codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Good evening.![]()
Since it dropped to 135.00 overnight and is hovering at 136, it's time for a reassessment and an early financial estimate for tonight.![]()
It feels like it will bounce back up after dropping to 135, right?![]()
I think there will be an oversold bounce for retesting the micro support levels of 138.20/140.18/141.77.![]()
If the micro support levels are surpassed, the downward pressure will be invalidated. Breaking the resistance at 143.95 and then at 149.06 will invalidate the downward pressure, potentially leading to an upward trend towards a Christmas rally.![]()
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If 149.06 is breached, the extended target is 152.![]()
There might even be a possibility of reaching 164 by Christmas.![]()
If 138.20 is not breached, there is a possibility of a breakdown to the support at 132.07/128.60.![]()
I prefer Kentucky over turkey for Thanksgiving, but it's cold so I'll go with duck.![]()
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I will post financial estimates again before the opening.![]()
Well then, see you later.![]()
![]()
Good evening.
Since it dropped to 135.00 overnight and is hovering at 136, it's time for a reassessment and an early financial estimate for tonight.
It feels like it will bounce back up after dropping to 135, right?
I think there will be an oversold bounce for retesting the micro support levels of 138.20/140.18/141.77.
If 149.06 is breached, the extended target is 152.
If 138.20 is not breached, there is a possibility of a breakdown to the support at 132.07/128.60.
I prefer Kentucky over turkey for Thanksgiving, but it's cold so I'll go with duck.
I will post financial estimates again before the opening.
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ It seems that the bulletin board is quiet today.![]()
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
Because it's boring if there's no room to go up.
codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Good evening.![]()
The financial estimate is 141.58.![]()
![]()
If it falls below 141.02 and reaches 140.02 to 139.50, there is a possibility of a decline to 137/135/133/132.![]()
I would prefer to hold at 141.02, at least 139.50 if possible~![]()
Although there is a possibility of a bounce around 140 even if it falls.![]()
It's a tough zone.![]()
Currently, I hope it will exceed 147.25.![]()
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I think there may be some initial decline towards the Christmas rally, but it's still early.![]()
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Well then, see you later.![]()
Goodbye![]()
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Good evening.
The financial estimate is 141.58.
If it falls below 141.02 and reaches 140.02 to 139.50, there is a possibility of a decline to 137/135/133/132.
I would prefer to hold at 141.02, at least 139.50 if possible~
Although there is a possibility of a bounce around 140 even if it falls.
Currently, I hope it will exceed 147.25.
I think there may be some initial decline towards the Christmas rally, but it's still early.
Well then, see you later.
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
While other sectors are rising, the semiconductor sector is being left behind.
The reason for the stock price declining even after NVDA posted good earnings is that it is determined that future rapid growth like in the past cannot be expected.
The current situation is that funds are rapidly leaving the semiconductor sector and flowing into other sectors.
It is completely a semiconductor sector downturn period. There may not be much expectation for the year-end rally.
Even if it rises, it will be marginal. It seems very difficult to return to the levels of 50-70 as in the past.
I bought back SOXL the other day, but I determined that there is no more potential, so I sold all of it by the close today.
As the appeal of SOXS is diminishing as well, I am considering watching the situation of the semiconductor sector while observing the trends of other sectors.
The SOX is in a period of stagnation. Further decline is likely expected next week.
I expect the SOX index to have a death cross on the monthly chart and rebound at the 200MA. If you were to buy, now would be the time.
Alright then.
While other sectors are rising, the semiconductor sector is being left behind.
The reason for the stock price declining even after NVDA posted good earnings is that it is determined that future rapid growth like in the past cannot be expected.
The current situation is that funds are rapidly leaving the semiconductor sector and flowing into other sectors.
It is completely a semiconductor sector downturn period. There may not be much expectation for the year-end rally.
Even if it rises, it will be marginal. It seems very difficult to return to the levels of 50-70 as in the past.
I bought back SOXL the other day, but I determined that there is no more potential, so I sold all of it by the close today.
As the appeal of SOXS is diminishing as well, I am considering watching the situation of the semiconductor sector while observing the trends of other sectors.
The SOX is in a period of stagnation. Further decline is likely expected next week.
I expect the SOX index to have a death cross on the monthly chart and rebound at the 200MA. If you were to buy, now would be the time.
Alright then.
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Haha, look! SOXL looks like garbage! Hahahaha.
