I was defeated by the endless selling that deviated from all expected scenarios.
It has been sold significantly below the first margin call level of 38,090.
It has been sold significantly below the first margin call level of 38,090.
Translated
3
5
Even if you repeat short-term pullbacks, you end up with breakeven due to long-term losses.
Translated
3
2
Triangle consolidation occurs due to the confrontation of different time frame conversion lines.
In such cases, there is a tendency to break towards the main trend of the larger time frame.
Moreover, just before the break, there are frequent momentary breaks in the opposite direction, known as "damaishi", which intend to encourage trading activity by giving followers of potential short-term trends the confirmation of a break.
Therefore, it is better to buy at the point where the trend clearly emerges, even if it means giving up on the small speculative profits.
In situations like these, it feels good to place a limit order at +5 yen assuming the resistance will be surpassed by a significant price movement.
In such cases, there is a tendency to break towards the main trend of the larger time frame.
Moreover, just before the break, there are frequent momentary breaks in the opposite direction, known as "damaishi", which intend to encourage trading activity by giving followers of potential short-term trends the confirmation of a break.
Therefore, it is better to buy at the point where the trend clearly emerges, even if it means giving up on the small speculative profits.
In situations like these, it feels good to place a limit order at +5 yen assuming the resistance will be surpassed by a significant price movement.
Translated
+1
8
3
Sunday Dow drops by 1% simultaneously with Iran's retaliation.
Taking this into account, it will fall below 38,730, which is the Fibonacci 76.4% level.
Therefore, one extreme price movement is expected, either a sudden drop to 38,080 or a push-up + rebound.
The target value is 38,000 and 40,000, considering that the Pacific economy has continuous positive factors and negative factors speculatively.
In the case of the 38,000 type, it will enter a correction of wave 4 → 5 or a try for 45,000 from around August.
In the case of the 40,000 type, there will be a steep drop to 34,000 formed by three mountains.
Based on these scenarios, I would like to proceed with the battle.
Taking this into account, it will fall below 38,730, which is the Fibonacci 76.4% level.
Therefore, one extreme price movement is expected, either a sudden drop to 38,080 or a push-up + rebound.
The target value is 38,000 and 40,000, considering that the Pacific economy has continuous positive factors and negative factors speculatively.
In the case of the 38,000 type, it will enter a correction of wave 4 → 5 or a try for 45,000 from around August.
In the case of the 40,000 type, there will be a steep drop to 34,000 formed by three mountains.
Based on these scenarios, I would like to proceed with the battle.
Translated
5
4
30-minute chart (tactical scale: accurate but vulnerable to fakeouts)
4-hour chart (global strategy scale: rough but robust against fakeouts)
(Gan ltd box + speed support + equilibrium table)
Initially, I was considering conducting a mid-term N formation with a delayed resistance of 40,000 to 39,765 on the 4-hour chart, but currently the N formation is taking place based on the current price movement.
In the case of current price movements, whether there will be a reversal or a decline at the threshold of 39,765 to 39,445 can be described as a turning factor.
While writing this, the lower limit of the speed resistance line at 39,385 has been exceeded, so let's watch without expecting it.
4-hour chart (global strategy scale: rough but robust against fakeouts)
(Gan ltd box + speed support + equilibrium table)
Initially, I was considering conducting a mid-term N formation with a delayed resistance of 40,000 to 39,765 on the 4-hour chart, but currently the N formation is taking place based on the current price movement.
In the case of current price movements, whether there will be a reversal or a decline at the threshold of 39,765 to 39,445 can be described as a turning factor.
While writing this, the lower limit of the speed resistance line at 39,385 has been exceeded, so let's watch without expecting it.
Translated
8
4
As an opportunity for Japan-US friendship
Japan institutional investors and pension funds current selling vs. international financial institutions current buying + yen selling
Formation of stock price rising trend → exchange intervention + instant yen high trend formation with foreign yen buying (155→145)
Institutional profit-taking current selling → yen selling for closing
Isn't this the scenario of the end of an uptrend?
Japan institutional investors and pension funds current selling vs. international financial institutions current buying + yen selling
Formation of stock price rising trend → exchange intervention + instant yen high trend formation with foreign yen buying (155→145)
Institutional profit-taking current selling → yen selling for closing
Isn't this the scenario of the end of an uptrend?
