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Breaking the "involutionary" competition! The two major photovoltaic leaders announce "production reduction and control of output."
Tongwei Co.,Ltd's subsidiary Yongxiang Co. and Daqo Energy have a total production capacity of over 1.2 million tons. Analysts expect that this production cut will reach at least 0.8 million tons, leading to a significant decline in silicon material output from December to January. Despite the production cut being initiated, the current Industry still faces considerable inventory pressure.
The photovoltaic Industry is currently undergoing a "de-involution"! Tongwei Co.,Ltd and Daqo Energy have both announced production cuts and maintenance.
① Both Tongwei Co.,Ltd and Daqo Energy are signatories of the photovoltaic industry self-discipline agreement. According to the self-discipline agreement, photovoltaic companies will begin to manage production capacity starting next month (January 2025). ② Analysts believe that adjusting the overall industry capacity utilization rate to the Range of 50%-60% can basically match the demand for polysilicon in 2025, preliminarily achieving a supply-demand balance.
Direct hit on the 2024 annual conference of the photovoltaic industry: focusing on the Middle East and Africa markets. There are both opportunities and challenges for Chinese enterprises to "go global".
① Chinese new energy companies have four advantages in their process of entering the Middle East: the first is technological innovation and production capacity; the second is global layout and market expansion; the third is policy support and market demand; the fourth is cost and economic benefits. ② The African countries most suitable for Chinese photovoltaic investment include South Africa, Egypt, Rwanda, Zimbabwe, and Zambia.
Both supply and demand are expected to decrease. The industry predicts that the price of photovoltaic glass will mainly stabilize in the short term. | Industry Observation
①The photovoltaic glass continues the previous downturn trend, with major manufacturers taking price increase actions, but the upward support is insufficient, and short-term price stability is expected to be the main focus; ②Leading companies indicate that the top two leading positions are still stable, including looking into the future, the change in market structure will not be significant.
INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
The fluctuation of the photovoltaic cycle far exceeds the past. Representatives of leading companies suggest considering transformation earlier if things are not going well.
① In the case of a divergence between prices and costs, the photovoltaic industry has fallen into a crisis not seen in recent years, with prices at various stages declining by 60%-80% compared to the peak in 2023; ② Long-term losses are unacceptable in any industry, and with market growth slowing, it has become very difficult to resolve the current capacity issues. This cycle may last longer.