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Home Prices in Major Chinese Cities Show Slight Improvement
China Academy of Urban Planning and Design: Expectations for the real estate market and buyers' confidence have somewhat recovered, with a significant increase in the activity of the real estate market in October.
Currently, the volume and price of the core urban market have shown preliminary signs of stabilizing after a decline. If further supportive policies can be introduced in the future to consolidate the effects of previous policies, core cities may have the potential to achieve stabilization after a decline.
Hong Kong stocks fluctuated | Mainland real estate stocks fell further in the afternoon as the real estate increment policy still has room, with new housing supply falling back in November.
Mainland real estate stocks widened their afternoon decline. As of press time, RonshineChina (03301) fell by 7.94% to HKD 0.58; Sino-Ocean Group (03377) fell by 7.89% to HKD 0.35; Zhongliang Hldg (02772) fell by 6.62% to HKD 0.141.
This year, the cumulative issuance of real estate bonds decreased by 20% year-on-year, indicating a possible policy turning point.
Tail risk mitigation, configuration plate can seize the secondary securities selection opportunity.
Hong Kong stocks fluctuate | Mainland real estate stocks lead the decline in the morning, supporting the upcoming introduction of tax policies related to real estate, real estate is expected to stabilize and bottom out.
Mainland real estate stocks led the decline in the morning session. As of the time of publication, R&F Properties (02777) fell by 8.33% to HK$1.98; Sunac (01918) fell by 7.34% to HK$3.03; RonshineChina (03301) fell by 6.06% to HK$0.62; Seazen (01030) fell by 4.94% to HK$2.31.
First-time home loan interest rates in cities such as Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Suzhou have returned to the "3" level. The interest rate for provident fund loans may be even further reduced due to inversion.
Hangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and other places have successively adjusted mortgage interest rates. Industry insiders believe that in the current stabilization trend of the real estate market, cities raising the lower limit of mortgage interest rates have a certain significance as an indicator.
Ke Rui: In October, the performance of the top 100 real estate companies increased year-on-year for the first time this year, while investment remains cautious.
In October, corporate investment still remains cautious, with less than 20% of the top 100 companies in terms of land acquisition recording new land reserves in a single month. Key monitoring companies' investment expansion failed to continue the trend of stabilizing after the decline in September.
China Real Estate Research Institute: The total amount of bonds financing for national real estate companies in October was 28.97 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase for two consecutive months.
In October 2024, the total amount of real estate corporate bonds financing was 28.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 3.2%, with two consecutive months of positive growth due to the low base effect of the previous year, decreasing by 32.4% month-on-month.
China's Property Market Likely to Continue Near-Term Recovery -- Market Talk
Market Chatter: China Sees Slightly Faster Home Price Growth in October
The sales of the top 100 real estate companies in Silver October have turned the corner, with over 80% performance growth compared to the previous month.
①Affected by favorable policies and real estate developers' promotions, the sales of the top 100 real estate companies in October achieved a year-over-year positive growth for the first time this year. ②Among them, 83 real estate companies saw a month-on-month sales increase, with 33 more compared to September; 38 real estate companies experienced a year-on-year sales growth, with 22 more than in September.
Hong Kong stocks are on the move | Mainland real estate stocks collectively opened high, with sales of the top 100 real estate companies in October increasing by over 70% month-on-month. The policy combination continues to exert force.
Mainland real estate stocks opened high collectively. As of the time of publication, China Jinmao (00817) rose by 2.48% to HKD 1.24; Longfor Group (00960) rose by 2.06% to HKD 12.88; China res land (01109) rose by 1.93% to HKD 26.35; Midea real est (03990) rose by 3.61% to HKD 3.44.
Zhongzhi Research Institute: The year-on-year decline in the total amount of land acquisition by the TOP100 real estate companies has slightly widened. State-owned enterprises and local state-owned assets remain the block orders.
Overall, in 2024, the national land market still shows a trend of shrinking volume, with real estate companies remaining cautious in land acquisition. Top companies have a low land acquisition to sales ratio, with the average land acquisition to sales ratio of the top 20 companies being less than 20%.
Rules for the normalization of existing house loan interest rates have arrived! Understand it in one article.
①Preliminary statistics show that as of October 28, 21 nationwide banks have completed batch adjustments, totaling 53.667 million transactions, reducing the outstanding housing loan interest rates by 25.2 trillion yuan. ②After this round of batch adjustments, the interest rates for existing housing loans have been reduced to 3.3%. If the gap between existing and new housing loan rates is greater than 30 basis points, it will drive a new round of reductions in existing housing loan rates.
Citic sec: The peak of land supply in the fourth quarter has arrived, marking the beginning of asset differentiation in the second quarter.
The bank expects that starting from the fourth quarter of 2024, the magnitude by which the market share of large companies acquiring land may surpass the sales market share could widen again.
First-tier cities' real estate market heats up in October: Guangzhou and Shenzhen lead the way, followed closely by Beijing and Shanghai.
1. It has been a month since the "stabilizing the decline" proposed at the end of the September Politburo meeting, with the first-tier city housing market heating up and the stabilizing trend becoming apparent; 2. Looking at the transaction data for October in first-tier cities, the market heat in Guangzhou and Shenzhen is significantly better than in Beijing and Shanghai.
Overseas debt restructuring breakthrough, sino-ocean gp (03377) 'survival' enters a crucial juncture.
sino-ocean gp (03377), which has long been in the center of the storm, finally sees the dawn before the dawn.
shanghai real estate market new policy has been in effect for a month: market activity has significantly increased, both new and second-hand housing sales volumes have risen.
①From what we have observed, the willingness of home buyers to enter the market has significantly increased before the introduction of the new policy, and their market entry enthusiasm has greatly improved, with the home buyer decision-making cycle also shortened. ②Not only Shanghai, but also the four first-tier cities and hot cities have shown signs of market recovery across the country after the introduction of a package of real estate market optimization measures at the end of September.
Shenzhen's real estate market is completely ignited.
A new development in a location with less popularity than Shajing seems to be selling well.
The implementation of the 4 trillion 'white list' crediting is in progress. Real estate companies: Ensuring delivery is maintaining confidence.
① "Stable market confidence has multiple aspects and levels, with on-time delivery being one of the important aspects." ② "If pre-sale of existing houses is the higher goal, then the whitelist mechanism, considered by the industry as a bottom-line important measure, is to ensure that projects can be delivered, allowing home buyers to purchase with more peace of mind, which will play a quite solid role in strengthening market confidence."
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