Your Average Trader
commented on
So after fed minutes and speeding up of the quantatitve tightening by 2x compared to 2017-2019 period, what are you to expect now?
Did the market really price in that doubling of tightening? I doubt it. We will have to see the next few weeks whether it's really priced in as said by many or they just didn't know what they were talking about. So far it is showing weakness and that based off technicals, the week should end red after the distribution at 15k last week.
How do you know the distribut...
Did the market really price in that doubling of tightening? I doubt it. We will have to see the next few weeks whether it's really priced in as said by many or they just didn't know what they were talking about. So far it is showing weakness and that based off technicals, the week should end red after the distribution at 15k last week.
How do you know the distribut...
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Brainard apparently gave a pretty effective vaccine to the markets considering how markets did not have any big moves upon minutes release.
IMO FED minutes was clearly indicating a very un accomodative and hawkish fed whos primary focus is on inflation. A FED that clearly wanted to warn markets of potential headwinds and the potential hard landing as a result of their actions which they are clearly willing to take despite the risks.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$
IMO FED minutes was clearly indicating a very un accomodative and hawkish fed whos primary focus is on inflation. A FED that clearly wanted to warn markets of potential headwinds and the potential hard landing as a result of their actions which they are clearly willing to take despite the risks.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$
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Your Average Trader
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The week started UP but finished DOWN, so where does the market go from here? $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$
We're standing on a market turning point, short or go long?🤷♂️
The charts show indecisiveness on almost every ticker: Indicies $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ , OIL $Crude Oil Futures(FEB5) (CLmain.US)$ , GOLD $E-micro Gold Futures(FEB5) (MGCmain.US)$ , SILVER $Micro Silver Futures(MAR5) (SILmain.US)$ , VIX ...
We're standing on a market turning point, short or go long?🤷♂️
The charts show indecisiveness on almost every ticker: Indicies $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ , OIL $Crude Oil Futures(FEB5) (CLmain.US)$ , GOLD $E-micro Gold Futures(FEB5) (MGCmain.US)$ , SILVER $Micro Silver Futures(MAR5) (SILmain.US)$ , VIX ...
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Key economic release : Tuesday - ISM non manufacturing PMI (10:00 ET) , Wednesday Crude inventories (10:30 ET) FOMC minutes release and Thursday Jobless Claims (08:30 ET)
Inversion of 2 and 10 year yield is deepening which can further weigh on investors sentiment. But do notice high yield credit spread and the 3month and 10 year spread which tends to tell us the short term outlook of a the bond market indicates a relatively healthy ...
Inversion of 2 and 10 year yield is deepening which can further weigh on investors sentiment. But do notice high yield credit spread and the 3month and 10 year spread which tends to tell us the short term outlook of a the bond market indicates a relatively healthy ...
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Your Average Trader
commented on
$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ what happened in the last 10 minutes?
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Your Average Trader
voted
How much of your money should be in stocks vs. bonds? The right answer depends on many things, including your experience level, age, and the investment philosophy you plan on using.
Because of Its good historical track record of delivering equity-like returns while lessening the risk of serious annual portfolio drawdowns, the classic 60/40 rule has been popular since 1928.
However, since the accelerating inflation and bonds' lower futur...
Because of Its good historical track record of delivering equity-like returns while lessening the risk of serious annual portfolio drawdowns, the classic 60/40 rule has been popular since 1928.
However, since the accelerating inflation and bonds' lower futur...
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Your Average Trader
commented on
Yield curve briefly inverted however many experts do not see recession this time along. Goldman Sachs model predicts a 0 percent probability of recession for this year but a 30%+ chance of one next year. Eurozone recession is very likely though so do expect volatility to remain high throughout the year!
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
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Your Average Trader
liked and commented on
I had a full long update done but I messed up and moo erased it, so here is a quick one (I'm not putting another 2 hours into it sorry) I will just cut to the chase and show charts with some comments...
"Predictions are hard, especially when they're about the future" Yogi Berra
QQQ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$
BEARISH, QQQ is rounding in selloff, not building support. I expect a 200+ selloff tomorrow. $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID.US)$ yield cu...
"Predictions are hard, especially when they're about the future" Yogi Berra
QQQ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$
BEARISH, QQQ is rounding in selloff, not building support. I expect a 200+ selloff tomorrow. $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID.US)$ yield cu...
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Your Average Trader : IMO markets had already started to price in a more hawkish fed. Some evidence is suggested by Fedwatch - after yesterday's minutes release only an increase of 10% chance of 50 basis point hike expectation from the day before. Further evidence can be directly gotten from bond market itself which didnt seem to have as bad a sell off as compared to the initial 7 rate hike plan came out on March 16th. However that being said whether markets keep being ignorant of potential headwinds or do they actully take the hint only time will tell.
Your Average Trader Investing 101 OP : Ah yea nobody really knew what the exact BS reduction amount was going to be but starting with a mix of Tresuries and MBS was expected. Brainard came in the day before warning markets to not be surprised by big BS reduction. So yea that potentially gave the markets a day to absorb the expectation IMO