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183602919 Private ID: 183602919
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
    Those who are purchasing this are going through a time of patience, aren't they?
    The yield will not stay at 4.5% forever, so I think it will eventually decrease.
    Since there are dividends, there is no choice but to endure. I am being played with now.
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Bond holders today should be more concerned about how long high interest rates will last, rather than whether there will be a rate cut. Market expectations are now focused on how many rate cuts there will be this year. Most likely, there will be rate cuts. Last year, interest rates temporarily dropped significantly because the scenario of an emergency rate cut had surfaced. With the current policy interest rate ranging from 5.25 to 5.5, and each rate cut being 0.25 at a time, the allure of interest rates still remains significant, which means that bonds will continue to be in a disadvantageous situation. Unless a scenario of a substantial rate cut emerges, there won't be any visibility. On the other hand, for companies performing well even in a high interest rate environment, a rate cut would be a tailwind. I currently focus on a high-tech portfolio, but I always keep an eye on interest rates and bond prices so I can adjust my views if necessary. At the very least, for those who have purchased TMF, I recommend being prepared for contrarian challenges and investing within your means. This is based on my personal experience from previous purchases.
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
    I think TMF will rise anyway, but it will have dividends at the end of this month.
    I have invested 1000 shares and I am looking forward to it.
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    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ But isn't it necessary to touch it until April? I was in too much of a hurry to buy
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    183602919 commented on
    $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ First of all, as a premise. Unless there is a devastating damage to the economy like the Lehman shock, the so-called hard landing, the FRB will not make rapid interest rate cuts. The Corona shock was an unprecedented crisis, and its level cannot be compared. Also, it is natural to assume that the current U.S. administration wants to issue government bonds and maintain their interest rates above a certain level in order to implement policies. It is also understood that there is no immediate complete elimination of the risk of inflation resurgence due to political instability in the Middle East. In consideration of these factors, it seems that the true intention of the FRB is to lower interest rates to the extent necessary for the economy to survive, but to maintain interest rates above a certain level for a certain period of time. If a so-called soft landing were to be achieved, this commodity ETF, especially with long-term bonds and additional leverage, would be very risky. Betting on this product means betting on a hard landing, and there is no other reason to choose it. After all, they have raised interest rates many times, so there will definitely be a rate cut someday, it's a guaranteed win! There is no apparent reason to blindly hold it for vague reasons like these.
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