books hill
voted
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ On August 28th, Nvidia is scheduled to announce its earnings for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 after the closing of the U.S. stock market (morning of August 29th Japan time).On August 28thAfter the closing of the U.S. stock market on August 28th (morning of August 29th Japan time)for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025In the semiconductor industry for artificial intelligence (AI), while maintaining a dominant positionCan they exceed market expectations and demonstrate impressive growth and performance?Please predict and vote on the closing price of Nvidia on the next business day after the earnings announcement!
【Reward】
● Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10pm on August 29th (Japan time),Please predict the closing price of Nvidia on August 29th (5 a.m. Japan time on the 30th) and choose from the following price ranges.If the actual closing price matches the price range you voted for, points will be distributed equally to all users who voted for that price range (e.g. if 50 users hit the mark, each will receive 200 points!).
【Special Challenge! Win a 500 yen Amazon gift card】
Predict the closing price of Nvidia and have a chance to win additional bonuses!
Until 10pm on August 29th (Japan time)Please predict the closing price on August 29thAccording to recent financial estimates, Nvidia is planning to announce its earnings for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 after the closing of the U.S. stock market on August 28th (morning of August 29th Japan time). They have been maintaining a dominant position in the semiconductor industry for artificial intelligence (AI), and the market is expecting them to deliver impressive growth and strong performance.
【Reward】
● Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10pm on August 29th (Japan time),Please predict the closing price of Nvidia on August 29th (5 a.m. Japan time on the 30th) and choose from the following price ranges.If the actual closing price matches the price range you voted for, points will be distributed equally to all users who voted for that price range (e.g. if 50 users hit the mark, each will receive 200 points!).
【Special Challenge! Win a 500 yen Amazon gift card】
Predict the closing price of Nvidia and have a chance to win additional bonuses!
Until 10pm on August 29th (Japan time)Please predict the closing price on August 29thAccording to recent financial estimates, Nvidia is planning to announce its earnings for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 after the closing of the U.S. stock market on August 28th (morning of August 29th Japan time). They have been maintaining a dominant position in the semiconductor industry for artificial intelligence (AI), and the market is expecting them to deliver impressive growth and strong performance.
Translated
166
748
books hill
liked and commented on
皆さんは「日経平均PER」を見る場合、指数ベースか加重平均かどちらで見ていますか？
そしてどっちが正しいと思いますか？
今朝のモーサテで日経平均のPERが22.70倍と紹介され、「そんなに高いの？」「どういう計算？」「そんなに高いわけないだろ」とXでのポストを見つけました。
ここからは私の持論ですよと先にお断りした上で、指数ベースか加重平均 どっちが正しい？という議論について、順番にみていきましょう。
まず日経平均PERが22.70倍とは「指数ベース」の話です。
ただし、昨日の時点で21.76倍ですからいつのデータを使ってんの？ということですよね。22.7倍近辺は5月中旬の数値であり、そこから約1倍下げています。
まあ細かい差分はさておき、モーサテでは「指数ベース」で話をしているということです。一方で私は日経平均のPERは16.58倍だと動画等で解説をしていますが、これは「加重平均」の話です。
で、ここで「指数ベース」と「加重平均」どっちが正しいの？という話になります。
結論：どっちゃでもええけど、投資成績を重視するなら今は加重...
そしてどっちが正しいと思いますか？
今朝のモーサテで日経平均のPERが22.70倍と紹介され、「そんなに高いの？」「どういう計算？」「そんなに高いわけないだろ」とXでのポストを見つけました。
ここからは私の持論ですよと先にお断りした上で、指数ベースか加重平均 どっちが正しい？という議論について、順番にみていきましょう。
まず日経平均PERが22.70倍とは「指数ベース」の話です。
ただし、昨日の時点で21.76倍ですからいつのデータを使ってんの？ということですよね。22.7倍近辺は5月中旬の数値であり、そこから約1倍下げています。
まあ細かい差分はさておき、モーサテでは「指数ベース」で話をしているということです。一方で私は日経平均のPERは16.58倍だと動画等で解説をしていますが、これは「加重平均」の話です。
で、ここで「指数ベース」と「加重平均」どっちが正しいの？という話になります。
結論：どっちゃでもええけど、投資成績を重視するなら今は加重...
