Yone T
liked
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
I can conclude that there will be a big backlash today.
Japanese government officials in their spare time don't talk nonsense! trash
I can conclude that there will be a big backlash today.
Japanese government officials in their spare time don't talk nonsense! trash
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Yone T
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Today, the ATR trend of futures is a triangle consolidation.
The ATR line (green) that cuts the upper limit is 36,750 on the 12th and 36,650 on the 13th. Today, on the 12th, it rose to 36,750 yen in the morning and is temporarily consolidating.
If it breaks above this level and closes, the possibility of breaking above the consolidation range and the SQ at 37,000 will increase.
On the other hand, if it cannot be overcome, I am considering a scenario of shorting between 36,500 and 37,000, or slightly shorting below 36,500 for the settlement.
The ATR line (green) that cuts the upper limit is 36,750 on the 12th and 36,650 on the 13th. Today, on the 12th, it rose to 36,750 yen in the morning and is temporarily consolidating.
If it breaks above this level and closes, the possibility of breaking above the consolidation range and the SQ at 37,000 will increase.
On the other hand, if it cannot be overcome, I am considering a scenario of shorting between 36,500 and 37,000, or slightly shorting below 36,500 for the settlement.
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Yone T
liked
Today, the 4th is the breakout point.
If you were watching for an upper breakout, it turned out to be an unexpected lower breakout.
The lower is at 37,719 yen, and it has fallen to 37,450 at 9:30. It is a determination of the closing price, but if it ends as a lower breakout, there is a high possibility of a decline towards breaking the 37,000 mark.
In the United States following the Labor Day, there have been some bad news, but as for the ISM manufacturing, it is as expected and not a significant reason for the decline. The sharp drop in semiconductors due to the issues of NVDA, as well as the change in the direction of the USD/JPY towards yen appreciation from before, all combined to cause this.
I feel that this decline will be the type of factor that will linger for several weeks from here, making it difficult to rise above 38,000 yen.
Even if there is a temporary autonomous rebound, it tends to be followed by selling again, so it may not be wise to expect too much of a rebound from tomorrow onwards.
If you were watching for an upper breakout, it turned out to be an unexpected lower breakout.
The lower is at 37,719 yen, and it has fallen to 37,450 at 9:30. It is a determination of the closing price, but if it ends as a lower breakout, there is a high possibility of a decline towards breaking the 37,000 mark.
In the United States following the Labor Day, there have been some bad news, but as for the ISM manufacturing, it is as expected and not a significant reason for the decline. The sharp drop in semiconductors due to the issues of NVDA, as well as the change in the direction of the USD/JPY towards yen appreciation from before, all combined to cause this.
I feel that this decline will be the type of factor that will linger for several weeks from here, making it difficult to rise above 38,000 yen.
Even if there is a temporary autonomous rebound, it tends to be followed by selling again, so it may not be wise to expect too much of a rebound from tomorrow onwards.
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Yone T
liked
As mentioned in the headline, Japanese stocks finally regained their composure on the 15th.
The reason is that volatility has declined.
It was before 10 a.m., but it dropped to 26.75.
First, the red card was on until it reached 30 or less, but it finally dropped to the yellow level. Furthermore, personally, I think 25-27 is the upper limit area of the market price that has settled down, so it's good that we divided it by 27.
On top of that, today it was announced that real GDP for the 2nd quarter turned positive for the first time in 2 quarters. I think this gave me an even more immediate sense of security.
Real GDP from April to June increased at an annual rate of 3.1%, and private consumption and capital investment were positive
There is also a view that there is still a negative rebound increase in the 1st quarter, so it won't be that big of an increase, and since I think the expected value of Japanese stocks is in the 36500 yen to 37,000 yen zone in the first place, it is possible that the market price has finally stabilized since entering here.
While the bleeding in Japanese stocks has stopped and is recovering little by little, rice retail sales will come out today at 21:30 on the night of the 15th. Moved since the day before yesterday...
The reason is that volatility has declined.
