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183602919 Private ID: 183602919
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
    It's time for people who are buying this to be patient, isn't it?
    The yield won't be 4.5% forever, so I think it will drop over time.
    There are also dividends, so I have no choice but to put up with it. I'm playing now.
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ I think what bond holders now have to worry about is how long high interest rates will continue rather than whether interest rates will be cut or not. The market already predicts how many interest rate cuts will there be during this year? It's at that point. There will probably be interest rate cuts. I think the reason interest rates temporarily dropped drastically last year was because urgent interest rate cuts had surfaced in the scenario. The current policy interest rate is in the range of 5.25 to 5.5, and since interest rates were cut by 0.25 per session from there, interest rates are still very tasty, and the situation where bonds are disadvantageous continues. If a scenario where interest rates are drastically lowered does not emerge, we will not be able to see the light of day. On the other hand, interest rate cuts are a tailwind for companies that are performing well even under high interest rates. I also currently have a high-tech portfolio, but I am always careful about interest rates and bond prices so that I can change my opinion when the time comes. At least, if you are buying TMF, be prepared that you are challenging a contrarian attack, and we recommend investing within a reasonable range...
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
    I think TMF will go up in any case, but dividends will come in near the end of this month before that 😇
    1000 shares have been invested and I'm looking forward to it.
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ But isn't it necessary to touch it until April? I was in too much of a hurry to buy
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    183602919 commented on
    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ First, as an assumption. The Fed will not cut interest rates rapidly unless there is a so-called hard landing where catastrophic damage to the economy occurs, such as during the Lehman shock. It was an unprecedented crisis at the time of the coronavirus shock, and that level cannot be compared. Also, it seems natural that the current US administration wants to issue government bonds and keep interest rates above a certain level in order to realize policies this year. It means that the risk that inflation will rekindle due to political instability in the Middle East cannot be completely dispelled for the time being. Based on these, the Fed's idea is that interest rate cuts are necessary to the extent that the economy does not die, but the real intention is that they want to maintain interest rates above a certain period of time. If a so-called soft landing were to be realized, long-term bonds, and this product with further leverage, would be extremely dangerous. Betting on this stock means betting on a hard landing, and there is no other reason to choose. Interest rates have been raised quite a bit, so there will always be interest rate cuts at some point, and victory is confirmed! blind for vague reasons such as...
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