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1
books hill
liked
Even people who aren't really interested in current affairs recentlyJapanese and US stock prices hit record highsHave you ever seen the news that they did it?
Right now,The Japanese and US stock markets are on an upward trend and hit record highs many timesI'm doing it. particularlyJapanese stocks since the beginning of February were finally able to surpass the highest value of the Nikkei Stock Average, which had not been surpassed since the bubble period, after 34 years! Also, in March, it was possible to break through 40,000 yen for the first time。
What is driving the recent stock prices in Japan and the US is quiteArtificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductorsThat's it. As shown by the high level of attention paid to the generative AI “ChatGPT,” AI is expected to drastically change our business and life in the future.The fields where AI can play an active role, such as autonomous driving, robots, space-related matters, medical care, etc., are expanding infinitelyIt can also be said.
andDemand for semiconductors, which are essential for AI development, is also rapidly increasingI'm doing it.The entire stock market is now movingWithin the AI/semiconductor sector, which seems to beSome stocks with the most momentumIf you hold it down, it's great for grasping stock market trends...
Right now,The Japanese and US stock markets are on an upward trend and hit record highs many timesI'm doing it. particularlyJapanese stocks since the beginning of February were finally able to surpass the highest value of the Nikkei Stock Average, which had not been surpassed since the bubble period, after 34 years! Also, in March, it was possible to break through 40,000 yen for the first time。
What is driving the recent stock prices in Japan and the US is quiteArtificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductorsThat's it. As shown by the high level of attention paid to the generative AI “ChatGPT,” AI is expected to drastically change our business and life in the future.The fields where AI can play an active role, such as autonomous driving, robots, space-related matters, medical care, etc., are expanding infinitelyIt can also be said.
andDemand for semiconductors, which are essential for AI development, is also rapidly increasingI'm doing it.The entire stock market is now movingWithin the AI/semiconductor sector, which seems to beSome stocks with the most momentumIf you hold it down, it's great for grasping stock market trends...
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784
180
books hill
voted
Good evening to all Moomoo users!![]()
This is the reading for tonight's NY stock.![]()
Market Overview
The US market started, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which consists of excellent stocks, rose 116.09 dollars to 38356.07 dollars, and the Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index, which has a high high-tech stock ratio, rose 74.24 points to 15525.55. The S&P 500 average, which consists of stocks of 500 major US companies, is 18.25 points higher at 5028.85.
$Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
Top news
The FRB's lag and the Bank of Japan's move ahead of schedule, and the specter of monetary policy that bothers investors = Kumano Hideo
There is severe adjustment pressure on Japanese and US stock prices. This is because the expected start of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (FRB) seems to be behind schedule from June, which was initially anticipated by the market.
The decline in US stocks is not over yet - Goldman Rubner
To prepare for a further decline in US stocks, a Goldman Sachs Group tactical specialist...
Market Overview
The US market started, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which consists of excellent stocks, rose 116.09 dollars to 38356.07 dollars, and the Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index, which has a high high-tech stock ratio, rose 74.24 points to 15525.55. The S&P 500 average, which consists of stocks of 500 major US companies, is 18.25 points higher at 5028.85.
$Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
Top news
The FRB's lag and the Bank of Japan's move ahead of schedule, and the specter of monetary policy that bothers investors = Kumano Hideo
There is severe adjustment pressure on Japanese and US stock prices. This is because the expected start of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (FRB) seems to be behind schedule from June, which was initially anticipated by the market.
The decline in US stocks is not over yet - Goldman Rubner
To prepare for a further decline in US stocks, a Goldman Sachs Group tactical specialist...
Translated
30
books hill
voted
● $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$Is4/25 (local) after closingFinancial results for Q3 (January-March) are scheduled to be announced on
●Market sales for 24Q3 compared to the same period last year15.14% increase to 60.857 billionDollar and EPS compared to the same period last year$2.83, up 15.41%Expected.
