The price of gold in U.S. dollars jumped 25.5% in 2024, barely outperforming the total return (including dividends) of the S&P 500, which amounted to 25%. And in January, gold popped another 6.4% to a record high -- compared to a 2.8% total return for the S&P 500.
from:The Motley Fool
Gold is always a hedge against uncertainty. Inflation , Trump's tariffs , economy outlook, and many more.
When Gold was ATH recently, the miner kept on price surge but n...
from:The Motley Fool
Gold is always a hedge against uncertainty. Inflation , Trump's tariffs , economy outlook, and many more.
When Gold was ATH recently, the miner kept on price surge but n...
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Here's some analysis from both perspect.
Technological Capability & Current Performance:
DeepSeek has shown that it can match or even surpass some of the performance benchmarks of leading U.S. AI models like those from OpenAI in certain tasks, particularly with its cost-effectiveness and open-source approach. However, U.S. companies like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft still hold significant advantages due to their access to more advanced hardware, extensive data set...
Technological Capability & Current Performance:
DeepSeek has shown that it can match or even surpass some of the performance benchmarks of leading U.S. AI models like those from OpenAI in certain tasks, particularly with its cost-effectiveness and open-source approach. However, U.S. companies like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft still hold significant advantages due to their access to more advanced hardware, extensive data set...
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If the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield were to reach 5%, several potential negative effects could emerge:
Increased Borrowing Costs:
For the Government: Higher yields mean higher interest payments on government debt, which could lead to an increase in the national deficit if spending isn't curtailed or if taxes aren't raised.
For consumers: Mortgages, student loans, and other forms of debt that are tied to long-term rates would become mor...
Increased Borrowing Costs:
For the Government: Higher yields mean higher interest payments on government debt, which could lead to an increase in the national deficit if spending isn't curtailed or if taxes aren't raised.
For consumers: Mortgages, student loans, and other forms of debt that are tied to long-term rates would become mor...
![If the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield were to reach 5% & higher](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/104475682/20250119/1737256954586-random9275-104475682-android-compress.jpg/thumb?area=104&is_public=true)
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The Biden administration's restrictions on AI chip exports have elicited a range of responses and implications for both the economy and national security.
Economic Effects:
Companies like Nvidia have criticized the restrictions, arguing that they could disrupt supply chains and potentially lead to a loss of revenue and market share. The tech industry has voiced concerns about the timing of these restrictions, suggesting they were implemented without sufficient ...
Economic Effects:
Companies like Nvidia have criticized the restrictions, arguing that they could disrupt supply chains and potentially lead to a loss of revenue and market share. The tech industry has voiced concerns about the timing of these restrictions, suggesting they were implemented without sufficient ...
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The effects of a national economic emergency declaration by the United States, particularly one focused on trade policy like imposing universal tariffs, can have extensive repercussions on the world economy.
Here's how immediate economic effects are:
Trade disruption tariffs would raise the cost of American goods abroad and foreign goods in the U.S., potentially leading to reduced trade volumes. Countries dependent on exporting to the U.S. would face immediate...
Here's how immediate economic effects are:
Trade disruption tariffs would raise the cost of American goods abroad and foreign goods in the U.S., potentially leading to reduced trade volumes. Countries dependent on exporting to the U.S. would face immediate...
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To understand the correlation between silver prices and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), we need to look at how these two assets typically interact.
Generally, there's an inverse correlation between silver prices and the DXY. Silver, like gold, is often priced in the U.S. dollars, so when the dollar strengthens (DXY goes up), silver tends to become more expensive for investors using other currencies. This can lead to a decrease in demand for silver, potentially lowering its ...
Generally, there's an inverse correlation between silver prices and the DXY. Silver, like gold, is often priced in the U.S. dollars, so when the dollar strengthens (DXY goes up), silver tends to become more expensive for investors using other currencies. This can lead to a decrease in demand for silver, potentially lowering its ...
![Silver VS DXY correlation](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/104475682/20250107/1736208584801-random6623-104475682-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=104&is_public=true)
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Here are a few things to consider,
About the Trump economic policy and tariffs by increasing in U.S. tariff rates.Tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, which can lead to a decrease in imports. With fewer goods coming into the U.S., the trade deficit might shrink, or the surplus could grow if exports remain strong or increase. This improvement in the trade balance can strengthen the dollar because they reduce imports and improve trade balances but increase infl...
About the Trump economic policy and tariffs by increasing in U.S. tariff rates.Tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, which can lead to a decrease in imports. With fewer goods coming into the U.S., the trade deficit might shrink, or the surplus could grow if exports remain strong or increase. This improvement in the trade balance can strengthen the dollar because they reduce imports and improve trade balances but increase infl...
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Feeling Merry?
The Conference Board survey has confirmed the optimistic sentiment reflected by the rapid rise in stock prices. Since 1987, this organization has been asking U.S. consumers monthly whether they believe stock prices will continue to rise over the next 12 months.
In the most recent survey, 56% of respondents believed that stock prices would rise in 2025, a proportion that significantly exceeds historical records and is much higher than the 26% recorded in 2...
The Conference Board survey has confirmed the optimistic sentiment reflected by the rapid rise in stock prices. Since 1987, this organization has been asking U.S. consumers monthly whether they believe stock prices will continue to rise over the next 12 months.
In the most recent survey, 56% of respondents believed that stock prices would rise in 2025, a proportion that significantly exceeds historical records and is much higher than the 26% recorded in 2...
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Energy:
This sector often performs well due to increasing energy demand and rising commodity prices as the economy reaches its peak. Energy demand might be on an upward trajectory, which could benefit energy stocks.
Materials:
Similarly, materials like metals and minerals can see a surge in demand, leading to better performance for mining and materials companies. This is often driven by the anticipation of economic slowdown, ...
This sector often performs well due to increasing energy demand and rising commodity prices as the economy reaches its peak. Energy demand might be on an upward trajectory, which could benefit energy stocks.
Materials:
Similarly, materials like metals and minerals can see a surge in demand, leading to better performance for mining and materials companies. This is often driven by the anticipation of economic slowdown, ...
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J.P. Morgan Research has estimated the probability of a global recession by the end of 2025 to be around 45%. They noted that despite some economic vulnerabilities, factors like sustained profit margins and absence of significant credit market stress have kept this probability unchanged from previous assessments.
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/recession-probability
Gold...
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/recession-probability
Gold...
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