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Yone T Private ID: 183218030
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    $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
    Why the negative? It may be typical of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, but it's still the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Expect a rebound in the future.
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    1
    $OSE Nikkei 225 Futures(DEC4) (NK225main.JP)$
    I have supported Mr. Ishiba, who has always been straightforward, but I feel like he has changed since becoming the Prime Minister. It's disappointing in that aspect, but I hope he will implement economic measures properly and become a politician loved by the people.
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    $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$
    First, let's go to 150.
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    Up, up, up!
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    $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
    今日は大幅に反発すると言い切ります。
    暇な日本役人がべらべら喋るな!ゴミ
    本日12日は先物のATRトレンド 三角保合いです。
    上値を切り下げるATRライン(緑)が12日で36750、13日で36650。まさに本日12日は朝方 36750円まで上昇で一旦揉み合っていますね。
    ここを上抜けて引ければ保合い上抜けでSQは37000ないしそれより上の可能性が高まります。
    一方で超えられないなら36500ー37000 ないし36500をややショートして決着のシナリオかなあと考えています。
    9/12 注目チャート
    4
    Today, the 4th is the breakout point.
    If you were watching for an upper breakout, it turned out to be an unexpected lower breakout.
    The lower is at 37,719 yen, and it has fallen to 37,450 at 9:30. It is a determination of the closing price, but if it ends as a lower breakout, there is a high possibility of a decline towards breaking the 37,000 mark.
    In the United States following the Labor Day, there have been some bad news, but as for the ISM manufacturing, it is as expected and not a significant reason for the decline. The sharp drop in semiconductors due to the issues of NVDA, as well as the change in the direction of the USD/JPY towards yen appreciation from before, all combined to cause this.
    I feel that this decline will be the type of factor that will linger for several weeks from here, making it difficult to rise above 38,000 yen.
    Even if there is a temporary autonomous rebound, it tends to be followed by selling again, so it may not be wise to expect too much of a rebound from tomorrow onwards.
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    9/4 Attention Chart
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    As mentioned in the headline, Japanese stocks finally regained their composure on the 15th.
    The reason is that volatility has declined.
    It was before 10 a.m., but it dropped to 26.75.
    First, the red card was on until it reached 30 or less, but it finally dropped to the yellow level. Furthermore, personally, I think 25-27 is the upper limit area of the market price that has settled down, so it's good that we divided it by 27.
    On top of that, today it was announced that real GDP for the 2nd quarter turned positive for the first time in 2 quarters. I think this gave me an even more immediate sense of security.
    Real GDP from April to June increased at an annual rate of 3.1%, and private consumption and capital investment were positive
    There is also a view that there is still a negative rebound increase in the 1st quarter, so it won't be that big of an increase, and since I think the expected value of Japanese stocks is in the 36500 yen to 37,000 yen zone in the first place, it is possible that the market price has finally stabilized since entering here.
    While the bleeding in Japanese stocks has stopped and is recovering little by little, rice retail sales will come out today at 21:30 on the night of the 15th. Moved since the day before yesterday...
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    The Japanese market has regained its composure!
    The Japanese market has regained its composure!
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    $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$
    Congratulations to those who bought under 100
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    $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$
    I believe in growth companies and are investing in growth stocks, so currently it's still close to 15% negative, but it's a hold. Even if there is an increase or decrease, I would like to look at it on a fiscal year basis. However, speculative factors have also become stronger as a global trend, probably due to the influence of the internet in recent years, and the spread of small amounts of information has expanded, so you have to be prepared for intense waves.
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