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Rupee volatility has surged, putting India's Forex strategy in the spotlight.
A key Indicator for measuring the volatility of the Indian rupee has risen to over a year high, leading the market to speculate that the Reserve Bank of India may relax its strict control over the rupee amid the strengthening dollar. On Monday, the implied volatility for the rupee against the dollar for a one-month period peaked at 4.09%, the highest level since August 2023. This marks a change from the recent stability of the rupee, which saw its volatility Indicator hit a historic low in August of this year. Traders said that this surge indicates a possible shift in the Reserve Bank of India's strategy. "We believe that given the various risks brought about by low volatility, such as complacency in domestic hedging activities, the Reserve Bank of India..."
Overnight news: US stocks closed lower, Chinese concept stocks broadly declined, large Technology stocks faced sell-offs, Google reported unstable morale, the South Korean won fell for five consecutive weeks, and the USA is closely monitoring the politica
To view more global financial News, please visit the 24/7 real-time financial news. Market Close: U.S. stocks closed lower on Friday, with major Technology stocks falling broadly. All three major indices recorded gains this week. On December 27, the top 20 U.S. stock transaction volumes showed that several domestic automotive companies launched price reduction promotion strategies, with Tesla dropping nearly 5%. On Friday, popular China Concept Stocks fell broadly, with NIO and Xpeng down over 4%, JD.com down over 3%, and Kingsoft Cloud rising over 23%. Crude Oil Product: Oil prices are rising towards the end of the year, and the market is focusing on risks in 2025. Gold futures in New York fell nearly 0.7% on Friday, reporting at $2635.70 per ounce. Major European stock indices collectively rose, with the German DAX30 Index up 0.6.
Barclays has fired 15 bankers and traders based in New York.
According to informed sources, out of the 50 employees laid off by Barclays last month, 15 were based in New York. The insiders indicated that none of those laid off received bonuses. A spokesperson for Barclays stated, "We regularly assess our talent pool to ensure we invest in talent, serve our clients, and prepare for long-term success while executing our Global Strategy."
The USD is heading towards its best annual performance in nine years, supported by the USA economy and the threat of tariffs from Donald Trump.
The dollar is heading towards its best annual performance in nearly a decade, as the strengthening USA economy has dampened expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, and the threat of strict tariffs from President-elect Donald Trump has supported bullish bets on the dollar. The Bloomberg USD Index has risen more than 7% year-to-date, marking its best performance since 2015. As other central banks have to step in to support their own economies, all developed country currencies have weakened against the dollar. "This year, the dollar's main pillar is a strong economy," said Barclays Forex strategist Skylar Montgomery Koning, "This strength means the Federal Reserve is entering a range.
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Wall Street follows the guidance of the Federal Reserve, and major institutions predict a decline in US Treasury yields next year.
Wall Street is responding to messages from the Federal Reserve, predicting that even if Trump's trade and tax policies pose risks to the bond market, the short-term US Treasury yields will still decline by 2025. Strategists' forecasts are largely in agreement, believing that the 2-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, will decrease. They also expect that the yield will drop by at least 0.5 percentage points from its current level in 12 months. David Kelly and others from the Morgan Asset Management team stated, "Although investors might be myopically focused on the speed and extent of interest rate cuts next year, they should take a step back and consider the Federal Reserve in 2025."
Hedge funds are increasingly turning bullish, betting that the dollar will rise to 165 yen.
Leverage Funds have started to be Bullish on the US dollar against the Japanese yen, as they are building positions, betting that the currency pair will rise by 5% in the coming months. After last week's hawkish decision from the Federal Reserve and the dovish rate decision from the Bank of Japan, hedge funds have rushed into Call options trading for the US dollar against the Japanese yen. These sentiments have also negatively impacted the market's outlook on the yen, leading to a decrease in optimism regarding the yen's prospects. On December 19, following the central bank's decision, trading volume for USD/JPY on DTCC surged to over 23 billion USD, surpassing this month's previous high of approximately 15 billion USD. As of 14:19 Tokyo time on Monday, the exchange rate of USD/JPY is
Benefiting from fiscal spending and technological innovation, UBS Group has released a list of high-quality CNI Xiangmi Lake Fintech Index stocks!
UBS Group Analysts have selected the top individual stocks from four technology Sectors, with several high-quality Stocks in the CNI Xiangmi Lake Fintech Index likely to present investment opportunities in the short to medium term.
The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar is reported at 7.1901, up 10 basis points.
On December 20, the central parity rate of the renminbi against the US dollar was reported at 7.1901, up by 10 basis points. Barclays: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice in 2025, each by 25 basis points. Barclays expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in 2025, in March and June, each by 25 basis points. It is anticipated that in the second half of 2025, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation level will rise again, so Barclays believes that around mid-2026 the Federal Reserve will continue to lower interest rates, expecting two cuts in that year, each by 25 basis points, adjusting the target interest Rate Range to a moderately tight 3.25% to 3.50%.
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