 6, investors continued to weigh the Fed's interest rate path and the risk of a recession that came with it. US stocks collectively opened lower, and the decline widened rapidly within half an hour.
    The S&P 500 opened 2.21 points lower, or 0.06%, to 3996.63 points; the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 10.23 points lower, or 0.03%, to 33936.87 points; and the NASDAQ Composite opened 11.52 points lower, or 0.10%, to 11228.42 points.
    The decline of the NASDAQ then expanded to nearly 1% and led the decline in major stock indexes. The Dow fell more than 70 points, Russell's small-cap stocks both fell more than 0.2%, and the S&P 500 index fell more than 0.5%, all following Monday's sharp decline across the board.
    US stock sector ETFs rose and fell at the beginning of the session on Tuesday. Regional bank ETFs and global aviation ETFs led by more than 0.4%, banking ETFs, energy ETFs, and financial ETFs all rose more than 0.3%, global technology ETFs fell 0.2%, biotechnology index ETFs fell 0.4%, and online stock index ETFs fell 0.8% to perform the worst.
    At the beginning of the session, popular Chinese securities performed well, and the NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index rose 0.84%. JD and Alibaba each rose about 2% when they opened
    Among other assets, international oil prices fell slightly, the US dollar index DXY fell slightly and hovered above the 105 mark, and spot gold rose 0.3% and stabilized above $1,770. US Treasury yields took back some of the week's gains. On Tuesday...
    Translated
    Since the foreign exchange reform in 2014, every time the renminbi depreciated to a high point against the US dollar, it has been higher than the previous round, and there have been waves of depreciation over a long period of time. Relaxation of the epidemic was beneficial once, not to change supply chain migration, nor to slump in domestic consumption. After relaxation, tourism and other industries broke out once, then became weak for a long time. The next depreciation cannot be blamed for the control of the epidemic.
    Translated
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