高贵的阿德莱德
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Just saying hi.
There hasn't been much activity recently, still the following four. Except xlv being a drag on eli lilly and co's performance, the rest are quite explosive. However, it's probably close to the end of this surge to 6000 points. After all, Trump has not taken office yet, maybe a bit overpriced.
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
There hasn't been much activity recently, still the following four. Except xlv being a drag on eli lilly and co's performance, the rest are quite explosive. However, it's probably close to the end of this surge to 6000 points. After all, Trump has not taken office yet, maybe a bit overpriced.
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
As the title.
With various uncertainties in the market rising, it seems that funds have returned to the most certain sector in terms of profitability: ai chips. I have increased my position in NVDA, which is currently my largest holding. In addition, I also hold AMD and a small amount of TSM.
$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ It is my second largest holding, acting as a defense.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Unable to break through for a long time, so I reduced my positions, it is currently my third largest holding. Let's see if the robotaxi can drive the stock price through the resistance. It's not too late to buy after the breakthrough.
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
As the title.
With various uncertainties in the market rising, it seems that funds have returned to the most certain sector in terms of profitability: ai chips. I have increased my position in NVDA, which is currently my largest holding. In addition, I also hold AMD and a small amount of TSM.
$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ It is my second largest holding, acting as a defense.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Unable to break through for a long time, so I reduced my positions, it is currently my third largest holding. Let's see if the robotaxi can drive the stock price through the resistance. It's not too late to buy after the breakthrough.
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
The fundamentals of Chinese concept stocks are unreliable, with more gambling attributes than investment, so I try to avoid touching these things as much as possible. If you really want to play, you can take a small position without leverage to buy some chips at the bottom, it will definitely rally for a second wave, but as soon as you see an overbought bearish divergence, hurry to withdraw. But I'm too lazy to deal with this kind of money, I don't dare to be heavily invested, it's tiring both physically and mentally, really meaningless. The U.S. stock market is much more comfortable, with the large cap repeatedly hitting new highs, no need to worry or feel scared.
高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$
This year's investment in xlu is estimated to be coming to an end, as there may not be good opportunities before the end of the year.
Two purchases this year were made around 62 and 70. When it rises to around 80, positions are gradually reduced, and today all positions have been liquidated.
The key is not how much the magnitude is, but how small the risk is. With small risk, it means that positions can be opened relatively large, so this wave is not bad. For those things with large fluctuations, I am cautious and dare not open large positions, so it is difficult to make money and even if I do, I basically have to give it back.
The withdrawn funds are now turning to new defensive symbols: medical sector. $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ Currently, xlv is my third largest holding. After a period of correction, I think the current price is relatively reasonable. Even if it continues to fall, the decline will be relatively limited. With the current economic uncertainty being too high, last week's non-farm payroll data clearly did not match the facts, so I prefer stability.
This year's investment in xlu is estimated to be coming to an end, as there may not be good opportunities before the end of the year.
Two purchases this year were made around 62 and 70. When it rises to around 80, positions are gradually reduced, and today all positions have been liquidated.
The key is not how much the magnitude is, but how small the risk is. With small risk, it means that positions can be opened relatively large, so this wave is not bad. For those things with large fluctuations, I am cautious and dare not open large positions, so it is difficult to make money and even if I do, I basically have to give it back.
The withdrawn funds are now turning to new defensive symbols: medical sector. $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ Currently, xlv is my third largest holding. After a period of correction, I think the current price is relatively reasonable. Even if it continues to fall, the decline will be relatively limited. With the current economic uncertainty being too high, last week's non-farm payroll data clearly did not match the facts, so I prefer stability.
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I agree with your views. My trading rationale is, in the short term, due to strong employment data (assuming no falsification or significant overestimation), the concerns about economic recession have greatly eased, and the expectations for interest rate cuts have also significantly reduced. Therefore, I believe that the market needs to be more offensive rather than purely defensive. Defensive sectors (XLU, XLP, TLT) all declined. In contrast, XLV is both defensive and aggressive, so I consider it a better conservative investment. In addition, XLU has risen significantly and also needs to pull back. While XLV has fallen to the technical support level and is expected to rebound.
高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
Reducing positions $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Because it surged to the support, take partial profits first and observe. If the breakout is confirmed, buy back on the right side. If there is no breakout, buy back at the bottom. Currently, it is still the second largest position hold.
