戒律 OP : I am the one who made a post saying that if the 200MA breaks through in the attack and defense last week, there is a high possibility of a trend change to a downward trend.

I am not a financial estimator, but I will take positions if the situation changes, disregarding consistency, but so far it is as expected.

Nvidia also went down, and it seems to be falling by about the same adjustment range as the last time (140→90), and I think it won't change the trend unless it goes down to around the 200MA.

Nvidia also has the 75MA as a rebound line, but it seems to lack momentum. Well, in the case of Nvidia, according to the single option, the situation seemed to be that if it falls below 140, there will be a lot of downward pressure.

Even without leverage, there seems to be an adjustment range of about 10% to 20% from here, so what's the point of using leverage, I wonder.

Taking back a 30% drawdown is too harsh, so I want to limit the risk of a single position to about 1% of total assets. That's what trading is all about. Investing is different, and I think it's good to be all-in when there is conviction or total pessimism.

Without taking positions in such difficult situations, it would be nice to just look at Fear & Greed and invest only when the timing is right.

That being said, from reading the posts it seems like there are many people who just want to gamble recklessly, so it can't be helped.

戒律 OP 戒律 OP : This is humanity, isn't it?

戒律 OP : Finally, it started moving.

戒律 OP : The unrealized gain is in a safe range. It was a good entry.

戒律 OP : First, it is important to understand that we are currently at historically high levels. Just because SOXL has dropped significantly, it doesn't mean that the stocks consisting of SOX and SOXL have dropped much. There is still a lot of room for further decline.
Leveraged index products like this are suitable for trading within a clear uptrend. In this context, we have learned that buying the dip is a good strategy.
However, if you keep buying the dip until the end, you will end up losing. If you have been consistently making profits within the uptrend, it may be acceptable to end up losing at the end. However, what is recommended is proper risk management. Given that we are at a high level and there are doubts about a trend reversal, even while trading with the same rules, you should keep your position below 20% of your assets. Reduce risks and returns to stay in the market until the end.
Another approach is for those who have not been able to catch the two uptrends since Corona, to understand that the current situation is clearly tougher than before, and to refrain from trading. The idea is to only trade in less challenging situations and wait.
Personally, even I think I will lose if I continue trading in the future. It's a challenging situation where it's difficult to buy just because the price has dropped.
It's not a clear situation like a strong chart that bounces off the 25MA and walks along the band. So, it's probably better not to take unnecessary risks now.
It may be a good idea to increase your available funds now, wait for the Trump trade backlash to settle, factor in economic recession, and buy good quality stocks when interest rates turn lower.
The current market is overly optimistic. It's ignoring too many macro concerns. Since this week is just starting to price in these factors, it doesn't seem like a good idea to trade right now.

戒律 OP : There is no rebound, so I feel that the downside risk is high.
Breaking below the 200-day moving average, it seems unlikely that there will be a self-rebound at the technical contrarian entry point of buying after harvesting stop-loss orders from bearish players, so it's finally relying on Nvidia.

戒律 OP : Well, I think that even if the rate is low, it's fundamental to have leading stocks. If the theme is right, you can still profit.

戒律 OP : It is rare for financial estimates to be accurate up to this point.
I tried to diversify and achieve average performance, but ended up winning all.
Conversely, short selling buybacks are short-term trends, so it's time to consider short-term supply and demand and close the position for a while.

戒律 OP : It's good to go straightforwardly.