我们经常在moomoo中看到这样的新闻，“美国国债收益率 $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BD)$ 最近已涨破1.5％，是否会再次引发债券市场的抛售浪潮”，一个新的不明真相牛友一定很惊讶，为什么涨跌会导致抛售？看看富途目前可以在芝加哥商品交易所交易的10年期美国债券期货。有两个品种，即：
让我们来看看 $10年美债主连(2409)(ZNmain.US)$。该交易是美国国债的直接价格。期货合约的乘数为1000。根据130美元的报价，交易期货合约相当于价值13万元人民币的名义国债。每个ZN期货的交易保证金约为2,000美元。如果您做多，从130美元买入132美元将带来2,000美元的利润，相当于利润率的两倍，反之亦然。锌期货的合约月份通常为三月、六月、九月和十二月，目前交易的主要合约是 ZN2112。
看看 $微型10年国债收益率主连(2407)(10Ymain.US)$。该交易是债券收益率的价格，这就是上面新闻所说的。期货合约乘数也为1000。根据1.5的报价，每份期货合约的价值仅为1,500美元，因此保证金低至250美元。如果您做多，从1.5到1.75买入将带来250美元的利润，相当于利润率的两倍，反之亦然。10年期期货的合约月份通常是从当月开始的连续一个月，目前交易的主要合约是 10Y2110。
10年期美国国债期货（代码ZN）和微型10年期美国国债收益率期货（代码10Y）的价格走势完全相反！如果上述消息表明美国国债收益率最近已升至1.5％以上，则相应的 “10年” 价格上涨，而 “ZN” 价格下跌。不要犯任何错误！

$阿里巴巴(BABA.US)$
第一个想法：短
目标：132 美元
第二个想法：以 132 美元的价格购买
目标：150 美元、180 美元
中国股市仍未显示出任何即将复苏的迹象。尽管如此，我们确实认为修正可能很快就会结束。
至于阿里巴巴股票，它跌出了通常进入的全球上涨通道，甚至突破了第二通道的中线，这是对主要通道的预测。我们预计价格将达到130美元，因为它是全球支撑位和第二通道的底线。
不幸的是，如果突破130美元，阿里巴巴将走向下一个支撑位，仅为86美元。但是我们不相信这种情况。

$Facebook(FB.US)$ 如果股价要继续回升，近期的342反弹将测试在355左右。根据图表上显示的先前价格走势，我们还在364附近还有另一个关键阻力位。如果股价未能保持在355上方，则可能会回落至之前的支撑位346.75和338

$标普零售指数ETF-SPDR(XRT.US)$ Market is returning to a Bullish / Ranging state
With the Evergrande dip it seems we now have room for another bullish retracement
XRT had no major reaction to Evergrade dip and is rising with the market and is now about Evergrande
Pricing at 0.50 seems decent (11% from strike) -80, 60, strike 85
XRT has the best contract price of all that I am keen on

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988.HK)$ 150 将成为历史新高。现在每一分钟都是最好的卖点

$恒生指数(800000.HK)$ 今天恒生指数的走势仍然是昨日的稳定趋势，因此市场前景很可能是盘整市场

The following data is as of 12:00 on September 24
PIMI revised yesterday: 1.97, rising inflection point
PIMI today’s estimate: 3.60, rising period
PIMI-C3 was revised yesterday: 4.19, [optimistic] rising period
PIMI-C3 today’s estimate: 6.68, [excited] rising period
Conclusion: 50% to 70% position (conservative strategy)
$腾讯控股(00700.HK)$ $恒生指数(800000.HK)$ $恒生科技指数(800700.HK)$

$罗素2000指数主连(2409)(RTYmain.US)$ $iShares罗素2000指数ETF(IWM.US)$ RTY just completed 3 measured moves up, bringing price over first important resistance, but will it hols? This is all happening AH and PM, so I would not rule out just another bull trap.
Looking at a longer term chart almost all previous correction consisted of 3 waves down. This one we are experiencing just now had only 2 legs, so I'm still looking for a 3rd one below recent lows.
In case of a dip, I would be looking for support around 2126.

$Energy Transfer(ET.US)$ I am quiet Neutral on ET at the moment. It showed some signs of a bounce on the 200 SMA but unless it can reclaim that 50 sma I am not bullish . strong area of resistance in coming which could create the first wave A. wave B could be a retest of the 200 SMA and wave C could be a break through of the 50 sma which will create the beginning of a new bullish trend for ET. All in affect probably mid Oct. with how this market has been all this can be invalid on any news coming from the FED or any update revolving around COVID. Good Luck everyone.

$Match group(MTCH.US)$ September FOMC did not surpirse us. Even if the Fed showed a hawkish attitude rarely seen since the outbreak, it failed to intimidate the stock marketplace.
Although the details and speed of each narrative development are different, the cycle is never absent. It is known that taper will happen in the future, followed by increasing interest rates; the stock market can not avoid a correction. Historical experience shows that in the next stage, the index will fluctuate or fall by 15 to 20 percentage points. High-cap, high-quality stocks significantly outperformed small-cap stocks in the last several months as a support for the broader market, which enhances our view that there won't be overall opportunities in the stock market. Still, structural chances are in the coming stage. Therefore, investment tends to become more complicated and more dependent on the screening of individual stocks.
Of course, the above situation may not happen. What if massive economies like the United States and China start substantial fiscal stimulus again to maintain various economic indicators?
In addition to the stocks recommended in the "October Bullish Stocks", such as $UBER and $FCEL, which have risen more than 10%, we also recommend $CCL and $V.