wangcaifan
commented on
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
As the title.
With various uncertainties in the market rising, it seems that funds have returned to the most certain sector in terms of profitability: ai chips. I have increased my position in NVDA, which is currently my largest holding. In addition, I also hold AMD and a small amount of TSM.
$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ It is my second largest holding, acting as a defense.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Unable to break through for a long time, so I reduced my positions, it is currently my third largest holding. Let's see if the robotaxi can drive the stock price through the resistance. It's not too late to buy after the breakthrough.
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
As the title.
With various uncertainties in the market rising, it seems that funds have returned to the most certain sector in terms of profitability: ai chips. I have increased my position in NVDA, which is currently my largest holding. In addition, I also hold AMD and a small amount of TSM.
$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ It is my second largest holding, acting as a defense.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Unable to break through for a long time, so I reduced my positions, it is currently my third largest holding. Let's see if the robotaxi can drive the stock price through the resistance. It's not too late to buy after the breakthrough.
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wangcaifan
commented on
Reducing positions $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Because it surged to the support, take partial profits first and observe. If the breakout is confirmed, buy back on the right side. If there is no breakout, buy back at the bottom. Currently, it is still the second largest position hold.
Initiate a buy position. $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ The reason: it has dropped to the 200-week moving average. Unless there is an economic recession, it should not break through. The daily chart opened lower, showing signs of exhaustion gap. Let's see if it will be filled soon. Choose oxy for energy stocks, pay tribute to Buffet 🫡, my cost is even lower than Buffet's, what am I afraid of? If Buffet doesn't sell, I won't sell.
Considering reducing positions. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ However, tesla is considered as a semi-Chinese concept stock. Recently, Chinese concept stocks are gaining momentum, I will continue to observe. Compared to Chinese concept stocks, I am more bullish on Tesla.
Closely observe. $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Can it break through the key level of 65,000? Watch for two more days. If it can hold above 65,000 next Monday, I will consider adding positions on the right side, targeting 80,000-90,000. If it cannot hold and turns downwards, then wait for opportunities to buy at lower levels.
Initiate a buy position. $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ The reason: it has dropped to the 200-week moving average. Unless there is an economic recession, it should not break through. The daily chart opened lower, showing signs of exhaustion gap. Let's see if it will be filled soon. Choose oxy for energy stocks, pay tribute to Buffet 🫡, my cost is even lower than Buffet's, what am I afraid of? If Buffet doesn't sell, I won't sell.
Considering reducing positions. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ However, tesla is considered as a semi-Chinese concept stock. Recently, Chinese concept stocks are gaining momentum, I will continue to observe. Compared to Chinese concept stocks, I am more bullish on Tesla.
Closely observe. $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Can it break through the key level of 65,000? Watch for two more days. If it can hold above 65,000 next Monday, I will consider adding positions on the right side, targeting 80,000-90,000. If it cannot hold and turns downwards, then wait for opportunities to buy at lower levels.
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wangcaifan
liked
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Recently, my top three holdings have always been nvda, xlu, and tsla.
With the recent rise in stock prices these days, tsla has become my largest position now. Suddenly became the leader, it's really a case of when the wind changes direction.
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Performance is relatively poor, holding the second position in positions.
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ Showing strong momentum, previously briefly became my largest holding position, but I later reduced part of it. Currently, it ranks third in positions. Reason for reduction: Let xlu be the largest, seemed a bit too conservative in a bull market.
Currently, my determination is in the later stages of a bull market. The bull market doesn't speak of its peak, so it's not advisable to easily escape the peak or give up chips. But it probably won't be for too long, so cherish the rise while it lasts.
Recently, my top three holdings have always been nvda, xlu, and tsla.
With the recent rise in stock prices these days, tsla has become my largest position now. Suddenly became the leader, it's really a case of when the wind changes direction.
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Performance is relatively poor, holding the second position in positions.
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ Showing strong momentum, previously briefly became my largest holding position, but I later reduced part of it. Currently, it ranks third in positions. Reason for reduction: Let xlu be the largest, seemed a bit too conservative in a bull market.
Currently, my determination is in the later stages of a bull market. The bull market doesn't speak of its peak, so it's not advisable to easily escape the peak or give up chips. But it probably won't be for too long, so cherish the rise while it lasts.
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wangcaifan
commented on
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
After today's rise, the probability of nvda falling to two digits sharply decreased. The daily chart is forming a w-bottom. Once the w-bottom is completed, breaking through the neckline will inevitably break the new high, it's just a matter of time. I hope it can slow down a bit, spend more time building the bottom, and not rush to break through in September. After breaking through the neckline, it's best to follow the textbook, pull back a bit, and then rise again. The more stable the bottom, the better the rise.
I did not add to my positions after two bottom attempts, but it doesn't matter. After adjusting my positions, I currently only hold nvda, a chip stock, and it's already my largest position.
