Just a few days ago on Black Monday, the market was in extreme panic, and everyone thought the stock disaster was coming. I told everyone that the market would soon hit bottom and bounce back.
In the past few days, the market has indeed rebounded. Those who did not participate in this wave of rises are experiencing the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and have been constantly looking for stocks to buy.
In the financial markets, greed and fear are human weaknesses. Once you understand these two things, you basically won't chase the rise and fall every time.
This market sentiment index is a very useful tool for observing what stage the market is currently in. On Monday, when the market was in extreme panic, the index fell to around 4-5. Four days later, there was a major reversal, rising to 88, also indicating that the market was getting excited, and soon there will be an adjustment.
The key is if this round of correction can make a Higher Low, then basically this round of selling wave can be declared over. On the other hand, if the index falls below the recent low point during the correction, then it is very likely that a new round of downward wave is coming, which applies to both the US stock market and the Malaysian stock market.
Of course, my personal opinion is that there should not be a major decline in the short term, at most it will consolidate for a period of time, and the market will have a new direction after the peak period of performance.
Congratulations to those who have been following my live broadcast on Facebook and participating in this rebound, if you haven't, it's okay, keep following me and I will share more when there is an opportunity.
In the past few days, the market has indeed rebounded. Those who did not participate in this wave of rises are experiencing the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and have been constantly looking for stocks to buy.
In the financial markets, greed and fear are human weaknesses. Once you understand these two things, you basically won't chase the rise and fall every time.
This market sentiment index is a very useful tool for observing what stage the market is currently in. On Monday, when the market was in extreme panic, the index fell to around 4-5. Four days later, there was a major reversal, rising to 88, also indicating that the market was getting excited, and soon there will be an adjustment.
The key is if this round of correction can make a Higher Low, then basically this round of selling wave can be declared over. On the other hand, if the index falls below the recent low point during the correction, then it is very likely that a new round of downward wave is coming, which applies to both the US stock market and the Malaysian stock market.
Of course, my personal opinion is that there should not be a major decline in the short term, at most it will consolidate for a period of time, and the market will have a new direction after the peak period of performance.
Congratulations to those who have been following my live broadcast on Facebook and participating in this rebound, if you haven't, it's okay, keep following me and I will share more when there is an opportunity.
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近期美股涨到怀疑人生,反而马股却只有一些低流通量的个股轮流涨停板,整体市场情绪依然不是太好,说明市场没有出现共识的主题,希望这轮美股能带动马股上涨。
另一方面,美国十年债务利率下滑,导致市场情绪好转,认为美联储在明年6月就会降息。但换个角度来想,10年期利率下滑也代表大家对债券的需求提升,意味着他们担忧接下来经济会进入衰退。
不过短期内对股市是好的,因为进一步紧缩的压力减少了,个人认为美股会出现一波小牛(马股可能要等一等,业绩高峰期将近)。我依然保持我之前的观点,我相信未来两年股市会很好,不过在那之前可能会出现一轮大回调,快的话会发生在2024Q1,最迟Q2,之后又会是财富重新分配的时候。
这轮上涨千万不要All in,记得见好就收,为下一轮下跌做准备。
另一方面,美国十年债务利率下滑,导致市场情绪好转,认为美联储在明年6月就会降息。但换个角度来想,10年期利率下滑也代表大家对债券的需求提升,意味着他们担忧接下来经济会进入衰退。
不过短期内对股市是好的,因为进一步紧缩的压力减少了,个人认为美股会出现一波小牛(马股可能要等一等,业绩高峰期将近)。我依然保持我之前的观点,我相信未来两年股市会很好,不过在那之前可能会出现一轮大回调,快的话会发生在2024Q1,最迟Q2,之后又会是财富重新分配的时候。
这轮上涨千万不要All in,记得见好就收,为下一轮下跌做准备。
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We often say that trading stocks should follow the trend; it is easier to make money. But why are so many people buying popular stocks and losing money in the end?
In fact, great traders often discover stocks when they haven't become popular, or when they are just starting to rise, rather than wait until the whole street spreads their attention.
To make more money than others, you need to learn to predict the next trend, especially in a relatively easy market like Malaysian stocks, where predicting trends is actually not difficult.
If you have been trading Malaysian stocks for a long time, you will find that there is actually a rule in our stock market, that is, during a bull market, sectors usually rise in turns. For example, if industrial stocks rise, it may be the turn of construction stocks, then it will be the turn of building materials stocks, etc. Therefore, when a certain sector starts to skyrocket, we usually pay attention to the next sector in advance, rather than FOMO running to catch up and end up in the middle.
Another thing to note is that if most stocks in a certain sector are rising, only specific stocks are not rising, don't think about running to buy; don't expect a delay effect (Delay Effect). Not that 100% won't happen, but in most cases, the chance of losing money is relatively high.
By the way, industrial construction stocks have performed very well recently. If you missed this round of growth, I would advise you not to chase around; I'm already starting to keep an eye on the next sector. I saw that many individual stocks had good setups.
In fact, great traders often discover stocks when they haven't become popular, or when they are just starting to rise, rather than wait until the whole street spreads their attention.
To make more money than others, you need to learn to predict the next trend, especially in a relatively easy market like Malaysian stocks, where predicting trends is actually not difficult.
If you have been trading Malaysian stocks for a long time, you will find that there is actually a rule in our stock market, that is, during a bull market, sectors usually rise in turns. For example, if industrial stocks rise, it may be the turn of construction stocks, then it will be the turn of building materials stocks, etc. Therefore, when a certain sector starts to skyrocket, we usually pay attention to the next sector in advance, rather than FOMO running to catch up and end up in the middle.