It was before 10 a.m., but it dropped to 26.75.
First, the red card was on until it reached 30 or less, but it finally dropped to the yellow level. Furthermore, personally, I think 25-27 is the upper limit area of the market price that has settled down, so it's good that we divided it by 27.
On top of that, today it was announced that real GDP for the 2nd quarter turned positive for the first time in 2 quarters. I think this gave me an even more immediate sense of security.
Real GDP from April to June increased at an annual rate of 3.1%, and private consumption and capital investment were positive
There is also a view that there is still a negative rebound increase in the 1st quarter, so it won't be that big of an increase, and since I think the expected value of Japanese stocks is in the 36500 yen to 37,000 yen zone in the first place, it is possible that the market price has finally stabilized since entering here.
While the bleeding in Japanese stocks has stopped and is recovering little by little, rice retail sales will come out today at 21:30 on the night of the 15th. Moved since the day before yesterday...
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Yone T
liked
$Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$
Congratulations to those who bought under 100
Congratulations to those who bought under 100
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Yone T
liked
$Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$
I believe in growth companies and are investing in growth stocks, so currently it's still close to 15% negative, but it's a hold. Even if there is an increase or decrease, I would like to look at it on a fiscal year basis. However, speculative factors have also become stronger as a global trend, probably due to the influence of the internet in recent years, and the spread of small amounts of information has expanded, so you have to be prepared for intense waves.
I believe in growth companies and are investing in growth stocks, so currently it's still close to 15% negative, but it's a hold. Even if there is an increase or decrease, I would like to look at it on a fiscal year basis. However, speculative factors have also become stronger as a global trend, probably due to the influence of the internet in recent years, and the spread of small amounts of information has expanded, so you have to be prepared for intense waves.
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Yone T
liked
Just my personal opinion, please understand 🙏
Starting from this year, the new NISA has begun, and at the same time, the stock prices in the U.S. and Japan are steadily increasing to the right ↗️. Amidst this, a sudden drop ⤵️.
Being an investment, sometimes fluctuations are normal‼️
Even in such circumstances, it is necessary to carefully examine the abundant information, interpret politics and economics, and prepare for unforeseen incidents such as geopolitical reasons or outbreaks of war.
1️⃣The rapid appreciation of the yen and the depreciation of the dollar will cause economic turmoil, so this should gradually ease and calm down.
2️⃣There is a possibility of an early rate cut by the FRB. This should have a positive impact on the US stock market.
3️⃣It goes without saying that the best time to buy stocks is when they are cheap, while the best time to sell is when they are high.
Individual investors must consider these factors and decide whether it's time to buy on the dips, take profits, or hold on tight.
Let's come together and share our ideas and wisdom to overcome this challenge 🌈🌎🚀
Starting from this year, the new NISA has begun, and at the same time, the stock prices in the U.S. and Japan are steadily increasing to the right ↗️. Amidst this, a sudden drop ⤵️.
Being an investment, sometimes fluctuations are normal‼️
Even in such circumstances, it is necessary to carefully examine the abundant information, interpret politics and economics, and prepare for unforeseen incidents such as geopolitical reasons or outbreaks of war.
1️⃣The rapid appreciation of the yen and the depreciation of the dollar will cause economic turmoil, so this should gradually ease and calm down.
2️⃣There is a possibility of an early rate cut by the FRB. This should have a positive impact on the US stock market.
3️⃣It goes without saying that the best time to buy stocks is when they are cheap, while the best time to sell is when they are high.
Individual investors must consider these factors and decide whether it's time to buy on the dips, take profits, or hold on tight.
Let's come together and share our ideas and wisdom to overcome this challenge 🌈🌎🚀
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Yone T
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$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ It's the memorial service festival! It's a festival! Don't miss this historic moment!!
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Yone T
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It seems that all foreign players have withdrawn due to the appreciation of the Nikkei yen. America 🇺🇸 will exceed VIX30 and there will be a considerable drop, so please stand firm![]()
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