Clear explanation by a part-time investor who used to work for a securities company
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
Translated
From YouTube
5
Nvidia financial results
Revenue
- 35.1 billion dollars, a 94% increase year-on-year
- Exceeding the expected 33.21 billion dollars
Adjusted EPS (Earnings Per Share)
- 0.81 dollars, a 103% increase year-on-year
- Exceeding the expected 0.74 dollars
Datacenter revenue
- 30.8 billion dollars, a 112% increase year-on-year
According to the CFO, Blackwell's mass shipments will start in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2025, continuing to expand in fiscal year 2026.
Revenue
- 35.1 billion dollars, a 94% increase year-on-year
- Exceeding the expected 33.21 billion dollars
Adjusted EPS (Earnings Per Share)
- 0.81 dollars, a 103% increase year-on-year
- Exceeding the expected 0.74 dollars
Datacenter revenue
- 30.8 billion dollars, a 112% increase year-on-year
According to the CFO, Blackwell's mass shipments will start in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2025, continuing to expand in fiscal year 2026.
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6
⚫ ︎ What is FOMC?
FOMC stands for “Federal Open Market Committee,” and is called “Federal Open Market Committee” in Japanese. It is part of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve System), which is America's central bank, and plays a very important role in determining American monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ FOMC configuration
The FOMC is made up of 7 members of the Federal Reserve Board and 5 of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. These members are economic experts, monitor the American economy as a whole, and decide on monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ Purpose of FOMC
FOMC has the following three main objectives
1. Controlling inflation: Preventing a sharp rise in prices.
2. Decrease in unemployment: Reducing the number of people without jobs.
3. Promoting economic growth: making a country's economy grow.
⚫ ︎ FOMC activities
The FOMC meets 8 times a year to determine policy interest rates (federal funds interest rates). This interest rate is the interest rate when banks lend and borrow from each other, and it has a major impact on the economy as a whole. For example, when interest rates are raised, debt increases, and consumption decreases, so inflation...
FOMC stands for “Federal Open Market Committee,” and is called “Federal Open Market Committee” in Japanese. It is part of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve System), which is America's central bank, and plays a very important role in determining American monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ FOMC configuration
The FOMC is made up of 7 members of the Federal Reserve Board and 5 of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. These members are economic experts, monitor the American economy as a whole, and decide on monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ Purpose of FOMC
FOMC has the following three main objectives
1. Controlling inflation: Preventing a sharp rise in prices.
2. Decrease in unemployment: Reducing the number of people without jobs.
3. Promoting economic growth: making a country's economy grow.
⚫ ︎ FOMC activities
The FOMC meets 8 times a year to determine policy interest rates (federal funds interest rates). This interest rate is the interest rate when banks lend and borrow from each other, and it has a major impact on the economy as a whole. For example, when interest rates are raised, debt increases, and consumption decreases, so inflation...
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Employment statistics are statistics that indicate the state of the labor market over a certain period of time.
✅ The main contents are as follows:
* Non-farm payroll employment: the number of employees in sectors other than agriculture
* Unemployment rate: the percentage of the labor force that is actively seeking work but is unable to find it
* Average hourly wage: the wage per hour worked
Employment statistics are one of the important indicators for determining the state of the economy.
In particular, non-farm payroll employment is closely watched as a leading indicator of economic conditions.
If the number of non-farm payroll employees increases, it is considered that the economy is expanding.
Conversely, if the number decreases, it is considered that the economy is contracting.
✅ Impact of employment statistics
Employment statistics also have a significant impact on exchange rates and stocks.
When the number of non-farm payroll employees increases, there is a tendency for expectations of economic expansion to increase, leading to an increase in stock prices and exchange rates.
Conversely, when the number decreases, there is a tendency for concerns about economic recession to increase, leading to a decrease in stock prices and exchange rates.
✅ Additionally, employment statistics also have an impact on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve operates its monetary policy with the goal of promoting employment and price stability.
