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Previously, we conducted an overview of the overall profit and loss as of December 9, 2024, focusing on general sentiment and analyzing the stocks that generated profits. This time, I would like to reflect on the losses incurred over the past year as of December 21, 2024.
Firstly, the top loss-making stock was SMCI with a loss of approximately $18,700. I believe I was not the only one who considered SMCI alongside NVDA as the top players during the AI-related investment boom in the first half of the year, as of December 21, 2024. I still believe that the substantial investment in training facilities for AI at the time occupied a significant position in the movement surrounding AI, justifying the concentrated investment in this stock even at present. However, accounting scandals within the company posed a significant risk factor that could influence stock prices, even to the extent of the possibility of market exit, underscoring the high risk of a portfolio heavily reliant on a few companies. Following the loss realization in May, the continuous decline in the stock price raises questions not only about the possibility of delisting but also about potential audit-related changes. Therefore, thorough examination is necessary until all extraneous uncertainties concerning the company are resolved.
Firstly, the top loss-making stock was SMCI with a loss of approximately $18,700. I believe I was not the only one who considered SMCI alongside NVDA as the top players during the AI-related investment boom in the first half of the year, as of December 21, 2024. I still believe that the substantial investment in training facilities for AI at the time occupied a significant position in the movement surrounding AI, justifying the concentrated investment in this stock even at present. However, accounting scandals within the company posed a significant risk factor that could influence stock prices, even to the extent of the possibility of market exit, underscoring the high risk of a portfolio heavily reliant on a few companies. Following the loss realization in May, the continuous decline in the stock price raises questions not only about the possibility of delisting but also about potential audit-related changes. Therefore, thorough examination is necessary until all extraneous uncertainties concerning the company are resolved.
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For next year's tax planning, I have already converted the necessary cash portion of my US stock position to Japanese yen to finalize the closing for 2024, so I plan to gradually look back on the year.
The year-to-date profit and loss for the moomoo Securities as of December 9, 2024 was +173%. Due to the overall rise in the US stock market and the biased increase in specific securities, I made fund transfers from other assets accordingly. As a result, funds and profits were somewhat concentrated in the moomoo Securities account, the main battlefield for individual stock trading in the United States. Therefore, in December, I gradually increased my Japanese yen deposit position.
Firstly, as a personal summary of US stocks in 2024, the first half of the year was dominated by AI and semiconductors, while the latter half was focused on the presidential election. Consequently, a significant portion of this year's annual profit came from concentrated investments in NVDA and MSTR at various times. On the other hand, it was quite impressive that the top losses were in SMCI and then COIN.
The AI and semiconductor sectors in the first half of this year were engulfed in considerable excitement, with related companies being widely bought and the entire industry buoyant. Therefore, SOXL temporarily rose to nearly $70, but is currently around $30, sinking into negative territory for the year....
The year-to-date profit and loss for the moomoo Securities as of December 9, 2024 was +173%. Due to the overall rise in the US stock market and the biased increase in specific securities, I made fund transfers from other assets accordingly. As a result, funds and profits were somewhat concentrated in the moomoo Securities account, the main battlefield for individual stock trading in the United States. Therefore, in December, I gradually increased my Japanese yen deposit position.
Firstly, as a personal summary of US stocks in 2024, the first half of the year was dominated by AI and semiconductors, while the latter half was focused on the presidential election. Consequently, a significant portion of this year's annual profit came from concentrated investments in NVDA and MSTR at various times. On the other hand, it was quite impressive that the top losses were in SMCI and then COIN.
The AI and semiconductor sectors in the first half of this year were engulfed in considerable excitement, with related companies being widely bought and the entire industry buoyant. Therefore, SOXL temporarily rose to nearly $70, but is currently around $30, sinking into negative territory for the year....
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As the number of followers has been gradually increasing, I would be happy to share the contents of my brain while discussing. It would be nice to have a discussion with a different quality from anonymous bulletin boards or X, as I can provide specific trading records for certain brands.
I believe there are many points to pick on, so please leave comments or anything else. Even if you prefer to just read, please share your thoughts.
This time, focusing on the theme of the quantum computing related to GOOG, which was just announced timely with cryptocurrencies, I will first reveal the contents of my mind.
When considering the features that give value to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and others, cryptocurrencies with the following characteristics are considered to have the potential to hold value in the future.
1. Practicality
• Use CasesFinancial transactions, smart contracts, decentralized applications (dApps), and other mechanisms that are actually being used.
• Existing ExampleEthereum (ETH) is widely used as a platform for smart contracts.
2. Scalability
• Optimization of transaction speed and fees.Even when the network is congested, processing is fast and low cost...
I believe there are many points to pick on, so please leave comments or anything else. Even if you prefer to just read, please share your thoughts.
This time, focusing on the theme of the quantum computing related to GOOG, which was just announced timely with cryptocurrencies, I will first reveal the contents of my mind.
