Brokerage Morning Meeting Highlights: The historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
At today's brokerage morning meeting, China Securities Co.,Ltd. proposed supply-side optimization, suggesting to focus on industries such as steel, photovoltaic, cement, coal, and rare earths; htsc stated that domestic sales of household appliances are improving with stable exports, focusing on two major themes for the year 2025; China International Capital Corporation believes that the historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
Changsha's housing provident fund introduces new policies: the minimum down payment ratio for the first and second set of housing is 20%, and the maximum loan amount can be increased to four times.
①Employees' families purchasing their first or second improved self-occupied housing applying for housing provident fund loans, the minimum down payment ratio is uniformly adjusted to 20%; ②The maximum loan amount for high-level talents in categories A, B, C, and D purchasing their first self-occupied housing can be increased to four times the maximum loan amount in Changsha.
Among first-tier cities, shanghai was the first to cancel the standard for regular and non-regular residential properties, and it has comprehensively reduced the cost of housing trade taxes and fees.
① Shanghai is the first of the four first-tier cities to abolish the standards for ordinary and non-ordinary residential properties, and it is expected that the other three first-tier cities will also quickly eliminate the relevant standards. ② The latest policies in Shanghai will reduce personal income tax and housing transaction tax, making transaction costs more reasonable, while better meeting residents' replacement needs; these measures will enhance the confidence of market participants and are beneficial for further stabilizing market expectations.
From accounts payable to cash compensation, yuexiu property has consolidated funds totaling 13.5 billion yuan through three rounds of storage.
① Cash compensation exceeds 1.5 billion yuan, yuexiu property's land parcel is once again acquired. ② Yuexiu has had 3 land parcels acquired, with a total of 13.53 billion yuan in funds retrieved, and the compensation method changed from accounts payable to cash compensation.
This year, the cumulative issuance of real estate bonds decreased by 20% year-on-year, indicating a possible policy turning point.
Tail risk mitigation, configuration plate can seize the secondary securities selection opportunity.
First-time home loan interest rates in cities such as Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Suzhou have returned to the "3" level. The interest rate for provident fund loans may be even further reduced due to inversion.
Hangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and other places have successively adjusted mortgage interest rates. Industry insiders believe that in the current stabilization trend of the real estate market, cities raising the lower limit of mortgage interest rates have a certain significance as an indicator.
72423057 : I want to ask those studying stock price charts, whether it is the stock price that determines the chart, or the chart that predicts the future trend of the stock price?
Moon fairy 大炮仙 ❤ 72423057 : Chart is just a references, history or an information for you to guess what the price or trend going to form in the future. And is no guarentee that even you study the chart you will know the future. And if eg 1000 people see the same chart and almost 90% guess the same things maybe it will be chart leading us to play in the same way to had that same outcome.
Moon fairy 大炮仙 ❤ : Another to ask yourself is,, You play the game? Or the game play you.
wahlao 72423057 : Its human emotions determine stock price, price determine chart. See chart to see human emotions, but humans could be logical so u can't be sure 100%. It's the meaning of life. Deep.
fearless Puppy_9024 72423057 : Stock prices determine charts through recorded trading activity. However, charts can influence market behavior indirectly when traders use them to predict trends. External variables like institutional trades, company news(e.g. earning reports, mergers, acquisitions, product launches or management change) and micro-economic factors(e.g. interest rate, political events, global market conditions) can also override typical chart-based predictions by introducing sudden volatility or trends.
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