Another thing to note is that if most stocks in a certain sector are rising, only specific stocks are not rising, don't think about running to buy; don't expect a delay effect (Delay Effect). Not that 100% won't happen, but in most cases, the chance of losing money is relatively high.
By the way, industrial construction stocks have performed very well recently. If you missed this round of growth, I would advise you not to chase around; I'm already starting to keep an eye on the next sector. I saw that many individual stocks had good setups.
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Key events to look out for in the near term is the tabling of the 12th Malaysia Plan mid-term review (12MP MTR) on 11 Sep that had initially outlined MYR400bn worth of development expenditure for 2021-2025. We are hopeful of key infrastructure projects to be mentioned in the 12MP MTR such as the Penang Light Rail Transit (LRT), Mass Rapid Transit 3 (MRT3), Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System (RTS) Link and the Pan Borneo Highway. The icing on the cake would be the reinstateme...
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Recently, several stocks in the trades $SASBADI (5252.MY)$ 、 $IFCAMSC (0023.MY)$ and $DCHCARE (0283.MY)$Either stopped out when unable to break through resistance and encountered selling pressure, or got washed out in the middle of the trading session.
Normally, when encountering this situation (Stop-loss in three consecutive tradesIf my portfolio continues to decline by more than 10%, I will switch to a conservative mode and reduce the number or value of my trades. Coincidentally, the small cap index seems to be showing signs of reversal recently, and a short-term consolidation would be beneficial. Additionally, the KLCI futures for September are trading at a discount of around 20 points compared to the spot price, which suggests a bearish outlook for the market in September.
However, I am optimistic about the stock market at the end of the year, especially after the upcoming 12th Malaysia Plan review meeting and the fiscal budget in October.
Normally, when encountering this situation (Stop-loss in three consecutive tradesIf my portfolio continues to decline by more than 10%, I will switch to a conservative mode and reduce the number or value of my trades. Coincidentally, the small cap index seems to be showing signs of reversal recently, and a short-term consolidation would be beneficial. Additionally, the KLCI futures for September are trading at a discount of around 20 points compared to the spot price, which suggests a bearish outlook for the market in September.
However, I am optimistic about the stock market at the end of the year, especially after the upcoming 12th Malaysia Plan review meeting and the fiscal budget in October.
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The strongest sector in Malaysian stocks is none other than industrial stocks, especially industrial stocks in South Malaysia. Since the new Prime Minister Anwar took office last year, he has seen the Sultan of Johor many times. It seems that the two sides have a good relationship.
Judging from Malaysia's system of rotating the supreme head of state, the Sultan of Johor will be the next Supreme Head of State. Sudan also previously revealed to the media that the Malay Rulers' Council will hold a special session in October this year to elect a new head of state.
After the dust settles on our state election results, the current government can basically sit still for 4 more years. Next, it can focus its energy on implementing new policies. Judging from the recent rise in Malaysian stocks and industrial stocks, it can be seen that the increases are all quite exaggeratedIndustrial stocks in South Malaysia, $UEMS (5148.MY)$ It has already risen by more than 150%, $IWCITY (1589.MY)$ There was also a good increase last week.
Prime Minister Anwar also announced a few days ago that Forest City will be classified as a special financial zone, further driving the rise in South Malaysian industrial stocks. Currently, what the market is most concerned about is whether the government will restart the Longxin High Speed Rail (HSR) project, which was shelved in early 2021. The news indicates that Singapore is willing to renegotiate with the Malaysian government. If the negotiations are settled, it will surely become another catalyst for Johor industrial stocks.
If this major project starts up again, it will definitely boost Johor's economy, including local industrial stocks. Johor concept stocks include $KSL (5038.MY)$ 、 $EKOVEST (8877.MY)$ 、 $PGLOBE (3611.MY)$ ,...
Judging from Malaysia's system of rotating the supreme head of state, the Sultan of Johor will be the next Supreme Head of State. Sudan also previously revealed to the media that the Malay Rulers' Council will hold a special session in October this year to elect a new head of state.
After the dust settles on our state election results, the current government can basically sit still for 4 more years. Next, it can focus its energy on implementing new policies. Judging from the recent rise in Malaysian stocks and industrial stocks, it can be seen that the increases are all quite exaggeratedIndustrial stocks in South Malaysia, $UEMS (5148.MY)$ It has already risen by more than 150%, $IWCITY (1589.MY)$ There was also a good increase last week.
Prime Minister Anwar also announced a few days ago that Forest City will be classified as a special financial zone, further driving the rise in South Malaysian industrial stocks. Currently, what the market is most concerned about is whether the government will restart the Longxin High Speed Rail (HSR) project, which was shelved in early 2021. The news indicates that Singapore is willing to renegotiate with the Malaysian government. If the negotiations are settled, it will surely become another catalyst for Johor industrial stocks.
If this major project starts up again, it will definitely boost Johor's economy, including local industrial stocks. Johor concept stocks include $KSL (5038.MY)$ 、 $EKOVEST (8877.MY)$ 、 $PGLOBE (3611.MY)$ ,...
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Both have achieved performance. There is no risk of a performance bomb, which is more in line with personal operating preferences
IFCAMSC support 275
SASBADI support 200
IFCAMSC support 275
SASBADI support 200
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When the stock price reaches a key resistance level, can it break through a one-year high? Support falls at 415
The hidden danger is that the results will be announced soon
$TUNEPRO (5230.MY)$
The hidden danger is that the results will be announced soon
$TUNEPRO (5230.MY)$
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