Some of the utility stocks I bought before have recently performed well. I expect to receive a sell signal within a month, or at most two months. At that time, I will switch to technology stocks and try to catch the year-end market trends.
After today's rise, the probability of nvda falling to two digits sharply decreased. The daily chart is forming a w-bottom. Once the w-bottom is completed, breaking through the neckline will inevitably break the new high, it's just a matter of time. I hope it can slow down a bit, spend more time building the bottom, and not rush to break through in September. After breaking through the neckline, it's best to follow the textbook, pull back a bit, and then rise again. The more stable the bottom, the better the rise.
I did not add to my positions after two bottom attempts, but it doesn't matter. After adjusting my positions, I currently only hold nvda, a chip stock, and it's already my largest position.
Some of the utility stocks I bought before have recently performed well. I expect to receive a sell signal within a month, or at most two months. At that time, I will switch to technology stocks and try to catch the year-end market trends.
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wangcaifan
commented on
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
I think today's non-farm payroll data is not bad, but obviously, it has been interpreted as bearish news. I think it is to force Powell to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
However, regardless of the situation, once nvda falls back to double digits, the bulls need to quickly start buying, just like last time. If it rebounds above 100, that would be even better.
In a bull market, investors should have the feeling that they need to get on the train as soon as it arrives, otherwise they will miss it. Otherwise, the market sentiment will dissipate. Once nvda falls below 90 and continues to decline, this wave is basically over.
Once the leader of this bull market, nvda falls, the bull market will come to an end. You'll see, it's already starting to crumble. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Today, it just directly shriveled up. The seesaw is also malfunctioning. In this bull market, some stocks may rise better than nvda, but no one can replace nvda's leading position.
My plan: If nvda falls to around 90-95, I will decisively buy more stocks. If I buy at this level, and the bear market really comes, then I can quickly cut losses without a big loss. If the bull market continues, nvda will at least return to 140, with a very good risk-reward ratio.
I think today's non-farm payroll data is not bad, but obviously, it has been interpreted as bearish news. I think it is to force Powell to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
However, regardless of the situation, once nvda falls back to double digits, the bulls need to quickly start buying, just like last time. If it rebounds above 100, that would be even better.
In a bull market, investors should have the feeling that they need to get on the train as soon as it arrives, otherwise they will miss it. Otherwise, the market sentiment will dissipate. Once nvda falls below 90 and continues to decline, this wave is basically over.
Once the leader of this bull market, nvda falls, the bull market will come to an end. You'll see, it's already starting to crumble. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Today, it just directly shriveled up. The seesaw is also malfunctioning. In this bull market, some stocks may rise better than nvda, but no one can replace nvda's leading position.
My plan: If nvda falls to around 90-95, I will decisively buy more stocks. If I buy at this level, and the bear market really comes, then I can quickly cut losses without a big loss. If the bull market continues, nvda will at least return to 140, with a very good risk-reward ratio.
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wangcaifan
liked
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$
Last time. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ I am very bullish on the earnings report, but unfortunately, I believed in SMCI's evil and didn't go all in on NVDA, instead I split my investment between NVDA and SMCI, as a result, I was fooled by this thing and missed out on a lot.
Later, I didn't give up. When smci fell to 700, I bought it again, but I learned my lesson and immediately closed my positions when I realized the momentum was not right. I suffered two losses, but finally gained wisdom and stayed away from smci, only buying nvda and other high-quality companies including $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ 。
A netizen asked me what I think about smci earlier, and I immediately replied: better to buy nvda. I hope he saw my message.
In conclusion, trading stocks can indeed improve one's intelligence. Just for this reason, I will continue to persist.
Today, my positions in nvda, amd, and tsm are likely affected by smci, as they all declined. It's okay, the focus is on the after-hours earnings report.
Last time. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ I am very bullish on the earnings report, but unfortunately, I believed in SMCI's evil and didn't go all in on NVDA, instead I split my investment between NVDA and SMCI, as a result, I was fooled by this thing and missed out on a lot.
Later, I didn't give up. When smci fell to 700, I bought it again, but I learned my lesson and immediately closed my positions when I realized the momentum was not right. I suffered two losses, but finally gained wisdom and stayed away from smci, only buying nvda and other high-quality companies including $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ 。
A netizen asked me what I think about smci earlier, and I immediately replied: better to buy nvda. I hope he saw my message.
In conclusion, trading stocks can indeed improve one's intelligence. Just for this reason, I will continue to persist.
Today, my positions in nvda, amd, and tsm are likely affected by smci, as they all declined. It's okay, the focus is on the after-hours earnings report.
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wangcaifan
commented on
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
$Intel (INTC.US)$
I've written before that this company, INTC, is not worth investing in. But the stock price has fallen. It's really unbearable to look at, I hope none of my friends bought it.
$Intel (INTC.US)$
I've written before that this company, INTC, is not worth investing in. But the stock price has fallen. It's really unbearable to look at, I hope none of my friends bought it.
