We often see news like this in moomoo, "The U.S. Treasury Yield $美國10年期國債收益率 (US10Y.BD)$ has recently risen above 1.5%, will it again arouse a wave of selling in the bond market", a new unclear truth Niu friends must be surprised, why would a rise and fall cause a sell-off? Take a look at the current 10-year U.S. bond futures on the CME Exchange that Futu can trade. There are two varieties, namely:
Let’s look at the $10年美債主連(2412) (ZNmain.US)$. The transaction is the direct price of Treasury bonds. The multiplier of a futures contract is 1000. Based on the quoted price of 130 US dollars, trading a futures contract is equivalent to nominal Treasury bonds worth 130,000 yuan. The trading margin for each ZN futures is about US$2,000. If you go long, buying from 130 to 132 will result in a profit of US$2,000, which is equivalent to doubling the margin, and vice versa. The contract months of ZN futures are usually March, June, September, and December, and the main contract currently traded is ZN2112.
Look at the $10年國債收益率主連(2411) (10Ymain.US)$. The transaction is the price of the bond yield, which is what the news above said. A futures contract multiplier is also 1000. According to the quotation of 1.5, the value of each futures contract is only 1,500 US dollars, so the margin is as low as 250 US dollars. If you go long, buying from 1.5 to 1.75 will result in a profit of $250, which is equivalent to doubling the margin, and vice versa. The contract month of 10Y futures is usually a consecutive month starting from the current month, and the main contract currently traded is 10Y2110.
The price movements of 10-year U.S. Treasury futures (code ZN) and micro 10-year Treasury yield futures (code 10Y) are completely opposite! If the above news says that U.S. Treasury yields have risen above 1.5% recently, then the corresponding "10Y" price has risen, while the "ZN" price has fallen. Don't make any mistakes!

$阿里巴巴 (BABA.US)$
1st idea: Short
Target: $132
2nd idea: Buy at $132
Target: $150, $180
The Chinese stock market still does not show any signs of an upcoming recovery. Nevertheless, we do believe that the correction might be over pretty soon.
As for Alibaba stock, it dropped out of the global rising channel it usually moves into and even broke through the median line of the 2nd channel, which is a projection of the main one. We expect the price to come to $130 since it is a global support level and the bottom line of the 2nd channel.
Unfortunately, if a $130 breakout happens, Alibaba will head towards the next support which is only at $86. But we do not believe in this scenario.

$Meta Platforms (FB.US)$ 如果股票繼續回升，最近在342處反彈的情況將在355附近受到考驗。根據圖表上顯示的前期價格行動，我們還有另一個關鍵阻力位在364附近。如果無法在355以上持有，股價可能會回落至之前的支撐位346.75和338。

$標普零售指數ETF-SPDR (XRT.US)$ Market is returning to a Bullish / Ranging state
With the Evergrande dip it seems we now have room for another bullish retracement
XRT had no major reaction to Evergrade dip and is rising with the market and is now about Evergrande
Pricing at 0.50 seems decent (11% from strike) -80, 60, strike 85
XRT has the best contract price of all that I am keen on

$阿里巴巴-W (09988.HK)$ 150將成為歷史新高。現在每一分鐘都是最佳的銷售點

$恒生指數 (800000.HK)$ The trend of the Hang Seng Index today is still the steady trend of yesterday, so the market outlook is likely to be a consolidation market

以下資料截至9月24日12:00
PIMI昨天修正為1.97，上升拐點
PIMI今天的估計值為3.60，上升期間
PIMI-C3昨天修正為4.19，[樂觀]上升期間
PIMI-C3 今天的估計：6.68，【興奮】上升期
結論：50% 到 70% 的持倉（保守策略）
$騰訊控股 (00700.HK)$ $恒生指數 (800000.HK)$ $恒生科技指數 (800700.HK)$

$羅素2000指數主連(2412) (RTYmain.US)$ $iShares羅素2000指數ETF (IWM.US)$ RTY剛剛完成了3個上升的測量波段，將價格超過了首個重要的支撐位，但是否能保持呢？這一切都在盤後和盘前发生，所以我不排除只是另一個牛市陷阱。
從一個較長期的圖表來看，幾乎所有過去的修正都由3個下行波段組成。我們現在正在經歷的這一個只有2個波段，所以我還在尋找第3個低點。
如果出現回檔，我會尋找大約在2126附近的支撐位。

$Energy Transfer (ET.US)$ 我目前對Et持中立態度。顯示了在200日均線上反彈的跡象，但除非能重新拿回50日均線，我不看好。即將面臨強勁的支撐位，可能會創造第一波A浪。B浪可能是對200日均線的重新測試，而C浪可能是突破50日均線，這將開創Et一個新的看好趨勢的開始。所有板塊中可能在十月中旬生效。考慮到市場近況，所有這一切都可能因聯邦儲備系統（FED）的消息或圍繞COVID的任何更新而失效。祝大家好運。

$Match group (MTCH.US)$ 9 月聯邦公開市場委員會並沒有讓我們感到驚訝。即使美聯儲表現出了自疫情爆發以來很少見的鷹態度，但它也未能威脅股市。
雖然每個敘事發展的細節和速度都不同，但循環永遠不缺。眾所周知，將來會發生縮減，隨後利率上升；股市無法避免調整。歷史經驗顯示，在下一階段，指數將波動或下跌 15 至 20 個百分點。在過去幾個月中，高股、高品質股票表現顯著優於小型股票，作為支持更廣泛的市場，這增強了我們認為股市將不會有整體機會的觀點。儘管如此，結構性的機會仍在未來的階段。因此，投資往往變得更加複雜，更依賴於個別股票的篩選。
當然，上述情況可能不會發生。如果美國和中國等大型經濟體再次開始重大的財政刺激措施，以維持各種經濟指標，該怎麼辦？
除了「十月看漲股」中推薦的股票，例如 $UBER 和 $FCEL 上漲了 10％ 以上的股票，我們還推薦 $CCL 和 $V。