In order to respond to the "intense battle" next year? At the end of the year, many Banks are making intensive adjustments to their Business structure, and the special mechanism for the "five major articles" is gradually being established.
① First, merging the functions of the head office departments clearly indicates a reduction in costs and an increase in efficiency; second, a special department dedicated to the five major articles is being established. ② Retailing Crediting may become one of the focal points for Banks next year. ③ It is expected that the special institutions for the five major articles will be established gradually, as each one matures.
The LPR Quote for December has been released! The 1-year and 5-year rates remain unchanged.
More news, continuously updating.
The central bank's discussions with some "aggressive trading" Institutions have shaken the market; who are the Block Orders in this round of bond bull market? State-owned large banks have received the most "attention".
① The central bank's morning consultations mainly involved Institutions based in Beijing, with very few Institutions from other cities attending the meeting, including cities like Shanghai where asset management Institutions are concentrated. ② In the past two weeks, the Block Buy Institutions for 10-year government bonds have shifted from Fund to Banks. ③ As incremental policies come into effect, the likelihood of economic stabilization increases, necessitating a reduction in expectations for the bond market in 2025.
Interest rates can reach 3%! Small and medium-sized Banks have densely launched high-interest products such as large-denomination certificates of deposit and special deposits. How will the pressure for short-term deposit strategies be relieved in the futu
① Some small and medium-sized Banks have engaged in such behavior, which somewhat contradicts the current downward trend of deposit interest rates, possibly being a short-term strategy taken to meet the funding Indicators in the short term. ② The overall trend of deposit interest rates may continue to decline in the future, and the recent rapid decline in bond market interest rates may also face some adjustments.
Encouraging to "seize the opportunities of moderately loose MMF policy," many local officials are intensively researching local Banks at the end of the year, is a good start for next year to be expected.
① In discussions with local officials, frequently mentioned keywords include comprehensive, accelerated, risk, and servicing the local economy. ② For Financial Institutions, "the moderately loose monetary policy from the central government brings opportunities while also posing challenges." ③ If some mechanisms for due diligence exemption can be provided, it is expected to ease the lending pressure on Banks.
Statistics on Capital Trend of Hong Kong Stock Connect (T+2) | December 17
Capital Trend of Hong Kong Stock Connect | December 17
China Mainland Banking stocks collectively rose, with the Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China (01398) up 2.3%. Institutions indicated that in the coming year, the credit risk expectations for the banking industry are expected to further ease.
Jingu Financial News | China Mainland Banking stocks rose collectively, with Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China (01398) increasing by 2.3%, ZYBANK (01216) by 1.67%, Agricultural Bank Of China (01288) by 1%, China Construction Bank Corporation (00939) by 0.8%, and Bank Of China (03988) by 0.79%. A report from Galaxy Securities pointed out that current macro policies are becoming more proactive, focusing on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing market expectations. The fiscal policy is particularly active, creating favorable conditions for the banks' loan Business. Meanwhile, the monetary policy has also shifted towards a more accommodative direction, timely adjusting deposit reserves.
The Agricultural Bank Of China (01288.HK) has had its shareholding reduced by Blackrock by 5.527 million shares.
On December 16, according to the latest equity disclosure from the Stock Exchange, on December 10, 2024, Agricultural Bank Of China (01288.HK) saw BlackRock, Inc. reduce its holdings by 5.527 million shares in the market at an average price of HK$4.1347 per share, involving approximately HK$22.8525 million. After the reduction, BlackRock, Inc.'s latest number of shares held is 1,844,040,310, with the shareholding ratio decreasing from 6.02% to 5.99%.
The interest rates of the same industry certificates of deposit are rapidly declining, and under "moderately loose" conditions, there is hope to drop to 1.30%.
1. After the improvement in MMF transmission efficiency, the CD interest rate and the 7-day OMO rate will integrate within the next year. 2. Due to the faster decline of long-term bonds, the spread between the 10Y government bond and the 1Y CD has been compressing, and is currently at 13BP.
Agricultural Bank Of China is following up on the exchange rate for personal foreign currency cash remittances, and recently several large state-owned banks have optimized and upgraded related services.