When considering the features that give value to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and others, cryptocurrencies with the following characteristics are considered to have the potential to hold value in the future.
1. Practicality
• Use CasesFinancial transactions, smart contracts, decentralized applications (dApps), and other mechanisms that are actually being used.
• Existing ExampleEthereum (ETH) is widely used as a platform for smart contracts.
2. Scalability
• Optimization of transaction speed and fees.Even when the network is congested, processing is fast and low cost...
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Looking at the short to medium term interest rates in Japanese Yen and US Dollar, it is almost certain that the Fed will cut rates and the Bank of Japan will raise rates. The market is expected to be seeing this, so I would like to organize the recent trading process.
In carry trade, it has been reasonable globally to borrow low-interest assets and invest in high-interest assets to make a profit. Therefore, it was logical to borrow the low-interest Yen and invest in the high-interest Dollar.
Considering the recent policy changes of the Fed and the Bank of Japan, the flow has reversed, leading to a stronger Yen and weaker Dollar, reaching levels around 140 Yen per Dollar. It is now considered theoretically optimal to sell Dollars and buy Yen. In the very short term, I believe that Tokyo's price index and personnel changes in the US new administration were significant factors driving this.
Even if the Japanese yen interest rate reaches 0.5% and the U.S. interest rate reaches 3.5%, there is still a 3% interest rate difference between the two, so it is not enough to completely reverse carry trades. Therefore, it is anticipated that temporary yen strength and dollar weakness will occur, but this is expected to be limited. Even if the interest rate difference between the two disappears in the future, it is expected to happen quite far in the future, and during that time, the relative interest rates...
In carry trade, it has been reasonable globally to borrow low-interest assets and invest in high-interest assets to make a profit. Therefore, it was logical to borrow the low-interest Yen and invest in the high-interest Dollar.
Considering the recent policy changes of the Fed and the Bank of Japan, the flow has reversed, leading to a stronger Yen and weaker Dollar, reaching levels around 140 Yen per Dollar. It is now considered theoretically optimal to sell Dollars and buy Yen. In the very short term, I believe that Tokyo's price index and personnel changes in the US new administration were significant factors driving this.
Even if the Japanese yen interest rate reaches 0.5% and the U.S. interest rate reaches 3.5%, there is still a 3% interest rate difference between the two, so it is not enough to completely reverse carry trades. Therefore, it is anticipated that temporary yen strength and dollar weakness will occur, but this is expected to be limited. Even if the interest rate difference between the two disappears in the future, it is expected to happen quite far in the future, and during that time, the relative interest rates...
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Entering the second half of this year, as part of the portfolio and significantly increasing the position in MSTR after the U.S. presidential election, the current unrealized gains exceed $0.12 million.
As for future plans, a partial or complete profit-taking and position adjustments will be made. At this stage, it is not pessimistic about the future, but rather a response to the fact that the position has become significantly larger than the risk tolerance. Depending on the market, the timing of profit-taking and the amount of adjustment will vary.
In the current analysis, MSTR has increased its holdings by buying more through convertible bonds for financing, with over 0.33 million BTC currently held, which is well over 1% of the total circulating Bitcoin supply, making it the number one publicly traded company. When converted at $0.09 million per 1 BTC, it is approximately $30 billion, and considering from MSTR's market capitalization, it is not hard to imagine that the Bitcoin price directly affects the stock price. A similar situation is observed with MARA, currently in second place, which has also announced plans to acquire Bitcoin using part of the funds from bond issuance.
On the other hand, in contrast to the rise in the value of bitcoin, MSTR's share price increase seems to have a relatively leveraged situation...
As for future plans, a partial or complete profit-taking and position adjustments will be made. At this stage, it is not pessimistic about the future, but rather a response to the fact that the position has become significantly larger than the risk tolerance. Depending on the market, the timing of profit-taking and the amount of adjustment will vary.
In the current analysis, MSTR has increased its holdings by buying more through convertible bonds for financing, with over 0.33 million BTC currently held, which is well over 1% of the total circulating Bitcoin supply, making it the number one publicly traded company. When converted at $0.09 million per 1 BTC, it is approximately $30 billion, and considering from MSTR's market capitalization, it is not hard to imagine that the Bitcoin price directly affects the stock price. A similar situation is observed with MARA, currently in second place, which has also announced plans to acquire Bitcoin using part of the funds from bond issuance.
On the other hand, in contrast to the rise in the value of bitcoin, MSTR's share price increase seems to have a relatively leveraged situation...
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moomoo investors, there is no shortage of hot investment topics to discuss this week! We will deliver a weekly digest full of must-see information!
■Most liked post🎖️
Selected based on the number of views, likes, and comments.
![]()
Number one @KimihikoSan:「Marie's perspective.」
The 'red wave' caused by Trump's overwhelming victory surprised the market, detailed analysis of sector-specific reactions. It has become an insightful article incorporating implications for future investment strategies and stock selection.
