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Pickling and curing have failed to reverse the decline: pig prices are not strong during the peak season. Will listed pig companies face a "test"?
Under the background of ample supply, the impact of processed meat on boosting pork prices is limited, as the average profit per pig in December has already shrunk by over a hundred yuan; industry insiders expect that next year's pork prices may be weaker than this year's, and related listed pig companies with lower costs are still guaranteed to make a profit, but companies with high costs may face certain risks of loss.
Pork company sales "sprint": More than 70% of the sales target completion rate exceeds 90%. December may continue to increase volume | Industry news.
① As of the end of November, over 70% of listed pork enterprises have exceeded 90% of their target for livestock output; ② Currently, smallholders and group pig farms are accelerating their output, leading to increased market supply of Pork, with limited strength in Animal Slaughter consumption, resulting in pork prices falling below 8 yuan; ③ The output of live pigs is expected to continue increasing in December.
Costs for 90% of pig enterprises have dropped to the range of 14 yuan: many companies say there is still room for cost reduction. Will profits stabilize next year? | Industry Observation
① 90% of the listed pork enterprises have reduced their costs to the range of 14 yuan per kilogram, including 5 enterprises such as Sunlon, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff Group have reduced to the range of 13 yuan per kilogram; ② Many listed pork enterprises have indicated that there is still some room for cost reduction in the fourth quarter and next year; ③ Industry insiders believe that the cost reduction achievements have become the moat for the long-term development of pig enterprises. While helping companies expand profit margins, it also enhances the resilience of the companies against risks.
Central China Securities: Focus on the improvement of the fundamentals of meat products brought about by the rebound in pork prices.
Central China Securities released research reports stating that in 2024, based on the market innovation vitality of emerging categories, Central China Securities recommends focusing on sectors: health products, soft drinks, baking, snacks, and other alcoholic beverages.
Donghai Securities: It is expected that hog prices will remain prosperous in the fourth quarter, and the performance of hog enterprises will improve quarter by quarter. The industry is entering a phase of profit realization.
Sow inventory began to decline from January 2023, leading to a gradual reduction in current supply pressure. With limited short-term supply increase and seasonal improvement in consumer demand, it is expected that pork prices will remain prosperous in the fourth quarter, with pig performance improving seasonally, and the industry entering a phase of profit realization.
In the fourth quarter, the pig prices staged a "ultimate showdown" between bulls and bears, determining whether the pork industry will be "fat or lean" next year. | Industry Observations
1. The price of pork has been continuously falling for two months during the traditional strong period, with a decline of more than 20%; 2. Behind the decline is the increase in slaughter caused by the expansion of piglets and the concentrated slaughter in the second fattening, forming a downward momentum together; 3. If the pork price in the fourth quarter is not good during the peak season, the pig cycle may either rise directly or come to an end. If the pork price realizes an upward pig cycle, pig enterprises and the breeding industry are still expected to have a prosperous year in 2025.
Huisheng International Holdings Limited's (HKG:1340) Shares Leap 113% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
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