[ What's new ] · U.S. 5-year and 30-year Treasury yields on March 28 inverted for the first time since 2006. · The U.S. 2-10-year yield curve briefly inverted for the first time since August 2019 on March 29, raising fears of a possible recession. [ Why does it matter? ] Historically, the two- and 10-year Treasury yield curves inverted before each recession since 1970, with a recession following after 17 months. It's a sign that...
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· U.S. 5-year and 30-year Treasury yields on March 28 inverted for the first time since 2006.
· The U.S. 2-10-year yield curve briefly inverted for the first time since August 2019 on March 29, raising fears of a possible recession.
[ Why does it matter? ]
Historically, the two- and 10-year Treasury yield curves inverted before each recession since 1970, with a recession following after 17 months.
It's a sign that...
· 美国5年期和30年期国债收益率于3月28日首次出现倒挂，自2006年以来首次。
· 美国2-10年期收益率曲线于3月29日短暂倒挂，自2019年8月以来首次出现，引发对可能出现衰退的担忧。
[ 为什么这很重要？ ]
历史上，自1970年以来，2年期和10年期国债收益率曲线在每次经济衰退之前出现倒挂，随后经济衰退在17个月后出现。
这是一个迹象…
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