If the number of non-agricultural employees has not increased sufficiently, the FRB will...
✅ The main contents are as follows:
* Non-farm payroll employment: the number of employees in sectors other than agriculture
* Unemployment rate: the percentage of the labor force that is actively seeking work but is unable to find it
* Average hourly wage: the wage per hour worked
Employment statistics are one of the important indicators for determining the state of the economy.
In particular, non-farm payroll employment is closely watched as a leading indicator of economic conditions.
If the number of non-farm payroll employees increases, it is considered that the economy is expanding.
Conversely, if the number decreases, it is considered that the economy is contracting.
✅ Impact of employment statistics
Employment statistics also have a significant impact on exchange rates and stocks.
When the number of non-farm payroll employees increases, there is a tendency for expectations of economic expansion to increase, leading to an increase in stock prices and exchange rates.
Conversely, when the number decreases, there is a tendency for concerns about economic recession to increase, leading to a decrease in stock prices and exchange rates.
✅ Additionally, employment statistics also have an impact on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve operates its monetary policy with the goal of promoting employment and price stability.
If the number of non-agricultural employees has not increased sufficiently, the FRB will...
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Both revenue and profit exceeded market estimates.
- Digital advertising business: Revenue of $65.850 billion (compared to $59.650 billion in the same period last year).
- YouTube ad revenue: A 12% increase to $8.920 billion, surpassing $50 billion for the past four quarters.
- Cloud services: Revenue of $11.350 billion, exceeding analyst's estimates of $10.860 billion.
・Earnings per share: $2.12 (analyst estimates $1.85)
・Total revenue: $88.27 billion (15% increase compared to the same period last year, expected $86.3 billion)
・Comment from CEO Sundar Pichai: "Investments in AI are bearing fruit in the search and cloud businesses" $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$
- Digital advertising business: Revenue of $65.850 billion (compared to $59.650 billion in the same period last year).
- YouTube ad revenue: A 12% increase to $8.920 billion, surpassing $50 billion for the past four quarters.
- Cloud services: Revenue of $11.350 billion, exceeding analyst's estimates of $10.860 billion.
・Earnings per share: $2.12 (analyst estimates $1.85)
・Total revenue: $88.27 billion (15% increase compared to the same period last year, expected $86.3 billion)
・Comment from CEO Sundar Pichai: "Investments in AI are bearing fruit in the search and cloud businesses" $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$
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AMD's earnings and guidance are not met, resulting in a sharp decline.
1. Performance
・Total revenue: $68.2 billion (18% increase from the previous year, 17% increase from the previous quarter) achieving a record high.
Data center revenue: A record high of $3.5 billion, an increase of 122% year-on-year and 25% from the previous period.
Client business revenue: $1.9 billion (an increase of 29% year-on-year and 26% from the previous period).
Gaming business revenue: $0.462 billion (a decrease of 69% year-on-year and 29% from the previous period).
Embedded business revenue: $0.927 billion (a decrease of 25% year-on-year and an increase of 8% from the previous period).
2. Profit and Profit Margin
・Gross Margin: 50% on a GAAP basis, 54% on a non-GAAP basis.
・Operating Profit: $7.24 billion on a GAAP basis (an increase of 223% compared to the previous year), $17.2 billion on a non-GAAP basis (an increase of 34% compared to the previous year).
・Net profit: $0.771 billion on a GAAP basis (up 158% year-over-year), $15 billion on a non-GAAP basis (up 33% year-over-year).
・EPS: $0.47 on a GAAP basis, $0.92 on a non-GAAP basis (in line with market estimates).
3. Quarterly and annual financial estimates
Quarterly sales forecast: $7.2 billion to $7.8 billion (median $7.5 billion, 22% increase year-on-year, 10% increase from the previous quarter).
...
1. Performance
・Total revenue: $68.2 billion (18% increase from the previous year, 17% increase from the previous quarter) achieving a record high.