Translated
6
I thought I had to apologize to Mr. Yamacyan
I'm sorry for sharing my half-hearted thoughts.
This made me feel refreshed
I would like to work out today's strategy.
First, the following figure
The blueprint is the original one,
The light yellow part is similar to today's blueprint
It was added by changing only the color and position.
Time has gone back, and the rising market since 4/5
Signals for 30 minutes and 1 hour are unsuccessful
There was a decline after 4/9.
However, at the market price that started around 21:30 yesterday
N formation and sieving for 30 minutes in a very short period
The PPI announcement and the statement made by President Lagarde (messenger of the European aristocrat) were carried out in the name of a name, and it was a step up in how to sell.
In particular, institutions due to earlier price movements
Because it is ruining market entrants' views on market prices
We have fallen into a vacuum market where there is no clear price or discount.
Therefore, there are 3 points as a focus
Whether or not you can reach 39,760 with donations comes first
Whether 39,760 can be maintained until the end is second
Thirdly, whether it is possible to break through 40,000 from nighttime to the beginning of the week.
Since it's a strategic scale, it's soaring, leveling off, and falling
I limited it to cleaning out the triggering part.
Observing these, I'm blushing...
I'm sorry for sharing my half-hearted thoughts.
This made me feel refreshed
I would like to work out today's strategy.
First, the following figure
The blueprint is the original one,
The light yellow part is similar to today's blueprint
It was added by changing only the color and position.
Time has gone back, and the rising market since 4/5
Signals for 30 minutes and 1 hour are unsuccessful
There was a decline after 4/9.
However, at the market price that started around 21:30 yesterday
N formation and sieving for 30 minutes in a very short period
The PPI announcement and the statement made by President Lagarde (messenger of the European aristocrat) were carried out in the name of a name, and it was a step up in how to sell.
In particular, institutions due to earlier price movements
Because it is ruining market entrants' views on market prices
We have fallen into a vacuum market where there is no clear price or discount.
Therefore, there are 3 points as a focus
Whether or not you can reach 39,760 with donations comes first
Whether 39,760 can be maintained until the end is second
Thirdly, whether it is possible to break through 40,000 from nighttime to the beginning of the week.
Since it's a strategic scale, it's soaring, leveling off, and falling
I limited it to cleaning out the triggering part.
Observing these, I'm blushing...
Translated
5
2
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
Correct the information.
Had considered the starting point of box inc as medium-term waves 1-2, but
Will correct it to be in the formation of wave N. (I'm sorry...)
Passing through the center of box inc at today's close.
It was anticipated in terms of price movement, but the actual progress is at a low level.
In reality, about 41,000→38,775
Fear of a drop of over 2,000 yen is dominating the market, however.
Signal of an upward trend functioning from the 4-hour timeframe
I want to witness the opening of the usa market as it enters standby mode.
Had considered the starting point of box inc as medium-term waves 1-2, but
Will correct it to be in the formation of wave N. (I'm sorry...)
Passing through the center of box inc at today's close.
It was anticipated in terms of price movement, but the actual progress is at a low level.
In reality, about 41,000→38,775
Fear of a drop of over 2,000 yen is dominating the market, however.
Signal of an upward trend functioning from the 4-hour timeframe
I want to witness the opening of the usa market as it enters standby mode.
Translated
6
-Current References-
5 minutes (very short term)
15 minutes (short term)
1 hour (medium term)
This time, simultaneous global stock depreciation occurred at the same time as CPI,
Actually, it is a state where the short-term and direct rise associated with interest rate cuts in June has been factored in.
The decline of China and Russia and the uneasy state of affairs in Europe,
The unipolarized economic dominance of the Pacific Ocean has been reaffirmed
Long-term purchases involving the US and its related sources are underway.
Since it is a sudden decline,
The short selling method comes in before and after the conversion line on each time frame.
However, if you look at it from the viewpoint of the original function of the economy
In that strong support for Japan's real economy was obtained
It is determined that it was good material.
5 minutes (very short term)
15 minutes (short term)
1 hour (medium term)
This time, simultaneous global stock depreciation occurred at the same time as CPI,
Actually, it is a state where the short-term and direct rise associated with interest rate cuts in June has been factored in.