● Analysts say Microsoft's corporate business and AI products are growing continuouslyMaintaining good momentumI'm watching
● Microsoft'sCloud DivisionThe growth of attention is being paid to,Once again a revenue driverPossibility of becoming
●The latest information on AI plansThere is a possibility that it will be announced, and analysts point out that Microsoft is in an advantageous position for AI-led growth
●What is the next growth catalyst for Microsoft stockAccelerating key AI product cyclesWhen it becomes BofA
● The majority of analysts who research Microsoft stocks are bullish, and out of 57 people, 54 people buy and 3 evaluate them as hold
Microsoft in the US is scheduled to announce financial results for the 24th Q3 (January-March) after closing locally on 4/25. According to market consensus, in the 24-Q3 (January-March) earnings forecast, sales are year-on-year15.1...
●Market sales for 24Q3 compared to the same period last year15.14% increase to 60.857 billionDollar and EPS compared to the same period last year$2.83, up 15.41%Expected.
● Analysts say Microsoft's corporate business and AI products are growing continuouslyMaintaining good momentumI'm watching
● Microsoft'sCloud DivisionThe growth of attention is being paid to,Once again a revenue driverPossibility of becoming
●The latest information on AI plansThere is a possibility that it will be announced, and analysts point out that Microsoft is in an advantageous position for AI-led growth
●What is the next growth catalyst for Microsoft stockAccelerating key AI product cyclesWhen it becomes BofA
● The majority of analysts who research Microsoft stocks are bullish, and out of 57 people, 54 people buy and 3 evaluate them as hold
Microsoft in the US is scheduled to announce financial results for the 24th Q3 (January-March) after closing locally on 4/25. According to market consensus, in the 24-Q3 (January-March) earnings forecast, sales are year-on-year15.1...
Translated
![[Earnings Preview] Focus on the growth of Microsoft, AI, Azure Cloud, and Copilot!](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240422/d8fa21a9d03de069bcd73b32c43b7dfb.png?area=105&is_public=true/thumb)
![[Earnings Preview] Focus on the growth of Microsoft, AI, Azure Cloud, and Copilot!](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240422/9e7c449910a0e224372816f2a0f977d8.png?area=105&is_public=true/thumb)
![[Earnings Preview] Focus on the growth of Microsoft, AI, Azure Cloud, and Copilot!](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181250687/20240422/4fceae693fab4dfde29ad1145ad70e42.png?area=105&is_public=true/thumb)
+1
24
books hill
liked and commented on
Let's write about the essence that would be controversial on X and YouTube today.
Titled "Chart Analysis Full of Mistakes!"
The current chart is declining, but the general chart analysis and textbook explanations say "when a signal is given." This is correct for a medium to long-term perspective, but it does not apply to short-term or very short-term charts.
Each chart has its own preferred time frame, and the criteria for judgment also differ for each time frame.
And the trading signals from the chart also need to be interpreted differently depending on the time frame.
For example
- Golden Cross (GC) / Dead Cross (DC) with moving averages and MACD.
- When the sign of a reversal and key points appear.
- When a breakout or a rejection of the regression line occurs.
These are explained as trade signals.
This is a trend-following approach that applies to medium-term or longer time frames.
Even in the medium term, the trading and investment focus changes depending on the period.
I focus on options, so I base my medium-term on a monthly basis. Short-term is around one week, long-term is three months to a year, and very short-term is 2-3 days...
Titled "Chart Analysis Full of Mistakes!"
The current chart is declining, but the general chart analysis and textbook explanations say "when a signal is given." This is correct for a medium to long-term perspective, but it does not apply to short-term or very short-term charts.
Each chart has its own preferred time frame, and the criteria for judgment also differ for each time frame.
And the trading signals from the chart also need to be interpreted differently depending on the time frame.
For example
- Golden Cross (GC) / Dead Cross (DC) with moving averages and MACD.
- When the sign of a reversal and key points appear.
- When a breakout or a rejection of the regression line occurs.
These are explained as trade signals.
This is a trend-following approach that applies to medium-term or longer time frames.
Even in the medium term, the trading and investment focus changes depending on the period.
I focus on options, so I base my medium-term on a monthly basis. Short-term is around one week, long-term is three months to a year, and very short-term is 2-3 days...
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31
4
books hill
liked
Today, April 4th, is TMA.