Data center revenue: A record high of $3.5 billion, an increase of 122% year-on-year and 25% from the previous period.
Client business revenue: $1.9 billion (an increase of 29% year-on-year and 26% from the previous period).
Gaming business revenue: $0.462 billion (a decrease of 69% year-on-year and 29% from the previous period).
Embedded business revenue: $0.927 billion (a decrease of 25% year-on-year and an increase of 8% from the previous period).
2. Profit and Profit Margin
・Gross Margin: 50% on a GAAP basis, 54% on a non-GAAP basis.
・Operating Profit: $7.24 billion on a GAAP basis (an increase of 223% compared to the previous year), $17.2 billion on a non-GAAP basis (an increase of 34% compared to the previous year).
・Net profit: $0.771 billion on a GAAP basis (up 158% year-over-year), $15 billion on a non-GAAP basis (up 33% year-over-year).
・EPS: $0.47 on a GAAP basis, $0.92 on a non-GAAP basis (in line with market estimates).
3. Quarterly and annual financial estimates
Quarterly sales forecast: $7.2 billion to $7.8 billion (median $7.5 billion, 22% increase year-on-year, 10% increase from the previous quarter).
...
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1
I am Kabuzaru, a former securities man.
I share on various SNS platforms, but I often hear that people don't know how to choose individual stocks or what to look at.
I have compiled the minimum points you should look at.
If you find this information helpful, please take a look at my profile!
1. Revenue
Revenue refers to the income a company receives from selling goods or services. If the revenue is increasing year by year, there is a possibility that the company is growing. Companies that are growing significantly tend to have continuously increasing revenue.
2. Profit
Profit is the money left after deducting expenses from revenue. It is important to pay attention to 'Net Income,' as checking if net profits are increasing can indicate whether a company is growing efficiently.
3. Profit Margin
It is an indicator that shows how much profit is obtained in relation to revenue. For example, "Operating Margin" represents the percentage of profit obtained from the main business. If the profit margin is high, there is a high possibility of high profitability and growth.
...
I share on various SNS platforms, but I often hear that people don't know how to choose individual stocks or what to look at.
I have compiled the minimum points you should look at.
If you find this information helpful, please take a look at my profile!
1. Revenue
Revenue refers to the income a company receives from selling goods or services. If the revenue is increasing year by year, there is a possibility that the company is growing. Companies that are growing significantly tend to have continuously increasing revenue.
2. Profit
Profit is the money left after deducting expenses from revenue. It is important to pay attention to 'Net Income,' as checking if net profits are increasing can indicate whether a company is growing efficiently.
3. Profit Margin
It is an indicator that shows how much profit is obtained in relation to revenue. For example, "Operating Margin" represents the percentage of profit obtained from the main business. If the profit margin is high, there is a high possibility of high profitability and growth.
...
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✔︎CPIとは何?
CPIとは、Consumer Price Indexの略で、消費者物価指数のことです。
消費者物価指数とは、一般の消費者が日常的に購入する商品やサービスの価格変動を測る指標です。
CPIは、アメリカ労働省が毎月発表しています。
CPIは、アメリカの物価上昇率を測る重要な指標として、金融政策の決定や経済の景気動向を判断する際に利用されています。
CPIは、約200種類の品目から構成されています。
これらの品目は、家計支出の構造に基づいて選ばれており、衣料品、食料品、住宅、交通、教育、医療費など、生活に必要なあらゆる商品やサービスを網羅しています。
✔︎なぜ重要?
FRBは、インフレ率を2%に抑制することを目標としています。そのため、CPIが予想を上回ると、FRBは追加利上げに動く可能性が高くなります。
具体的には、FRBは政策金利を引き上げることで、インフレを抑制しようとします。
政策金利が上昇すると、借り入れコストが高くなるため、景気が後退するリスクが高まります。
一方、CPIが予想を下回ると、FRBは利上げを緩和す...