Initiate a buy position. $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ The reason: it has dropped to the 200-week moving average. Unless there is an economic recession, it should not break through. The daily chart opened lower, showing signs of exhaustion gap. Let's see if it will be filled soon. Choose oxy for energy stocks, pay tribute to Buffet 🫡, my cost is even lower than Buffet's, what am I afraid of? If Buffet doesn't sell, I won't sell.
Considering reducing positions. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ However, tesla is considered as a semi-Chinese concept stock. Recently, Chinese concept stocks are gaining momentum, I will continue to observe. Compared to Chinese concept stocks, I am more bullish on Tesla.
Closely observe. $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Can it break through the key level of 65,000? Watch for two more days. If it can hold above 65,000 next Monday, I will consider adding positions on the right side, targeting 80,000-90,000. If it cannot hold and turns downwards, then wait for opportunities to buy at lower levels.
Initiate a buy position. $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ The reason: it has dropped to the 200-week moving average. Unless there is an economic recession, it should not break through. The daily chart opened lower, showing signs of exhaustion gap. Let's see if it will be filled soon. Choose oxy for energy stocks, pay tribute to Buffet 🫡, my cost is even lower than Buffet's, what am I afraid of? If Buffet doesn't sell, I won't sell.
Considering reducing positions. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ However, tesla is considered as a semi-Chinese concept stock. Recently, Chinese concept stocks are gaining momentum, I will continue to observe. Compared to Chinese concept stocks, I am more bullish on Tesla.
Closely observe. $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Can it break through the key level of 65,000? Watch for two more days. If it can hold above 65,000 next Monday, I will consider adding positions on the right side, targeting 80,000-90,000. If it cannot hold and turns downwards, then wait for opportunities to buy at lower levels.
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Recently, my top three holdings have always been nvda, xlu, and tsla.
With the recent rise in stock prices these days, tsla has become my largest position now.![]()
Suddenly became the leader, it's really a case of when the wind changes direction.
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Performance is relatively poor, holding the second position in positions.
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ Showing strong momentum, previously briefly became my largest holding position, but I later reduced part of it. Currently, it ranks third in positions. Reason for reduction: Let xlu be the largest, seemed a bit too conservative in a bull market.
Currently, my determination is in the later stages of a bull market. The bull market doesn't speak of its peak, so it's not advisable to easily escape the peak or give up chips. But it probably won't be for too long, so cherish the rise while it lasts.
Recently, my top three holdings have always been nvda, xlu, and tsla.
With the recent rise in stock prices these days, tsla has become my largest position now.
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Performance is relatively poor, holding the second position in positions.
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ Showing strong momentum, previously briefly became my largest holding position, but I later reduced part of it. Currently, it ranks third in positions. Reason for reduction: Let xlu be the largest, seemed a bit too conservative in a bull market.
Currently, my determination is in the later stages of a bull market. The bull market doesn't speak of its peak, so it's not advisable to easily escape the peak or give up chips. But it probably won't be for too long, so cherish the rise while it lasts.
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
I think today's non-farm payroll data is not bad, but obviously, it has been interpreted as bearish news. I think it is to force Powell to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
However, regardless of the situation, once nvda falls back to double digits, the bulls need to quickly start buying, just like last time. If it rebounds above 100, that would be even better.
In a bull market, investors should have the feeling that they need to get on the train as soon as it arrives, otherwise they will miss it. Otherwise, the market sentiment will dissipate. Once nvda falls below 90 and continues to decline, this wave is basically over.
Once the leader of this bull market, nvda falls, the bull market will come to an end. You'll see, it's already starting to crumble. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Today, it just directly shriveled up. The seesaw is also malfunctioning. In this bull market, some stocks may rise better than nvda, but no one can replace nvda's leading position.
My plan: If nvda falls to around 90-95, I will decisively buy more stocks. If I buy at this level, and the bear market really comes, then I can quickly cut losses without a big loss. If the bull market continues, nvda will at least return to 140, with a very good risk-reward ratio.
I think today's non-farm payroll data is not bad, but obviously, it has been interpreted as bearish news. I think it is to force Powell to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
However, regardless of the situation, once nvda falls back to double digits, the bulls need to quickly start buying, just like last time. If it rebounds above 100, that would be even better.
In a bull market, investors should have the feeling that they need to get on the train as soon as it arrives, otherwise they will miss it. Otherwise, the market sentiment will dissipate. Once nvda falls below 90 and continues to decline, this wave is basically over.
