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$First Republic Bank (FRC.US)$ Just out, it is possible that 30 billion deposits will be converted into capital, with JPM taking the lead.
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According to MorningStar, Recession-resistant stocks are stocks of companies whose products and services consumers will continue to purchase no matter the economic climate. In a slowing economy, consumers will generally still fill their prescriptions, seek medical care, practice good hygiene, and enjoy their favorite beverages and snacks. They’ll also continue to pay for running water, electricity, and gas to heat their homes.
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The market has already anticipated the Fed's rate hike peaking between February and May 2023, which is half a year earlier than previous assessments.
February 2023
Expectations for March 2023.
Expectations for May 2023.
Is now a good time to buy DBS?
A Tiger friend asked, is now a good time to bottom-fish DBS? This is a question worth billions. If I could answer correctly every time, I wouldn't just be writing articles here. In fact, how to view Timing the market is one of the important differences between novice investors and seasoned investors. Most of those who always want to bottom-fish and time the market tops are novice investors. Throughout history, countless people have experimented with countless amounts of money, even risking their lives. The probability of successfully making big money by bottom-fishing and timing the market tops is very, very low.
In short, there are some bullish developments in bank stocks recently. For example, last Thursday, all banks in the USA passed the Federal Reserve's stress test, allowing them to reduce reserves and release more capital. This bullish development in the US banking industry will also have a positive impact on the banking industry in Singapore.
On the other hand, we can also see how the "smart money" large funds are flowing, by opening the link to sgx as shown in the following figure, you can download the institutions and retail investors capital trend report.
https://www.sgx.com/research-education/data-re...
February 2023
Expectations for March 2023.
Expectations for May 2023.
Is now a good time to buy DBS?
A Tiger friend asked, is now a good time to bottom-fish DBS? This is a question worth billions. If I could answer correctly every time, I wouldn't just be writing articles here. In fact, how to view Timing the market is one of the important differences between novice investors and seasoned investors. Most of those who always want to bottom-fish and time the market tops are novice investors. Throughout history, countless people have experimented with countless amounts of money, even risking their lives. The probability of successfully making big money by bottom-fishing and timing the market tops is very, very low.
In short, there are some bullish developments in bank stocks recently. For example, last Thursday, all banks in the USA passed the Federal Reserve's stress test, allowing them to reduce reserves and release more capital. This bullish development in the US banking industry will also have a positive impact on the banking industry in Singapore.
On the other hand, we can also see how the "smart money" large funds are flowing, by opening the link to sgx as shown in the following figure, you can download the institutions and retail investors capital trend report.
https://www.sgx.com/research-education/data-re...
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The minutes of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting have been released, with the content basically in line with market expectations. A rate hike of 50 basis points in June and July has already become a consensus in the market. The biggest surprise to the market, however, is that Fed officials have hinted that they may stop raising interest rates in September, which has injected vitality into the sluggish stock market.
I. Impact on American stock indexes
"Whether you believe it or not, I believe it anyway." This is the attitude the market has given, so the situation of bottom rebound has emerged in the US stocks. Due to the market fully anticipating the expected 50 basis points rate hikes by the Fed in June and July, rate hikes are no longer the biggest bearish factor for US stocks from now until the September meeting. The biggest bearish factor can only wait until the September interest rate meeting (if the Fed decides to continue raising rates in September, it will exceed market expectations, and the stock market will immediately turn weaker). Therefore, the current period (until September) can be said to be the safest time for bullish fundamentals, and the stock market is naturally relatively stable.
Technically speaking, the US stock market broke above the 20-day moving average last week, so there should be no more bearish sentiment. At the same time, the low point occurred in May, considering the time characteristics of US stocks (2-5-8-10), it can be regarded as a watershed for future bull and bear markets. As long as new lows are not created, it is still bullish. The strategy is also simple, buy protective put options at the lowest point, and then hold long positions in equity indexes or stock long positions, let the market take care of the rest.
2. Crude oil
Apart from the bullishness of the stock market, the even more bullish scenario is for csi commodity equity index.
I. Impact on American stock indexes
"Whether you believe it or not, I believe it anyway." This is the attitude the market has given, so the situation of bottom rebound has emerged in the US stocks. Due to the market fully anticipating the expected 50 basis points rate hikes by the Fed in June and July, rate hikes are no longer the biggest bearish factor for US stocks from now until the September meeting. The biggest bearish factor can only wait until the September interest rate meeting (if the Fed decides to continue raising rates in September, it will exceed market expectations, and the stock market will immediately turn weaker). Therefore, the current period (until September) can be said to be the safest time for bullish fundamentals, and the stock market is naturally relatively stable.
Technically speaking, the US stock market broke above the 20-day moving average last week, so there should be no more bearish sentiment. At the same time, the low point occurred in May, considering the time characteristics of US stocks (2-5-8-10), it can be regarded as a watershed for future bull and bear markets. As long as new lows are not created, it is still bullish. The strategy is also simple, buy protective put options at the lowest point, and then hold long positions in equity indexes or stock long positions, let the market take care of the rest.
2. Crude oil
Apart from the bullishness of the stock market, the even more bullish scenario is for csi commodity equity index.
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$Grab Holdings (GRAB.US)$ anyone knows why it is surging?
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Caught the trend of the entire day before market even opened! Rally up on open, sell by EOD!
Another great day!
We marked out the support, resistances and they served us well! Do you know yours? Watch the video to know your fav stocks technical analysis!
As always, trade safe & invest wise!
Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channel
$VIX Index Futures(DEC4) (VXmain.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$
Another great day!
We marked out the support, resistances and they served us well! Do you know yours? Watch the video to know your fav stocks technical analysis!
As always, trade safe & invest wise!
Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channel
$VIX Index Futures(DEC4) (VXmain.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$
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I've been in the game a while now, I do forex with 30x leverage and options every now and then, I am comfortably profitable and it's my source of income. Early on, I used to get super fucking dumb about my trades and would be super emotional so I've compiled a list of things to do to avoid that:
Stop checking your P&L every 2 minutes, when I make a trade, I set a strict TP and SL, and I don't look at the trade
Eliminate FOMO. Stop telling yourself ...
Stop checking your P&L every 2 minutes, when I make a trade, I set a strict TP and SL, and I don't look at the trade
Eliminate FOMO. Stop telling yourself ...
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$Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY.US)$ yeah you can keep falling, I have already hedged my bet with spxu
102486702 : Stocks are being diluted once again