CPIとは、Consumer Price Indexの略で、消費者物価指数のことです。
消費者物価指数とは、一般の消費者が日常的に購入する商品やサービスの価格変動を測る指標です。
CPIは、アメリカ労働省が毎月発表しています。
CPIは、アメリカの物価上昇率を測る重要な指標として、金融政策の決定や経済の景気動向を判断する際に利用されています。
CPIは、約200種類の品目から構成されています。
これらの品目は、家計支出の構造に基づいて選ばれており、衣料品、食料品、住宅、交通、教育、医療費など、生活に必要なあらゆる商品やサービスを網羅しています。
✔︎なぜ重要?
FRBは、インフレ率を2%に抑制することを目標としています。そのため、CPIが予想を上回ると、FRBは追加利上げに動く可能性が高くなります。
具体的には、FRBは政策金利を引き上げることで、インフレを抑制しようとします。
政策金利が上昇すると、借り入れコストが高くなるため、景気が後退するリスクが高まります。
一方、CPIが予想を下回ると、FRBは利上げを緩和す...
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- Credit rating agency S&P Global has designated Boeing's rating for downgrade direction as Credit Watch (CW).
- Boeing's current rating is at the lowest level of investment grade, 'BBB minus'.
- If downgraded, Boeing may fall to speculative grade level.
- The change in the rating outlook is due to the expanding losses from the first strike since 2008.
$Boeing (BA.US)$
- Boeing's current rating is at the lowest level of investment grade, 'BBB minus'.
- If downgraded, Boeing may fall to speculative grade level.
- The change in the rating outlook is due to the expanding losses from the first strike since 2008.
$Boeing (BA.US)$
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5
1. 非農業部門雇用者数
・前月比 25万4000人 増加(予想の15万人増を大幅に上回る)
・6カ月ぶりの大幅増
・前月の雇用者数は 15万9000人 増(速報値14万2000人増)に上方修正
・7月と8月の雇用者数合計で 7万2000人 上方修正
2. 失業率
・9月の失業率は 4.1% に低下
・市場予想は 4.2%
・前月は 4.2%
3. 平均時給
・前年同月比 4%増(市場予想3.8%増)
・前月は 3.9%増
・前月比 0.4%増(市場予想0.3%増)
・8月は 0.5%増
・生産部門および非管理職の賃金の伸びは 3.9% に鈍化
4. 主要業種別の雇用動向
雇用増加をけん引した業種
・娯楽・ホスピタリティー
・ヘルスケア
・政府機関
・製造業 は2カ月連続で雇用が減少
・雇用ディフュージョン指数(DI) は1月以来の高水準
・11月のFOMC会合で大幅利下げ(0.5ポイント)の可能性は低下
・金利スワップ市場では、11月の利下げ織り込みは 25bp に後退
6. 特殊要因
・ボーイング労働者のストライキが10月の統計に反映される見込み
...
・前月比 25万4000人 増加(予想の15万人増を大幅に上回る)
・6カ月ぶりの大幅増
・前月の雇用者数は 15万9000人 増(速報値14万2000人増)に上方修正
・7月と8月の雇用者数合計で 7万2000人 上方修正
2. 失業率
・9月の失業率は 4.1% に低下
・市場予想は 4.2%
・前月は 4.2%
3. 平均時給
・前年同月比 4%増(市場予想3.8%増)
・前月は 3.9%増
・前月比 0.4%増(市場予想0.3%増)
・8月は 0.5%増
・生産部門および非管理職の賃金の伸びは 3.9% に鈍化
4. 主要業種別の雇用動向
雇用増加をけん引した業種
・娯楽・ホスピタリティー
・ヘルスケア
・政府機関
・製造業 は2カ月連続で雇用が減少
・雇用ディフュージョン指数(DI) は1月以来の高水準
・11月のFOMC会合で大幅利下げ(0.5ポイント)の可能性は低下
・金利スワップ市場では、11月の利下げ織り込みは 25bp に後退
6. 特殊要因
・ボーイング労働者のストライキが10月の統計に反映される見込み
...
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