Once the leader of this bull market, nvda falls, the bull market will come to an end. You'll see, it's already starting to crumble. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Today, it just directly shriveled up. The seesaw is also malfunctioning. In this bull market, some stocks may rise better than nvda, but no one can replace nvda's leading position.
My plan: If nvda falls to around 90-95, I will decisively buy more stocks. If I buy at this level, and the bear market really comes, then I can quickly cut losses without a big loss. If the bull market continues, nvda will at least return to 140, with a very good risk-reward ratio.
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
After today's rise, the probability of nvda falling to two digits sharply decreased. The daily chart is forming a w-bottom. Once the w-bottom is completed, breaking through the neckline will inevitably break the new high, it's just a matter of time. I hope it can slow down a bit, spend more time building the bottom, and not rush to break through in September. After breaking through the neckline, it's best to follow the textbook, pull back a bit, and then rise again. The more stable the bottom, the better the rise.
I did not add to my positions after two bottom attempts, but it doesn't matter. After adjusting my positions, I currently only hold nvda, a chip stock, and it's already my largest position.
Some of the utility stocks I bought before have recently performed well. I expect to receive a sell signal within a month, or at most two months. At that time, I will switch to technology stocks and try to catch the year-end market trends.
After today's rise, the probability of nvda falling to two digits sharply decreased. The daily chart is forming a w-bottom. Once the w-bottom is completed, breaking through the neckline will inevitably break the new high, it's just a matter of time. I hope it can slow down a bit, spend more time building the bottom, and not rush to break through in September. After breaking through the neckline, it's best to follow the textbook, pull back a bit, and then rise again. The more stable the bottom, the better the rise.
I did not add to my positions after two bottom attempts, but it doesn't matter. After adjusting my positions, I currently only hold nvda, a chip stock, and it's already my largest position.
Some of the utility stocks I bought before have recently performed well. I expect to receive a sell signal within a month, or at most two months. At that time, I will switch to technology stocks and try to catch the year-end market trends.
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$ON Semiconductor (ON.US)$
Originally, I held a small position in ON, but today it performed very poorly. Despite opening with a gap down, it was still above the 5-day moving average. However, during the trading day, it fell like jumping off a building, breaking through all the moving averages. It's really a tragedy.![]()
Fortunately, my position was not large. My move: I switched everything to NVDA. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
It's not that I particularly like NVDA. But among all the chip stocks, I really can't find any better fundamentals than NVDA. For example, $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ and the like are indeed good, but they are also following the lead of NVDA. So, I will continue to bet on NVDA.
When switching from on to nvda, I simply shifted positions without adding, without consuming cash, and without any leverage. Apart from the regular monthly investment in large cap in a semi-automatic rsp manner planned, I currently have no plans to add individual stocks. My current large cap semi-automatic rsp method: when the market falls by 1.5% for the first time in the month, I buy once; when the market accumulates a 5% decline in the month, I add another investment; when the market accumulates a 10% decline in the month, I add another investment. A maximum of three transactions per month. If none of the above happens, I will buy on the last trading day of the month. This strategy has just started to be implemented, let's see how it performs in the future.
Originally, I held a small position in ON, but today it performed very poorly. Despite opening with a gap down, it was still above the 5-day moving average. However, during the trading day, it fell like jumping off a building, breaking through all the moving averages. It's really a tragedy.
Fortunately, my position was not large. My move: I switched everything to NVDA. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
It's not that I particularly like NVDA. But among all the chip stocks, I really can't find any better fundamentals than NVDA. For example, $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ and the like are indeed good, but they are also following the lead of NVDA. So, I will continue to bet on NVDA.
When switching from on to nvda, I simply shifted positions without adding, without consuming cash, and without any leverage. Apart from the regular monthly investment in large cap in a semi-automatic rsp manner planned, I currently have no plans to add individual stocks. My current large cap semi-automatic rsp method: when the market falls by 1.5% for the first time in the month, I buy once; when the market accumulates a 5% decline in the month, I add another investment; when the market accumulates a 10% decline in the month, I add another investment. A maximum of three transactions per month. If none of the above happens, I will buy on the last trading day of the month. This strategy has just started to be implemented, let's see how it performs in the future.
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
NVDA fell, but chip stocks such as AMD rose. I really didn't expect this trend yesterday. But now it seems reasonable.