Or rather, it seems that the good value of the US ISM non-manufacturing sector for the stock market and the visible impact of the Taiwan earthquake have led to a rebound.
Yesterday's NY became much stronger after the ISM results than expected.
The central white TMA line is maintaining its upward trend with today's rise. In the medium term, it remains range-bound without breaking down into a decline. With a sense of relief from the end of the decline + the ongoing strong mood of Japanese stocks, it is likely to remain steady around 0.04 million yen until the employment statistics.
Or rather, it seems that the good value of the US ISM non-manufacturing sector for the stock market and the visible impact of the Taiwan earthquake have led to a rebound.
Yesterday's NY became much stronger after the ISM results than expected.
The central white TMA line is maintaining its upward trend with today's rise. In the medium term, it remains range-bound without breaking down into a decline. With a sense of relief from the end of the decline + the ongoing strong mood of Japanese stocks, it is likely to remain steady around 0.04 million yen until the employment statistics.
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8
books hill
liked
4/3 is the break point.
As explained in the video uploaded last night, it fell to the bottom and accelerated this morning.
As of 9:30, it has returned to 39500 with a lower beard, and it seems that buying and selling collided once at the 39500 milestone. However, the 25MA is broken, and it remains in a pretty dangerous situation with US interest rates, crude oil, and BTC. There is still a high possibility that there will be a big drop, so be careful.
That said, if there is a steady return, it's still a good stage to buy it.
There is a high possibility that there is a high possibility that there will be a big change in today's US ISM non-manufacturing industry and employment statistics. Continued attention must be paid.
I think the people watching here have come from my YouTube channel in the first place, but I'll post a link to the 4/3 video that was uploaded on the night of 4/2 for those who know about it with this moomoo app.
Be sure to check out this breakpoint chart.
[Nikkei 225 Option Discussion] 4/3 Bitcoin plummeted! Watch out for simultaneous global stock depreciation!
As explained in the video uploaded last night, it fell to the bottom and accelerated this morning.
As of 9:30, it has returned to 39500 with a lower beard, and it seems that buying and selling collided once at the 39500 milestone. However, the 25MA is broken, and it remains in a pretty dangerous situation with US interest rates, crude oil, and BTC. There is still a high possibility that there will be a big drop, so be careful.
That said, if there is a steady return, it's still a good stage to buy it.
There is a high possibility that there is a high possibility that there will be a big change in today's US ISM non-manufacturing industry and employment statistics. Continued attention must be paid.
I think the people watching here have come from my YouTube channel in the first place, but I'll post a link to the 4/3 video that was uploaded on the night of 4/2 for those who know about it with this moomoo app.
Be sure to check out this breakpoint chart.
[Nikkei 225 Option Discussion] 4/3 Bitcoin plummeted! Watch out for simultaneous global stock depreciation!
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15
1
books hill
liked
On 3/29, it is the Bollinger Bands.
+1σ is at 40240 yen and 5MA is at 40410 yen, and there is a battle between the upper and lower medians around this level.
Last night, NY was almost unchanged from -0.1% to +0.1%, and each index was almost flat. Within that, Japanese stocks are moving around +0.5%, rebounding from yesterday's decline. It seems that yesterday's decline was just a adjustment of supply and demand.
However, since the demand-supply balance is still in favor of buying, if there is no strong need to buy, it is okay to remain flat, and if it is bad, I think it will be in a situation of -1000 yen.
In the midst of the battle centered around 39,500-40,500 and 40,000 yen, I think it is a flow to check the USA's PCE and employment statistics.
+1σ is at 40240 yen and 5MA is at 40410 yen, and there is a battle between the upper and lower medians around this level.
Last night, NY was almost unchanged from -0.1% to +0.1%, and each index was almost flat. Within that, Japanese stocks are moving around +0.5%, rebounding from yesterday's decline. It seems that yesterday's decline was just a adjustment of supply and demand.
However, since the demand-supply balance is still in favor of buying, if there is no strong need to buy, it is okay to remain flat, and if it is bad, I think it will be in a situation of -1000 yen.
In the midst of the battle centered around 39,500-40,500 and 40,000 yen, I think it is a flow to check the USA's PCE and employment statistics.
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8
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