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Good evening.![]()
No atmospheric re-entry this morning as well.![]()
We are holding both NVDL and L.![]()
Currently, N is at 143/L is at 26.![]()
One concern is that the cash ratio of investment assets has reached 20.50%.![]()
When I last saw it in August, the cash ratio has increased by 4% from 16%.![]()
Currently, the uncertainty about the future is increasing even when considering the constituent stocks and composition ratios.![]()
Considering the current price movements are decreasing, we can only say that the disadvantages are significant.![]()
I want N to work hard towards the end of the year.![]()
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Around this time last year, L was hovering around 22, and during the Christmas rally, it was partying around 32, having a great time and making noise.![]()
The author has changed drastically between last year and now.![]()
Compared to last year, L may fluctuate between 35-40 during the Christmas rally.![]()
50 in February next year.![]()
Tonight's N seems to be below 141, only 139/135 but it feels like it won't fall below the swing low of 137.13.![]()
If it rises, it's still recommended to hold & break 147.25.![]()
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Swing high at 148.1...
Good evening.
No atmospheric re-entry this morning as well.
Currently, N is at 143/L is at 26.
One concern is that the cash ratio of investment assets has reached 20.50%.
Currently, the uncertainty about the future is increasing even when considering the constituent stocks and composition ratios.
Considering the current price movements are decreasing, we can only say that the disadvantages are significant.
I want N to work hard towards the end of the year.
Around this time last year, L was hovering around 22, and during the Christmas rally, it was partying around 32, having a great time and making noise.
Compared to last year, L may fluctuate between 35-40 during the Christmas rally.
Tonight's N seems to be below 141, only 139/135 but it feels like it won't fall below the swing low of 137.13.
If it rises, it's still recommended to hold & break 147.25.
Swing high at 148.1...
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Good visibility.
We will rock from tonight.
Good visibility.
We will rock from tonight.
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
According to past data, the third quarter often sees positive earnings, but December tends to be a negative month for stocks.![]()
Nvidia's revenue outlook falls short of the upper limit of market estimates.
Following this earnings report, is Nvidia bullish or bearish in December?![]()
December has historically been a bearish month for Nvidia. According to seasonal statistics, this leading semiconductor company often enters a temporary bearish market after the third quarter earnings report.
In December, it dropped by an average of 1.84%, making it the largest decline for the whole month.
Nvidia has ended December in positive territory only 4 out of the past 10 years, which is a 40% probability. The most dramatic decline in December occurred in 2022, with a 13.64% decrease in stock price.![]()
Conversely, Nvidia's highest performance in December was in 2016, recording a remarkable increase of 15.77%. The tough situation in December is significant, but Nvidia usually...
According to past data, the third quarter often sees positive earnings, but December tends to be a negative month for stocks.
Nvidia's revenue outlook falls short of the upper limit of market estimates.
Following this earnings report, is Nvidia bullish or bearish in December?
December has historically been a bearish month for Nvidia. According to seasonal statistics, this leading semiconductor company often enters a temporary bearish market after the third quarter earnings report.
In December, it dropped by an average of 1.84%, making it the largest decline for the whole month.
Nvidia has ended December in positive territory only 4 out of the past 10 years, which is a 40% probability. The most dramatic decline in December occurred in 2022, with a 13.64% decrease in stock price.
Conversely, Nvidia's highest performance in December was in 2016, recording a remarkable increase of 15.77%. The tough situation in December is significant, but Nvidia usually...
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
After losing a third of my own funds (nearly 3 million yen) in the crashes of July and August, I struggled for several months.
Back then, I was a reckless guy with a full focus on semiconductors, so I had no defense whatsoever and really suffered a lot.![]()
![]()
![]()
Since then, I decided in my heart not to engage in gambling beyond my means, repeated taking profits in detail, and finally recovered almost all of the losses.![]()
I, who lack the skill to accurately target individual stocks, now rely entirely on etfs.![]()
![]()
......Well, I'm really making the most of leverage...![]()
![]()
You're not learning your lesson at all!
Back then, I was a reckless guy with a full focus on semiconductors, so I had no defense whatsoever and really suffered a lot.
Since then, I decided in my heart not to engage in gambling beyond my means, repeated taking profits in detail, and finally recovered almost all of the losses.
I, who lack the skill to accurately target individual stocks, now rely entirely on etfs.
......Well, I'm really making the most of leverage...
You're not learning your lesson at all!
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codeOZ(家長)
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Even if N skyrockets, it's unknown if this will rise.
If N falls, aiming for 20 is definitely the way to go 😂
Even if N skyrockets, it's unknown if this will rise.
If N falls, aiming for 20 is definitely the way to go 😂
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codeOZ(家長) : Should we push through until the employment statistics? Stay sideways? Since the previous statistics were strange, even if we rally, it takes courage to rise now.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I wonder how the forecast will turn out this time, given the previous one was like that.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
。