After yesterday's market, NVDA dropped to around 118 or even lower. I exchanged AMD and TSM for NVDA in the same position at around 118. Currently, NVDA has become my super largest position. The number of positions is equal to the second largest position (utilities, several stocks combined) and the third largest position ( $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ ) is the sum of.
I don't usually trade before and after the market, but yesterday I was really worried that NVDA would collapse the entire AI chip, causing others to drop even more. However, the opposite is true, $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ Today, instead, it went up![]()
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As it turns out, there's really no need for after-market trading unless you speculate on the ultra-short term.
Overall, however, in terms of technology, NVDA is still stronger than AMD. AMD needs to break through the important resistance around 170-175, that is, the cost of buying in a heavy position before and then being locked in, switching positions and cutting meat![]()
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ The flatbread side, for now, is being treated in reverse. If we want to continue our offensive, we must maintain the current price of around 61,000 to prevent the 20-day average from turning its head downward. As long as they can hold on, the bulls will have 10 days to accumulate strength and continue their offensive. If it falls below again...
NVDA fell, but chip stocks such as AMD rose. I really didn't expect this trend yesterday. But now it seems reasonable.
After yesterday's market, NVDA dropped to around 118 or even lower. I exchanged AMD and TSM for NVDA in the same position at around 118. Currently, NVDA has become my super largest position. The number of positions is equal to the second largest position (utilities, several stocks combined) and the third largest position ( $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ ) is the sum of.
I don't usually trade before and after the market, but yesterday I was really worried that NVDA would collapse the entire AI chip, causing others to drop even more. However, the opposite is true, $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ Today, instead, it went up
Overall, however, in terms of technology, NVDA is still stronger than AMD. AMD needs to break through the important resistance around 170-175, that is, the cost of buying in a heavy position before and then being locked in, switching positions and cutting meat
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ The flatbread side, for now, is being treated in reverse. If we want to continue our offensive, we must maintain the current price of around 61,000 to prevent the 20-day average from turning its head downward. As long as they can hold on, the bulls will have 10 days to accumulate strength and continue their offensive. If it falls below again...
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高贵的阿德莱德
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$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$
Last time. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ I am very bullish on the earnings report, but unfortunately, I believed in SMCI's evil and didn't go all in on NVDA, instead I split my investment between NVDA and SMCI, as a result, I was fooled by this thing and missed out on a lot.
Later, I didn't give up. When smci fell to 700, I bought it again, but I learned my lesson and immediately closed my positions when I realized the momentum was not right. I suffered two losses, but finally gained wisdom and stayed away from smci, only buying nvda and other high-quality companies including $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ 。
A netizen asked me what I think about smci earlier, and I immediately replied: better to buy nvda. I hope he saw my message.
In conclusion, trading stocks can indeed improve one's intelligence. Just for this reason, I will continue to persist.![]()
Today, my positions in nvda, amd, and tsm are likely affected by smci, as they all declined. It's okay, the focus is on the after-hours earnings report.
Last time. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ I am very bullish on the earnings report, but unfortunately, I believed in SMCI's evil and didn't go all in on NVDA, instead I split my investment between NVDA and SMCI, as a result, I was fooled by this thing and missed out on a lot.
Later, I didn't give up. When smci fell to 700, I bought it again, but I learned my lesson and immediately closed my positions when I realized the momentum was not right. I suffered two losses, but finally gained wisdom and stayed away from smci, only buying nvda and other high-quality companies including $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ 。
A netizen asked me what I think about smci earlier, and I immediately replied: better to buy nvda. I hope he saw my message.
In conclusion, trading stocks can indeed improve one's intelligence. Just for this reason, I will continue to persist.
Today, my positions in nvda, amd, and tsm are likely affected by smci, as they all declined. It's okay, the focus is on the after-hours earnings report.
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高贵的阿德莱德 OP 102414450 : I bought XLV for defense, as a risk balance.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP 70968727 : Buying now is chasing highs, even if you can make a profit, the risks involved are too great.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Cyan003 : Tesla is still far from its historical high, but I believe it will definitely reach it within Trump's four-year term, just not sure how many twists and turns will be encountered. How to operate depends on your investment plan, that is, what was the reason for your initial purchase, and under what circumstances you need to sell. Buying only because it goes up too much is not a reason, and selling only because it falls too much is not a reason to buy. Everything must be done according to the plan.