① On December 13, Agricultural Bank Of China announced on its official website that starting from December 13, 2024, it will optimize and upgrade personal foreign currency cash remittance services. ② In addition to Agricultural Bank Of China, several other banks have recently released similar announcements stating they will upgrade foreign currency cash services for personal Forex Accounts. ③ Although the cash remittance parity may somewhat affect the income of banks, it can significantly reduce the cost for individuals to conduct Forex Business.
Major bank rating丨Bank of China International: The Silver fundamentals will remain stable next year, with Agricultural Bank being the top choice.
Bank of China International published a report stating that as of December 10, the CSI China Mainland Banks Index has risen by 32.7% this year, outperforming the Hang Seng Index's growth of 19.1%. Looking ahead to next year, considering that the decision-making body may continue to introduce more MMF and fiscal policies, the fundamentals of the banking Industry will remain robust, and it is believed that the Listed in Hong Kong Bank Index may continue to achieve positive returns. The bank noted that as risk-free interest rates decline and geopolitical risks intensify, investors will pay more attention to undervalued high-dividend Listed in Hong Kong bank stocks. Additionally, the Ministry of Finance stated that it would issue special government bonds to supplement the capital of large commercial banks. The bank maintains a "Buy" rating on the banking Industry.
The interest rates for consumer loans at some "2"-tier banks will decrease by 10 basis points again in December, while the lowest interest rate at major banks has already dropped by 50 basis points this year.
① The consumer loan products promoted by banks with extremely low interest rates are mostly aimed at high-quality customers, so it is important for customers to pay attention to the actual interest rate level when applying, and then decide whether to borrow. ② The reduction in personal consumer loan interest rates helps to lower the costs for holders of consumer crediting, promoting demand for consumer crediting, and thus driving consumption.
As the year-end approaches, many banks are warning about the "standard usage of credit cards" and will periodically take control measures against abnormal customers.
Since late November, more than ten banks have intensively issued reminders about the "standard use of credit cards," including several national commercial banks and many local small and medium-sized banks; on December 6, Qilu Bank issued a reminder that consumers must not rent or lend their credit cards, and it is prohibited for others to make repayments on their behalf, "irregular control will be implemented on abnormal customers."
Hong Kong stocks movement | china life insurance (02628) rose over 3% after signing a comprehensive cooperation agreement with agricultural bank of china, approved to issue capital supplementary bonds not exceeding 35 billion.
china life insurance (02628) rose more than 3%, as of press time, up 3.47% to HKD 15.5, with a turnover of 0.555 billion Hong Kong dollars.
AGRICULTURAL BK CH To Go Ex-Dividend On January 3rd, 2025 With 0.40012 USD Dividend Per Share
There are still "2" denominations! Many local banks are intensively issuing large-denomination certificates of deposit at the end of the year, and state-owned big banks and listed banks are also "mixed in".
① Especially since late November, about 20 local banks across the country have intensively announced the launch of large-denomination certificates of deposit. Furthermore, some annualized interest rates are still above 2%. ② Recently, some state-owned major banks have also been "quietly" promoting their own large-denomination certificate of deposit products, and listed banks are also introducing related products.
China's Systemically Important Banks Poised to Meet Capital Requirements, Fitch Says
In many areas of fujian, mortgage rates have been adjusted to 3.1%. Experts say that ultra-low rates are unsustainable and banks are correcting their "involution-style" competition.
①In multiple cities in Fujian Province including Xiamen, Fuzhou, Putian, etc., the housing loan interest rate has been uniformly raised from 3.05% to 3.1%. ②The unclear lower limit of interest rates has caused internal price competition among banks, this adjustment is a correction to excessively low interest rates and does not mean policy tightening.
Investing in Agricultural Bank of China (HKG:1288) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 89% Gain
Zhongtai: The senior law significantly saves bank capital, and under the improved market preference, attention is paid to the performance of quality banks.
Zhongtai stated that the regulatory authorities have relaxed the acceptance of advanced capital method applications. Based on the case of China Merchants Bank, the advanced method significantly saves capital, with a core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio about 2 percentage points higher than the weighted method. If the top tier listed banks subsequently implement the advanced method, it is expected to increase the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio of the top tier listed banks by more than 1 percentage point.
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