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wangcaifan
liked and commented on
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
Although I was lucky to sell half of my positions before the sharp drop in AMD, it is still my largest holding. And I added some around 150. So I still feel very anxious.
The main focus of the financial report is on the outlook, how much is the growth rate of the ai chip market, and whether amd can quickly grab more market share. As the second in the high-performance computing sector, amd is indeed lagging behind quite a bit this time. Nvidia has a market share of over 90%, while amd is still below 5% (as for Intel, it belongs to 'other' and can be ignored). The market share of the second in the industry should account for at least 10% to be reasonable. So amd still needs to make efforts.
As for $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Now it's starting to make up for the decline. I bought some at 110 before, and now I'm in a bit of a loss, but the position is small, so it doesn't matter. If amd's financial report is not good, Nvidia may really see two-digit prices. That's two words: very tasty. I will definitely buy back some.
There are too many major events this week, but regardless of whether there is an economic slowdown, when the Fed will cut interest rates, at least for now, the ai chip sector doesn't seem to have any major problems. If there are issues, other industries are likely to suffer more. For example, the consumer sector has already collapsed, even P&G is struggling to sustain (see the following stocks, all plummeted to what extent: $Nike (NKE.US)$ , $Lululemon Athletica (LULU.US)$ ,......
Although I was lucky to sell half of my positions before the sharp drop in AMD, it is still my largest holding. And I added some around 150. So I still feel very anxious.
The main focus of the financial report is on the outlook, how much is the growth rate of the ai chip market, and whether amd can quickly grab more market share. As the second in the high-performance computing sector, amd is indeed lagging behind quite a bit this time. Nvidia has a market share of over 90%, while amd is still below 5% (as for Intel, it belongs to 'other' and can be ignored). The market share of the second in the industry should account for at least 10% to be reasonable. So amd still needs to make efforts.
As for $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Now it's starting to make up for the decline. I bought some at 110 before, and now I'm in a bit of a loss, but the position is small, so it doesn't matter. If amd's financial report is not good, Nvidia may really see two-digit prices. That's two words: very tasty. I will definitely buy back some.
There are too many major events this week, but regardless of whether there is an economic slowdown, when the Fed will cut interest rates, at least for now, the ai chip sector doesn't seem to have any major problems. If there are issues, other industries are likely to suffer more. For example, the consumer sector has already collapsed, even P&G is struggling to sustain (see the following stocks, all plummeted to what extent: $Nike (NKE.US)$ , $Lululemon Athletica (LULU.US)$ ,......
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wangcaifan
commented on
$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Next plan to add positions:
tsla: 210
amd: 140
Sector rotation is the perfect opportunity for technology stocks to absorb funds.
In addition to offense, it is also important to focus on defense. Currently, I am still bullish on public utilities. $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ Most of the stocks inside, except for new energy like new energy fund. They have strong certainty, are not affected by economic cycles and bipartisan policies, and rate cuts are bullish.
Even if small cap stocks can make money, I don't plan to participate. I don't have that much energy. Previously, I bought small cap stocks for fun and plan to gradually switch to large technology stocks as the overall technology sector declines.
As for bitcoin, I currently see sideways consolidation, which is a junk time, with no specific trading plan for now.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Next plan to add positions:
tsla: 210
amd: 140
Sector rotation is the perfect opportunity for technology stocks to absorb funds.
In addition to offense, it is also important to focus on defense. Currently, I am still bullish on public utilities. $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ Most of the stocks inside, except for new energy like new energy fund. They have strong certainty, are not affected by economic cycles and bipartisan policies, and rate cuts are bullish.
Even if small cap stocks can make money, I don't plan to participate. I don't have that much energy. Previously, I bought small cap stocks for fun and plan to gradually switch to large technology stocks as the overall technology sector declines.
As for bitcoin, I currently see sideways consolidation, which is a junk time, with no specific trading plan for now.
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wangcaifan
commented on
$CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$
Cybersecurity is a very promising track, but each stock is high risk. I don't understand the technology behind them, can't judge who's good or bad, betting on any of them could lead to pitfalls.
Therefore, I choose not to pick stocks, but to hold industry ETFs. $Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG.US)$ and benefit from the overall dividends of this industry.
crwd's stumble this time, $Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG.US)$ There was no major drop, different companies have their ups and downs, but the overall pie will always grow. Unless technology giants intervene personally to grab the pie from these companies. Therefore, even with industry ETFs, heavy positions should be avoided.
Cybersecurity is a very promising track, but each stock is high risk. I don't understand the technology behind them, can't judge who's good or bad, betting on any of them could lead to pitfalls.
Therefore, I choose not to pick stocks, but to hold industry ETFs. $Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG.US)$ and benefit from the overall dividends of this industry.
crwd's stumble this time, $Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG.US)$ There was no major drop, different companies have their ups and downs, but the overall pie will always grow. Unless technology giants intervene personally to grab the pie from these companies. Therefore, even with industry ETFs, heavy positions should be avoided.
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wangcaifan : Thank you for sharing