The decline of China and Russia and the uneasy state of affairs in Europe,
The unipolarized economic dominance of the Pacific Ocean has been reaffirmed
Long-term purchases involving the US and its related sources are underway.
Since it is a sudden decline,
The short selling method comes in before and after the conversion line on each time frame.
However, if you look at it from the viewpoint of the original function of the economy
In that strong support for Japan's real economy was obtained
It is determined that it was good material.
Translated
Expand 7
Real-time and multifaceted with the concept of waves
An index that allows you to understand the equilibrium state of trading just by looking at it
(A combination of short- and medium-term time charts is required)
If you process the turnover as a time magnification factor and observe
Basic information on indicators such as MA, BOLL, and EMA
In addition to being able to be understood by alternative means, the certainty is also high.
Also, in the current market environment, MAC-D
Hourly turnover is random and fluctuates frequently
You can't expect it to function as a proper indicator.
(The story about handling N225 is dumb)
Therefore, focus on the Ichimoku Equilibrium Chart and turnover
If OBV is involved in short-term analysis
even if you don't read the dizzying tape
Since it complements the time magnification factor
I highly recommend it![]()
An index that allows you to understand the equilibrium state of trading just by looking at it
(A combination of short- and medium-term time charts is required)
If you process the turnover as a time magnification factor and observe
Basic information on indicators such as MA, BOLL, and EMA
In addition to being able to be understood by alternative means, the certainty is also high.
Also, in the current market environment, MAC-D
Hourly turnover is random and fluctuates frequently
You can't expect it to function as a proper indicator.
(The story about handling N225 is dumb)
Therefore, focus on the Ichimoku Equilibrium Chart and turnover
If OBV is involved in short-term analysis
even if you don't read the dizzying tape
Since it complements the time magnification factor
I highly recommend it
Translated
6
1
![[empty]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/folder.5c37692712.png)
![[error]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/no-network.991ae8055c.png)
![[loading]](data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMjYiIGhlaWdodD0iMjYiIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAyNiAyNiIgZmlsbD0ibm9uZSIgeG1sbnM9Imh0dHA6Ly93d3cudzMub3JnLzIwMDAvc3ZnIj4KPHBhdGggZmlsbC1ydWxlPSJldmVub2RkIiBjbGlwLXJ1bGU9ImV2ZW5vZGQiIGQ9Ik0xMi45OTk5IDAuMzI1NDM5QzYuMDQxMTEgMC4zMjU0MzkgMC4zOTk5MDIgNS45NjY2NSAwLjM5OTkwMiAxMi45MjU0QzAuMzk5OTAyIDE5Ljg4NDIgNi4wNDExMSAyNS41MjU0IDEyLjk5OTkgMjUuNTI1NFYyMi43MjU0QzcuNTg3NTEgMjIuNzI1NCAzLjE5OTkgMTguMzM3OCAzLjE5OTkgMTIuOTI1NEMzLjE5OTkgNy41MTMwNSA3LjU4NzUxIDMuMTI1NDQgMTIuOTk5OSAzLjEyNTQ0VjAuMzI1NDM5WiIgZmlsbD0idXJsKCNwYWludDBfbGluZWFyXzIyMDBfNDg2NikiLz4KPHBhdGggZmlsbC1ydWxlPSJldmVub2RkIiBjbGlwLXJ1bGU9ImV2ZW5vZGQiIGQ9Ik0xMyAyNS41MjU0QzE5Ljk1ODggMjUuNTI1NCAyNS42IDE5Ljg4NDIgMjUuNiAxMi45MjU0QzI1LjYgNS45NjY2NSAxOS45NTg4IDAuMzI1NDQgMTMgMC4zMjU0MzlWMy4xMjU0NEMxOC40MTI0IDMuMTI1NDQgMjIuOCA3LjUxMzA1IDIyLjggMTIuOTI1NEMyMi44IDE4LjMzNzggMTguNDEyNCAyMi43MjU0IDEzIDIyLjcyNTRWMjUuNTI1NFoiIGZpbGw9InVybCgjcGFpbnQxX2xpbmVhcl8yMjAwXzQ4NjYpIi8+CjxjaXJjbGUgY3g9IjEzLjAwMDEiIGN5PSIyNC4xMjUzIiByPSIxLjQiIGZpbGw9InVybCgjcGFpbnQyX2xpbmVhcl8yMjAwXzQ4NjYpIi8+CjxkZWZzPgo8bGluZWFyR3JhZGllbnQgaWQ9InBhaW50MF9saW5lYXJfMjIwMF80ODY2IiB4MT0iNy4zOTk5IiB5MT0iMjUuNTI1NCIgeDI9IjcuMzk5OSIgeTI9IjIuNDI1NDQiIGdyYWRpZW50VW5pdHM9InVzZXJTcGFjZU9uVXNlIj4KPHN0b3Agc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iIzdBN0E3QSIgc3RvcC1vcGFjaXR5PSIwIi8+CjxzdG9wIG9mZnNldD0iMSIgc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iIzdBN0E3QSIgc3RvcC1vcGFjaXR5PSIwLjUiLz4KPC9saW5lYXJHcmFkaWVudD4KPGxpbmVhckdyYWRpZW50IGlkPSJwYWludDFfbGluZWFyXzIyMDBfNDg2NiIgeDE9IjIwIiB5MT0iMjUuNTI1NCIgeDI9IjIwIiB5Mj0iMi40MjU0NCIgZ3JhZGllbnRVbml0cz0idXNlclNwYWNlT25Vc2UiPgo8c3RvcCBzdG9wLWNvbG9yPSIjN0E3QTdBIi8+CjxzdG9wIG9mZnNldD0iMSIgc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iIzdBN0E3QSIgc3RvcC1vcGFjaXR5PSIwLjUiLz4KPC9saW5lYXJHcmFkaWVudD4KPGxpbmVhckdyYWRpZW50IGlkPSJwYWludDJfbGluZWFyXzIyMDBfNDg2NiIgeDE9IjEzLjAwMDEiIHkxPSIyNC4xMjUzIiB4Mj0iMTQuNDAwMSIgeTI9IjI0LjEyNTMiIGdyYWRpZW50VW5pdHM9InVzZXJTcGFjZU9uVXNlIj4KPHN0b3Agc3RvcC1jb2xvcj0iIzdBN0E3QSIvPgo8c3RvcCBvZmZzZXQ9IjEiIHN0b3AtY29sb3I9IiM3QTdBN0EiIHN0b3Atb3BhY2l0eT0iMCIvPgo8L2xpbmVhckdyYWRpZW50Pgo8L2RlZnM+Cjwvc3ZnPgo=)
火拳のエース OP : Mr. Yamacyan![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
Were you able to sell out of the 39,500 index?
This one has over 40 million unrealized losses
The tension before retirement has returned
My head is spinning so fast.
Until the next uptrend and the previous fluctuation
There is also the fact that my hometown is Kumamoto
I'm starting to lay the groundwork for the trade business, so...
So when you're in a position like that
I would be happy if you could comment or take some kind of action
As I was told, with the decline of the 25th line
I wish I had honestly cut my losses...
Also, it's really a rumor level
NISA sells as a trigger for futures sales
It seems like a series of buying and collecting during the day → close selling.
火拳のエース OP : America's war export economy![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
Since it's the root of the base trend for 2023 and beyond
In terms of not being able to break the continuation of inflation
The benefits of performing temporary interventions are slim
There are also statements from the Federal Reserve that support this
Even up to the original 155 interventions were bluffs
Put out threats like the previous 152 intervention
Scatter the good ingredients all at once and step up
There is one line called
Or yen that was honestly once cashed
Exchange it for dollars and stock appreciation and exchange gain due to the time difference
There is one pattern you can get.
However, in this case
There is waste when exchanging the short sale portion for cash.
When it comes to operation
The department is different, so I can't get involved
I'm sorry to say, but I don't know...
However, statements made by US public institutions were withdrawn
Manipulation of the US Index and diplomatic and political pressure
The point that is an excuse for the current downward trend
The collapse of China's economy
It was set when all missiles were damaged
Based on the fact that the method of American finance is the cause
With superpower finance that is off target
If you think of it as psychological bargaining
I think it's easy to fight
火拳のエース OP yamacyan : For the time being, I'm 27 years old![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
A loss cut of 39,380 is a no-brainer
Think of the worst case as 38,090
I also put in gold at 38,200
I was thinking about making up the books at 39,000
It turned out to be a heinous loss.
If it's off, go for coffee
I've been looking forward to the recent past as much as I thought, so please comment if you feel like it again