![]()
TOP2 @sato kojiSan:「Regarding recent earnings and future investment policies.」
💡 ...Great job!! An overwhelming profit, along with analysis of the market post-presidential election, adjustments to the portfolio considering AI, cryptocurrency, and geopolitical risks, and the proposal of a flexible investment strategy.
![]()
TOP 3 @WatchlistSan:「This week is about bitcoin, bitcoin-related stocks,」
💡 Against the background of Bitcoin's sharp rise, it is recommended to seize the investment opportunities at the beginning of the bubble and advocate a strategy of holding and buying. It is an excellent analysis full of enthusiasm wishing for the success of Japanese investors.
■ Best Post Recommended by Operation👍
![]()
@PinhaneSan:After a comprehensive analysis of NVIDIA, the following trends are becoming apparent.🧐🤔 ...
■Most liked post🎖️
Selected based on the number of views, likes, and comments.
The 'red wave' caused by Trump's overwhelming victory surprised the market, detailed analysis of sector-specific reactions. It has become an insightful article incorporating implications for future investment strategies and stock selection.
💡 ...Great job!! An overwhelming profit, along with analysis of the market post-presidential election, adjustments to the portfolio considering AI, cryptocurrency, and geopolitical risks, and the proposal of a flexible investment strategy.
💡 Against the background of Bitcoin's sharp rise, it is recommended to seize the investment opportunities at the beginning of the bubble and advocate a strategy of holding and buying. It is an excellent analysis full of enthusiasm wishing for the success of Japanese investors.
■ Best Post Recommended by Operation👍
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![[Investor Highlights] Reflecting on last week's popular posts and best users 🔍!](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181000007/20241118/1731917993091-123d782b23.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ After the closing of the US stock market on November 20th, Earnings for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025are scheduled to be announced.A comeback by former president Trumpriding the wave of a stock market rally on the 7threached a new all-time high,Will this earnings announcement further push up the stock price?![]()
On the next business day after the earnings reports, what will be the closing price of nvidia stock? Let's predict the closing price and vote!
【Compensation】![]()
● Distribute 10,000 points
At 10:30 PM on November 21st (Japan time)By the deadline, nvidia's Closing price on November 21st (6 AM on November 22nd Japan time) Predict the closing price and select from the price ranges below. If the actual closing price falls within the range you voted for, points will be equally distributed to all users who voted in that range (Example: If 50 users hit the target range, each will earn 200 points!)
[Hit Challenge! 1,000 yen Amazon gift card]![]()
Predict the closing price of nvidia accurately and seize the chance to get additional benefits!![]()
On November 21st...
On the next business day after the earnings reports, what will be the closing price of nvidia stock? Let's predict the closing price and vote!
【Compensation】
● Distribute 10,000 points
At 10:30 PM on November 21st (Japan time)By the deadline, nvidia's Closing price on November 21st (6 AM on November 22nd Japan time) Predict the closing price and select from the price ranges below. If the actual closing price falls within the range you voted for, points will be equally distributed to all users who voted in that range (Example: If 50 users hit the target range, each will earn 200 points!)
[Hit Challenge! 1,000 yen Amazon gift card]
Predict the closing price of nvidia accurately and seize the chance to get additional benefits!
On November 21st...
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The current stock market is,Mr. Trump's victory declarationanda 0.25% interest rate cut decision by the FOMChave causedIn excellent condition.It is showing a great development. Safely passing through important events such as the presidential election and FOMC, the market is becoming even more heated.Let's not miss this upward trend and firmly seize this excellent investment opportunity!✨
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【Period】
In November 2024...
💥Attention! Must-see ETFs for investors!💥
This time,providing leverage ETFs specializing in individual stocks.GraniteShares Inc.We are pleased to announce a special ETF trading campaign for GraniteShares Inc.! Why not take this opportunity to trade GraniteShares Inc.'s ETFs?
🤝 Partnership campaign with GraniteShares Inc. is starting! 🤝
【Campaign Details】
During the campaign period, <https://j.moomoo.com/01zfRcOnce you register for entry from >, and trade GraniteShares Inc.'s ETFs at least once, 500 yen worth of cash couponWe will give it as a gift. Please note that prior entry from the above link is required to participate in the campaign.
【Period】
In November 2024...
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It’s possible that Trump and his team have acted to counter the continuous short-selling of DJT stock. This is good news for retail investors. Without massive short-selling, DJT's stock price is expected to potentially reach around $70? Do you think it’s effective?
$Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$ $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $JPY/USD (JPYUSD.FX)$ $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $Intel (INTC.US)$ $Coca-Cola (KO.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$
...
$Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$ $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $JPY/USD (JPYUSD.FX)$ $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $Intel (INTC.US)$ $Coca-Cola (KO.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$
...
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